2017 Oscar Predictions: The Post-Critics’ Awards Boom

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As we inch closer to the 2017 Oscar nominations (just a month away) we’ll be ramping up the predictions to reflect all new info like critics’ awards (the hundred or so that have come in over the last three weeks) and the upcoming Golden Globes next month.

Below is where the Gold Rush Gang stands at the moment with a link in each category to our up-to-the-minute predictions as they change.

La La Land

BEST PICTURE

1 La La Land (Summit/Lionsgate)
2 Moonlight (A24)
3 Manchester by the Sea (Amazon Studios)
4 Hell or High Water (CBS Films)
5 Silence (Paramount)
6 Arrival (Paramount)
7 Hacksaw Ridge (Lionsgate)
8 Lion (The Weinstein Company)
9 Fences (Paramount)
10 Jackie (Fox Searchlight)

11 Hidden Figures (Fox 2000)
12 Sully (Warner Bros)

OTHER CONTENDERS
20th Century Women (A24)
Loving (Focus Features)
Patriots Day (CBS Films)
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DIRECTING

Damien Chazelle, La La Land

1 Damien Chazelle – La La Land
2 Barry Jenkins – Moonlight
3 Kenneth Lonergan – Manchester by the Sea
4 Martin Scorsese – Silence
5 David Mackenzie – Hell or High Water

6 Denis Villeneuve – Arrival

OTHER CONTENDERS
Paul Verhoeven – Elle
Denzel Washington – Fences
Mel Gibson – Hacksaw Ridge
Pablo Larraín – Jackie
Garth Davis – Lion
Jeff Nichols – Loving
Clint Eastwood – Sully
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ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea

1 Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea
2 Denzel Washington – Fences
3 Ryan Gosling – La La Land
4 Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
5 Viggo Mortensen – Captain Fantastic

6 Joel Edgerton – Loving
6 Tom Hanks – Sully

OTHER CONTENDERS
Robert De Niro – The Comedian
Andrew Garfield – Silence
Michael Keaton – The Founder
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ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Emma Stone, La La Land

1 Emma Stone – La La Land
2 Natalie Portman – Jackie
3 Amy Adams – Arrival
3 Isabelle Huppert – Elle
5 Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins

6 Ruth Negga – Loving

OTHER CONTENDERS
Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals
Kate Beckinsale – Love and Friendship
Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
Taraji P. Henson – Hidden Figures
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ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Mahershala Ali, Moonlight

1 Mahershala Ali – Moonlight
2 Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
3 Dev Patel – Lion
4 Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
5 Hugh Grant – Florence Foster Jenkins

6 Ben Foster – Hell or High Water

OTHER CONTENDERS
Kevin Costner – Hidden Figures
Adam Driver – Silence
Aaron Eckhart – Bleed for This
Aaron Eckhart – Sully
Andre Holland – Moonlight
Stephen McKinley Henderson – Fences
Liam Neeson – Silence
Issey Ogata – Silence
Trevante Rhodes – Moonlight
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
Mykelti Williamson – Fences
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ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Viola Davis, Fences

1 Viola Davis – Fences
2 Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
3 Naomie Harris – Moonlight
4 Nicole Kidman – Lion
5 Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures

6 Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women

OTHER CONTENDERS
Felicity Jones – A Monster Calls
Laura Linney – Nocturnal Animals
Laura Linney – Sully
Janelle Monáe – Hidden Figures
Molly Shannon – Other People
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WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

Manchester by the Sea

1 Manchester by the Sea
2 La La Land
3 Hell or High Water
4 The Lobster
5 Captain Fantastic

6 Jackie

OTHER CONTENDERS
20th Century Women
Everybody Wants Some!!
Miss Sloane
Patriots Day
Toni Erdmann
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WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

Moonlight

1 Moonlight
2 Arrival
3 Silence
4 Fences
5 Lion

6 Elle
6 Love and Friendship

OTHER CONTENDERS
Hacksaw Ridge
Hidden Figures
Nocturnal Animals
Loving
Sully
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FILM EDITING

La La Land

1 La La Land
2 Arrival
3 Moonlight
4 Silence
5 Hell or High Water

6 Manchester by the Sea
7 Sully
8 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
8 Hacksaw Ridge
10 Jackie
10 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

OTHER CONTENDERS
Deepwater Horizon
Fences
Lion
Live By Night
Loving
Nocturnal Animals
O.J.: Made in America
Passengers
Patriots Day
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CINEMATOGRAPHY

La La Land

1 La La Land
2 Silence
3 Arrival
4 Moonlight
5 Nocturnal Animals

6 Jackie
7 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
7 Café Society

OTHER CONTENDERS
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hail, Caesar!
Lion
Live By Night
Passengers
Rules Don’t Apply
Sully
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PRODUCTION DESIGN

Silence

1 Silence
2 La La Land
3 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
5 Jackie
6 Live By Night

7 The Handmaiden
8 Hacksaw Ridge
8 Passengers

OTHER CONTENDERS
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Allied
Arrival
The BFG
Café Society
Fences
Hidden Figures
Love and Friendship
Loving
Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
Rules Don’t Apply
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COSTUME DESIGN

Silence

1 Silence
2 Florence Foster Jenkins
3 La La Land
4 Jackie
4 Love and Friendship

6 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
7 The Handmaiden
8 Live by Night

OTHER CONTENDERS
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Allied
The Birth of a Nation
Café Society
The Dressmaker
Fences
Hail, Caesar!
Hidden Figures
The Huntsman: Winter’s War
Loving
The Magnificent Seven
Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
Rules Don’t Apply
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MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Silence

1 Silence
2 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
3 Deadpool
4 Doctor Strange
5 Hacksaw Ridge

6 Suicide Squad
7 Star Trek Beyond

OTHER CONTENDERS
Alice Through the Looking Glass
Hidden Figures
Jackie
Live by Night
Love and Friendship
Miss Peregrine’s Home for Peculiar Children
Rules Don’t Apply
Swiss Army Man
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MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

La La Land

1 La La Land
2 Moonlight
3 Jackie
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
5 Lion

6 The BFG
7 Florence Foster Jenkins
8 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
8 Passengers

OTHER CONTENDERS
Live by Night
Loving
Nocturnal Animals
Patriots Day
Red Turtle, The
Sully
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MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

La La Land

1 “City of Stars,” La La Land
2 “Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land
3 “How Far I’ll Go,” Moana
4 “I See a Victory,” Hidden Figures
5 “Letter to the Free,” 13TH

6 “We Know the Way,” Moana
7 “The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story
8 “Drive It Like You Stole It,” Sing Street
8 “Runnin’,” Hidden Figures
10 “Faith,” Sing
10 “The Great Beyond,” Sausage Party
10 “Try Everything,” Zootopia
10 “A Minute To Breathe,” Before the Flood
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SOUND EDITING

Arrival

1 Arrival
2 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
3 Sully
4 Hacksaw Ridge
5 Hell or High Water

6 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
7 Silence
8 Patriots Day
9 Passengers
9 Deepwater Horizon

OTHER CONTENDERS
Allied
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice
Captain America: Civil War
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Jason Bourne
The Jungle Book
La La Land
Live by Night
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SOUND MIXING

La La Land

1 La La Land
2 Arrival
3 Hacksaw Ridge
4 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
5 Silence

6 Sully
7 Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
8 Patriots Day
9 Hell or High Water
9 The Jungle Book

OTHER CONTENDERS
Allied
Batman v. Superman: Dawn of Justice
The BFG
Captain America: Civil War
Deepwater Horizon
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Jason Bourne
Live by Night
Passengers
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VISUAL EFFECTS

The Jungle Book

1 The Jungle Book
2 Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
3 Arrival
4 Doctor Strange
5 Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them

6 Passengers
6 Captain America: Civil War
8 Kubo and the Two Strings

OTHER CONTENDERS
The BFG
Deepwater Horizon
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ANIMATED FEATURE

Zootopia

1 Zootopia
2 Kubo and the Two Strings
3 The Red Turtle
4 Moana
5 My Life as a Zucchini

6 April and the Extraordinary World

OTHER CONTENDERS
The Angry Birds Movie
Bilal
Finding Dory
Ice Age: Collision Course
Kingsglaive Final Fantasy XV
Kung Fu Panda 3
The Little Prince
Long Way North
Miss Hokusai
Monkey King: Hero Is Back
Mune
Mustafa & the Magician
Phantom Boy
Sausage Party
The Secret Life of Pets
Sing
Snowtime!
Storks
Trolls
25 April
Your Name.
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DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

O.J.: Made in America

1 O.J. Made in America
2 13TH
3 The Ivory Game
4 Cameraperson
5 Life, Animated

6 Fire at Sea
7 I Am Not Your Negro
8 Weiner
9 The Eagle Huntress

OTHER CONTENDERS
Command and Control
Gleason
Hooligan Sparrow
Tower
The Witness
Zero Days
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FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

Toni Erdmann, Germany

1 Germany – Toni Erdmann
2 Denmark – Land of Mine
3 Iran – The Salesman
4 Sweden – A Man Called Ove
5 Switzerland – My Life as a Zucchini
6 Russia – Paradise

OTHER CONTENDERS
Australia – Tanna
Canada – It’s Only the End of the World
Norway – The King’s Choice

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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