2018 Oscar Predictions – BEST ACTOR (August): Debuts From Christian Bale, Daniel Kaluuya and Algee Smith

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The Best Actor top 9 is exactly the same, albeit with a few placement changes. Denzel Washington (Roman Israel, Esq.) and Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying) leapfrog over Tom Hanks (The Papers) to land at #3 and #4, respectively. Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) and Daniel Day-Lewis (Phantom Thread) keep a firm hold on the top two spots.

Even with a new #10, Donald Sutherland in The Leisure Seeker, he only moves up one spot to get there, bumping last month’s #10 (Hugh Jackman in The Greatest Showman) to #11. Javier Bardem, however, makes a sizable jump from #17 to #12 on the strength of the mother! teaser released just yesterday.

There are three debuts this month. The highest is Christian Bale (Hostiles) at #13. Hostiles looks to hit more than a few fall festivals (including Toronto) but has yet to secure distribution. Get Out‘s Daniel Kaluuya and Detroit‘s Algee Smith come in at #16.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actor for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
Orange – re-entry

BEST ACTOR ERIK
ANDERSON
BRYAN BONAFEDE GREG HOWARD EVAN
KOST
JASON OSIASON KENNETH
POLISHCHUK
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ RICHARD
ANTHONY
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT MATT DINN TOTAL
POINTS
1 Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 100
2 Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread 3 3 2 2 5 2 4 4 2 3 80
3 Denzel Washington – Roman Israel, Esq. 2 2 10 3 3 3 2 2 3 2 78
4 Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying 5 4 5 4 4 5 3 3 5 4 68
5 Tom Hanks – The Papers 6 7 3 6 7 4 5 5 4 5 58
6 Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name 4 5 8 5 2 7 6 7 6 7 53
7 Andrew Garfield – Breathe 7 6 7 7 6 6 7 6 8 6 44
8 Chadwick Boseman – Marshall 9 4 8 8 8 9 10 21
9 Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger 8 9 6 9 10 8 10 8 20
10 Donald Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker 9 10 9 8 8
11 Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman 9 10 7 7
12 Javier Bardem – mother! 9 8 5
13 Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War 10 9 3
13 Christian Bale – Hostiles 8 3
15 Ben Stiller – Brad’s Status 9 2
16 Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out 10 1
16 Charlie Plummer – Lean on Pete 10 1
16 Matt Damon – Downsizing 10 1
16 Algee Smith – Detroit 10 1
OTHER CONTENDERS
Adam Sandler – The Meyerowitz Stories
Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
Ben Foster – Galveston
Benicio Del Toro – Soldado
Billy Howle – On Chesil Beach
Chiwetel Ejiofor – Come Sunday
Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer
Colin Firth – The Mercy
Daniel Craig – Kings
Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin
Fionn Whitehead – Dunkirk
Geoffrey Rush – Final Portrait
James McAvoy – Submergence
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
Javier Bardem – Escobar
Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here
John Boyega – Detroit
Jonathan Pryce – The Wife
Kevin Spacey – All the Money in the World
Liam Neeson – Mark Felt: The Man Who Brought Down the White House
Mark Wahlberg – All the Money in the World
Matt Damon – Suburbicon
Michael Douglas – Head Full of Honey
Michael Fassbender – The Snowman
Michael Shannon – The Current War
Ryan Gosling – Blade Runner 2049
Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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