2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (July) – Stagnation Reigns; Annette Bening and Sally Hawkins Debut
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Oy, not much to report here. 12 of the 16 actresses getting votes this month are in the exact same position as last month. That stagnation comes from what feels like a field of uninspired choices. Five of the top 5 (well, 6) are previous Oscar winners. This can’t be what the list will look like January, can it? I have to imagine that in the next six months we’ll see some of these names fall and others rise.
Digging into the Other Contenders list could show us where new choices could come from. Glenn Close, a six-time Oscar nominee, could break through with The Wife. Salma Hayek in Beatriz at Dinner has gotten rave reviews and would be a welcome return to the Oscar race. If Mudbound can avoid the Netflix stigma (and release strategy), Carey Mulligan could be a force. Even though I’ve dropped Halle Berry (Kings) from my list maybe The Orchard can mount a strong campaign for her. A24 might be able to get Kirsten Dunst (Woodshock) her first Oscar nomination.
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actress for July from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
| BEST ACTRESS | ERIK ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST |
JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Meryl Streep – The Papers | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 99 |
| 2 | Judi Dench – Victoria and Abdul | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 82 |
| 3 | Kate Winslet – Wonder Wheel | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 78 |
| 4 | Claire Foy – Breathe | 4 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 62 |
| 5 | Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 60 |
| 5 | Jennifer Lawrence – mother! | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 60 |
| 7 | Daniela Vega – A Fantastic Woman | 5 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 35 | |
| 8 | Rooney Mara – Mary Magdalene | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 |
| 9 | Helen Mirren – The Leisure Seeker | 6 | 9 | 7 | 11 | |||||||
| 10 | Margot Robbie – I, Tonya (possibly 2018) | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | |||
| 11 | Rachel Weisz – Disobedience | 8 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 9 | ||||||
| 12 | Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | |||||||
| 12 | Julianne Moore – Suburbicon | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
| 14 | Annette Bening – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 14 | Emma Stone – Battle of the Sexes | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 16 | Sally Hawkins – The Shape of Water | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Alicia Vikander – Submergence | ||||||||||||
| Annette Bening – The Seagull | ||||||||||||
| Brie Larson – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Carey Mulligan – Mudbound | ||||||||||||
| Diane Keaton – Hampstead | ||||||||||||
| Diane Kruger – In the Fade | ||||||||||||
| Emma Thompson – The Children Act | ||||||||||||
| Eva Green – Based on a True Story | ||||||||||||
| Eva Green – Euphoria | ||||||||||||
| Glenn Close – The Wife | ||||||||||||
| Halle Berry – Kings | ||||||||||||
| Helena Bonham Carter – 55 Steps | ||||||||||||
| Isabelle Huppert – Happy End | ||||||||||||
| Jessica Chastain – Woman Walks Ahead | ||||||||||||
| Julia Roberts – Wonder | ||||||||||||
| Kate Beckinsale – The Only Living Boy in New York | ||||||||||||
| Kate Winslet – The Mountain Between Us | ||||||||||||
| Keira Knightley – The Aftermath | ||||||||||||
| Kirsten Dunst – Woodshock | ||||||||||||
| Melissa McCarthy – Can You Ever Forgive Me? | ||||||||||||
| Michelle Pfeiffer – Where is Kyra? | ||||||||||||
| Michelle Williams – All the Money in the World | ||||||||||||
| Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled | ||||||||||||
| Rachel Weisz – My Cousin Rachel | ||||||||||||
| Sally Hawkins – Maudie | ||||||||||||
| Saoirse Ronan – On Chesil Beach |
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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