2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (May) – Stuhlbarg #1, Colin Farrell Rises and Ben Stiller Debuts
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Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) keeps a solid lock on the top spot for the third month in a row and with a commanding 98 points. He could prove to be one those impossible to knock out early leaders that just stays on top throughout the entire race. He’s also one of only two performances in the top 10 that have even been seen so there is certainly an enormous amount of change that could (and often does) come.
Steve Buscemi (Lean on Pete) holds on at #2 but with loses points to Ben Mendelsohn (Darkest Hour), who moves up to #3 and Colin Farrell (Inner City), who makes the biggest move up this month from #8 last month to #5.
Michael Shannon inches down another notch but remains the only thing standing for The Current War right now. Lots more red than green this month with falls for Jason Mitchell (Mudbound) out of the top 5, Idris Elba (Molly’s Game, which just began filming), Javier Bardem (mother!) and Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri).
Anthony Mackie and John Boyega (Detroit) flip flop a bit – with Mackie tumbling and Boyega rising. The film looks like an ensemble piece so until it’s seen we won’t really know who the standout will be, if either of them.
Ben Stiller is the sole debut this month, with his film The Meyerowitz Stories debuting at Cannes in just a few weeks. He has, as Adam Sandler does in Best Actor, a single vote from a single Gold Rush Gang member, Jason.
Looking below in the Other Contenders section, Ali Fazal (Victoria and Abdul) could be a player if Judi Dench is the top contender we think she’ll be. If Dunkirk is going to produce any acting contenders it’s most likely going to be Oscar-winner Mark Rylance, unless his role is too small or inconsequential. Of course, there’s always Harry Styles…
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for May from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
|
SUPPORTING ACTOR
|
ERIK
ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE
|
GREG HOWARD
|
EVAN
KOST |
JASON OSIASON
|
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
|
RICHARD
ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
|
MATT DINN
|
TOTAL
POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 98 |
| 2 | Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 75 |
| 3 | Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour | 3 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 71 |
| 4 | Michael Shannon – The Current War | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 58 | |
| 5 | Colin Farrell – Inner City (possibly 2018) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 49 | ||||
| 6 | Jason Mitchell – Mudbound | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 47 | ||
| 7 | Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying | 5 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 32 | ||||
| 8 | Idris Elba – Molly’s Game | 7 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 25 | ||
| 9 | John Boyega – Detroit | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 22 | ||||
| 10 | Javier Bardem – mother! | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 17 | |||||
| 11 | Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 4 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 16 | ||||||
| 12 | Sterling K. Brown – Marshall | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 14 | ||||
| 13 | Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name | 7 | 6 | 9 | ||||||||
| 14 | Anthony Mackie – Detroit | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | ||||||
| 15 | Ben Stiller, The Meyerowitz Stories | 6 | 9 | 7 | ||||||||
| 16 | Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene | 10 | 10 | 10 | 3 | |||||||
| 17 | Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon | 10 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul | ||||||||||||
| Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene | ||||||||||||
| Domhnall Gleeson – mother! | ||||||||||||
| Dustin Hoffman – The Meyerowitz Stories | ||||||||||||
| Ed Harris – mother! | ||||||||||||
| Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound | ||||||||||||
| Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049 | ||||||||||||
| Jacob Tremblay – Wonder | ||||||||||||
| John Hurt – Darkest Hour | ||||||||||||
| Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game | ||||||||||||
| Kevin Hart – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Mark Rylance – Dunkirk | ||||||||||||
| Stanley Tucci – The Children Act | ||||||||||||
| Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying | ||||||||||||
| Will Poulter – Detroit | ||||||||||||
| Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Zac Efron – The Greatest Showman |
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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