2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR (May) – Stuhlbarg #1, Colin Farrell Rises and Ben Stiller Debuts

Erik Anderson May 4, 2017

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Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) keeps a solid lock on the top spot for the third month in a row and with a commanding 98 points. He could prove to be one those impossible to knock out early leaders that just stays on top throughout the entire race. He’s also one of only two performances in the top 10 that have even been seen so there is certainly an enormous amount of change that could (and often does) come.

Steve Buscemi (Lean on Pete) holds on at #2 but with loses points to Ben Mendelsohn (Darkest Hour), who moves up to #3 and Colin Farrell (Inner City), who makes the biggest move up this month from #8 last month to #5.

Michael Shannon inches down another notch but remains the only thing standing for The Current War right now. Lots more red than green this month with falls for Jason Mitchell (Mudbound) out of the top 5, Idris Elba (Molly’s Game, which just began filming), Javier Bardem (mother!) and Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri).

Anthony Mackie and John Boyega (Detroit) flip flop a bit – with Mackie tumbling and Boyega rising. The film looks like an ensemble piece so until it’s seen we won’t really know who the standout will be, if either of them.

Ben Stiller is the sole debut this month, with his film The Meyerowitz Stories debuting at Cannes in just a few weeks. He has, as Adam Sandler does in Best Actor, a single vote from a single Gold Rush Gang member, Jason.

Looking below in the Other Contenders section, Ali Fazal (Victoria and Abdul) could be a player if Judi Dench is the top contender we think she’ll be. If Dunkirk is going to produce any acting contenders it’s most likely going to be Oscar-winner Mark Rylance, unless his role is too small or inconsequential. Of course, there’s always Harry Styles…

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for May from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

	SUPPORTING ACTOR	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	1	98
2	Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete	1	3	5	5	4	2	3	5	4	3	75
3	Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour	3	7	3	2	5	3	4	1	3	8	71
4	Michael Shannon – The Current War	6	6	2	3		4	8	4	2	6	58
5	Colin Farrell – Inner City (possibly 2018)		2			2		2	3	6	2	49

6	Jason Mitchell – Mudbound	4		4	4		5	5	7	5	7	47
7	Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying		5		6	3		6	9		5	32
8	Idris Elba – Molly’s Game	7	9	6	7		6	9	10	9		25
9	John Boyega – Detroit	5	8			9	7	7			8	22
10	Javier Bardem – mother!			7	8	8			8	7		17
11	Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri		4	10		10					4	16
12	Sterling K. Brown – Marshall	8		8	10		8	10		8		14
13	Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name					7			6			9
14	Anthony Mackie – Detroit	9		9	9		9					8
15	Ben Stiller, The Meyerowitz Stories					6					9	7
16	Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene	10								10	10	3
17	Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon		10				10					2

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience
	Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
	Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
	Domhnall Gleeson – mother!
	Dustin Hoffman – The Meyerowitz Stories
	Ed Harris – mother!
	Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound
	Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
	Jacob Tremblay – Wonder
	John Hurt – Darkest Hour
	Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
	Kevin Hart – Untouchable
	Mark Rylance – Dunkirk
	Stanley Tucci – The Children Act
	Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying
	Will Poulter – Detroit
	Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle
	Zac Efron – The Greatest Showman

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.