2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (September)

Erik Anderson September 6, 2017

After a stranglehold on the #1 spot for six months, Michael Stuhlbarg (Call Me By Your Name) has finally relinquished the top spot…for now. Willem Dafoe (The Florida Project) has quickly been working his way up the chart and for September ends up our new frontrunner.

But that might not even be the biggest story, certainly not the biggest move. After premiering at the Venice Film Festival to rave reviews, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri didn’t just end up being a boost for Frances McDormand in Best Actress but Sam Rockwell goes from #14 last month (where he was on his way down) and blasts into the top five to land at #4. Rockwell has long been a respected actor and many have thought him Oscar worthy before but this seems to be his best shot yet.

Michael Shannon receives a leg up on the strength of The Shape of Water across the board, as does his co-star Richard Jenkins. They both make small climbs up.

A handful of new entries populate the list this month: Kevin Spacey (All the Money in the World), Jim Belushi (Wonder Wheel), Jamie Bell (Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool) and Christoph Waltz (Downsizing).

It’s not so good news for more than a half dozen other contenders though. As fast he went up, Detroit‘s Will Poulter goes from a high of #6 last month to back down to the Other Contenders list. Colin Farrell (Roman J. Israel, Esq.) takes a dip on account of Rockwell’s rise and Sterling K. Brown (Marshall), Steve Buscemi (Lean On Pete), Javier Bardem (mother!) and Steve Carell (Battle of the Sexes) fall out contention for the month. Carell may find himself returning but his category placement for both BotS and Last Flag Flying is up in the air

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actor for September from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

	SUPPORTING ACTOR	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project	2	1	2	1	1	1	2	1	1	1	97
2	Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name	1	3	1	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	92
3	Michael Shannon – The Shape of Water	3	4	4	3	4	4	3	5	3	3	74
4	Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri	5	2	5	4	3	3	4	4	4	4	72
5	Laurence Fishburne – Last Flag Flying	4	5	8	5	6	5	5	3	5	5	59

6	Colin Farrell – Roman J. Israel, Esq.	6	7	6	7	5	6	5	6	6	6	50
7	Mark Rylance – Dunkirk	7	8	8	6	7	7	8	10	9	6	34
8	Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour		10	3	8	8	8	9	8	8		26
9	Jason Mitchell – Mudbound	8	9	9	9		9	7	9		9	19
10	Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name			7				10	7		10	10
11	Kevin Spacey – All the Money in the World		6			9						7
12	Richard Jenkins – The Shape of Water	10		10						7		6
12	Jim Belushi – Wonder Wheel				10	10					7	6
14	Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool	9										2
14	Christoph Waltz – Downsizing						10			10		2

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience
	Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul
	Ben Stiller – The Meyerowitz Stories
	Bob Odenkirk – The Post
	Bradley Whitford – The Post
	Charlie Plummer – All the Money in the World
	Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene
	Daniel Craig – Logan Lucky
	Dustin Hoffman – The Meyerowitz Stories
	Ed Harris – mother!
	Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound
	Harrison Ford – Blade Runner 2049
	Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
	Jacob Tremblay – Wonder
	Javier Bardem – mother!
	John Boyega – Detroit
	Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game
	Lucas Hedges – Lady Bird
	Michael Shannon – The Current War
	Michael Stuhlbarg – The Post
	Ray Romano – The Big Sick
	Stanley Tucci – The Children Act
	Sterling K. Brown – Marshall
	Steve Buscemi – The Death of Stalin
	Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete
	Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes
	Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying
	Wes Studi – Hostiles
	Will Poulter – Detroit

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.