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As with Supporting Actor this month, Supporting Actress is the same top 5 as last month with just a few tweaks in placement.
Julianne Moore not only remains at #1 with Wonderstruck, she improves her point total. Snippets of the film were shown at CinemaCon last month to strong word of mouth and Moore playing multiple characters will only help keep her at the top spot.
Melissa Leo (Novitiate) stays at #2 but with fewer points as her main competitors down the list have started chipping away at her placement. Those competitors, Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Kristin Scott Thomas (Darkest Hour) find themselves tied at #3 but with Chau making the biggest move.
LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world
Michelle Pfeiffer (mother!) is safe at #5 this month, nearly double the #6 Claire Foy (Breathe), who actually makes a huge jump from #16.. Just behind Foy is Mary J. Blige (Mudbound), in her first feature in four years. Rachel McAdams (Disobedience) trails not too far behind.
Looking for surprise contenders or sleepers we could see Kaela Settle in The Greatest Showman. She has a show-stopping number in the original musical and 20th Century Fox is going to pull out all the stops for the Christmas Day release. Nicole Kidman is having a banner year, having just ended her limited series Big Little Lies to some of the best reviews of her career. She will follow that with possible Cannes Film Festival appearances of Sofia Coppola’s The Beguiled, John Cameron Mitchell’s How to Talk to Girls at Parties and/or Yorgos Lanthimos’s The Killing of a Sacred Deer.
This time last year, the Gold Rush Gang had four of the five eventual Oscar nominees in our top 10 with only Viola Davis missing due to her category placement being up in the air at the time.
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for April from the Gold Rush Gang.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
| SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ERIK ANDERSON | BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST | JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK | DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY | ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 96 |
| 2 | Melissa Leo – Novitiate | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 86 |
| 3 | Hong Chau – Downsizing | 4 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 73 |
| 3 | Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour | 3 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 73 |
| 5 | Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! | 6 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 59 |
| 6 | Claire Foy – Breathe | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30 | ||||
| 7 | Mary J. Blige – Mudbound | 5 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | ||
| 8 | Rachel McAdams – Disobedience | 7 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 9 | Katherine Waterston – The Current War | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | ||||
| 10 | Vicky Krieps – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project | 5 | 9 | 6 | 13 | |||||||
| 10 | Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman | 8 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 13 | |||||
| 12 | Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete | 9 | 5 | 8 | 11 | |||||||
| 13 | Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake | 8 | 7 | 7 | ||||||||
| 14 | Julianne Moore – Suburbicon | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
| 15 | Allison Janney – I, Tonya (likely 2018) | 9 | 10 | 3 | ||||||||
| 15 | Holly Hunter – The Big Sick | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 17 | Mackenzie Davis – Tully | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| 17 | Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| 17 | Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Aja Naomi King – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Brie Larson – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Charlotte Rampling – Red Sparrow | ||||||||||||
| Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | ||||||||||||
| Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel | ||||||||||||
| Kristen Wiig – Downsizing | ||||||||||||
| Lesley Manville – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Project | ||||||||||||
| Margot Robbie – Untitled A.A. Milne Biopic | ||||||||||||
| Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – How to Talk to Girls at Parties | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water | ||||||||||||
| Rachel Weisz – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman | ||||||||||||
| Rosamund Pike – Entebbe | ||||||||||||
| Tatiana Maslany – Stronger | ||||||||||||
| Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool |
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