2018 Oscar Predictions – SUPPORTING ACTRESS (August): Hunter, Spencer Go Top 5; Hong Chau, Juno Temple Rebound
Melissa Leo (Novitiate) holds onto the top spot for the third month in a row (with a perfect score, no less) but the big stories lie with Holly Hunter in The Big Sick who makes a huge jump from debuting at #11 last month to landing at #2. The Oscar-winning actress has the scene-stealing role in The Big Sick, the critically acclaimed summer box office sleeper that also stars Kumail Nanjiani, Zoe Kazan and Ray Romano. Hunter hasn’t been Oscar-nominated since 2003’s Thirteen where she was the film’s sole nomination. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) also makes good on her debut last month and the Oscar-winning actress plants herself in the top 5 for August.
Two actresses are making note-worthy rebounds this month; Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel). For Chau, her climb is coming as her film will be hitting the major fall festivals, including opening Venice. There is still some hesitation from the Gold Rush Gang for the film itself after the very mixed responses from its multiple test screenings but Paramount is said to be making a major push for Chau for awards season. For Temple, she fell off the chart last month but comes roaring back with a pair of high-placed rankings. With word that Kate Winslet’s performance is ‘Blue Jasmine-esque’ we could see Temple be to Winslet was Sally Hawkins was to Cate Blanchett.
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
| SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ERIK ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST |
JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melissa Leo – Novitiate | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| 2 | Holly Hunter – The Big Sick | 3 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 65 |
| 3 | Michelle Pfeiffer – mother! | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 64 | |
| 4 | Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 55 |
| 5 | Mary J. Blige – Mudbound | 6 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 45 |
| 6 | Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread | 10 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 44 | ||
| 7 | Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour | 2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 35 | |||||
| 8 | Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project | 4 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 33 | |||
| 9 | Allison Janney – I, Tonya (possibly 2018) | 6 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | |
| 10 | Hong Chau – Downsizing | 5 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 20 | ||||
| 11 | Julianne Moore – Suburbicon | 4 | 2 | 16 | ||||||||
| 12 | Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel | 5 | 2 | 15 | ||||||||
| 13 | Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird | 9 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 13 | ||||||
| 14 | Carmen Ejogo – Roman Israel, Esq. | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | ||||||
| 15 | Rachel McAdams – Disobedience | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | |||||||
| 16 | Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck | 4 | 7 | |||||||||
| 16 | Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | |||||||
| 18 | Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
| 19 | Catherine Keener – Get Out | 10 | 8 | 4 | ||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Alison Brie – The Papers | ||||||||||||
| Allison Williams – Get Out | ||||||||||||
| Brie Larson – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Carrie Coon – The Papers | ||||||||||||
| Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete | ||||||||||||
| Diana Rigg – Breathe | ||||||||||||
| Isabelle Huppert – Happy End | ||||||||||||
| Judi Dench – Murder on the Orient Express | ||||||||||||
| Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck | ||||||||||||
| Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | ||||||||||||
| Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman | ||||||||||||
| Katherine Waterston – The Current War | ||||||||||||
| Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread | ||||||||||||
| Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin | ||||||||||||
| Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle | ||||||||||||
| Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled | ||||||||||||
| Rachel Weisz – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman | ||||||||||||
| Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake | ||||||||||||
| Rosamund Pike – Entebbe | ||||||||||||
| Sarah Paulson – The Papers | ||||||||||||
| Tatiana Maslany – Stronger | ||||||||||||
| Cathy Moriarty – Patti Cake$ | ||||||||||||
| Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | ||||||||||||
| Zendaya – The Greatest Showman |
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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