2018 Oscar Predictions – SUPPORTING ACTRESS (August): Hunter, Spencer Go Top 5; Hong Chau, Juno Temple Rebound

Erik Anderson August 2, 2017

Melissa Leo (Novitiate) holds onto the top spot for the third month in a row (with a perfect score, no less) but the big stories lie with Holly Hunter in The Big Sick who makes a huge jump from debuting at #11 last month to landing at #2. The Oscar-winning actress has the scene-stealing role in The Big Sick, the critically acclaimed summer box office sleeper that also stars Kumail Nanjiani, Zoe Kazan and Ray Romano. Hunter hasn’t been Oscar-nominated since 2003’s Thirteen where she was the film’s sole nomination. Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) also makes good on her debut last month and the Oscar-winning actress plants herself in the top 5 for August.

Two actresses are making note-worthy rebounds this month; Hong Chau (Downsizing) and Juno Temple (Wonder Wheel). For Chau, her climb is coming as her film will be hitting the major fall festivals, including opening Venice. There is still some hesitation from the Gold Rush Gang for the film itself after the very mixed responses from its multiple test screenings but Paramount is said to be making a major push for Chau for awards season. For Temple, she fell off the chart last month but comes roaring back with a pair of high-placed rankings. With word that Kate Winslet’s performance is ‘Blue Jasmine-esque’ we could see Temple be to Winslet was Sally Hawkins was to Cate Blanchett.

Vicky Krieps (Phantom Thread), Carmen Ejogo (Roman Israel, Esq.) and Millicent Simmonds (Wonderstruck) make small moves up and Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird) is the month’s sole debut at #13.

Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Supporting Actress for August from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.

Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry

	SUPPORTING ACTRESS	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Melissa Leo – Novitiate	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	100
2	Holly Hunter – The Big Sick	3	5	7	3	7	3	3	8	3	3	65
3	Michelle Pfeiffer – mother!	8		3	2	3	7	2	3	2	5	64
4	Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water	2	4	6	6	6	8	5	9	5	4	55
5	Mary J. Blige – Mudbound	6	7	4	7	10	6	6	5	7	7	45

6	Vicky Krieps – Phantom Thread	10	2	8	7	2	9	4			2	44
7	Kristin Scott Thomas – Darkest Hour			2	6		5		3	4		35
8	Brooklynn Prince – The Florida Project	4		10	5	8	4	7			6	33
9	Allison Janney – I, Tonya (possibly 2018)		6	9	8	9	7	8	7	9	10	26
10	Hong Chau – Downsizing	5	3			8	10	10	10			20
11	Julianne Moore – Suburbicon				4		2					16
12	Juno Temple – Wonder Wheel					5			2			15
13	Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird		9			4		9			9	13
14	Carmen Ejogo – Roman Israel, Esq.	7	8						10		8	11
15	Rachel McAdams – Disobedience			5					9	10		9
16	Millicent Simmonds – Wonderstruck								4			7
16	Nicole Kidman – The Killing of a Sacred Deer	9			9					8		7
18	Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman									6		5
19	Catherine Keener – Get Out		10						8			4

	OTHER CONTENDERS
	Alison Brie – The Papers
	Allison Williams – Get Out
	Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
	Carrie Coon – The Papers
	Chloë Sevigny – Lean on Pete
	Diana Rigg – Breathe
	Isabelle Huppert – Happy End
	Judi Dench – Murder on the Orient Express
	Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck
	Julie Walters – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
	Kaela Settle – The Greatest Showman
	Katherine Waterston – The Current War
	Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread
	Margot Robbie – Goodbye Christopher Robin
	Naomi Watts – The Glass Castle
	Nicole Kidman – The Beguiled
	Rachel Weisz – Disobedience
	Rebecca Ferguson – The Greatest Showman
	Riley Keough – Under the Silver Lake
	Rosamund Pike – Entebbe
	Sarah Paulson – The Papers
	Tatiana Maslany – Stronger
	Cathy Moriarty – Patti Cake$
	Vanessa Redgrave – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool
	Zendaya – The Greatest Showman

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.