2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (December)

If it hadn’t been for that weird Golden Globe snub of Sam Elliott (A Star Is Born) this category would be pretty wrapped up in terms of nomination predictions.

Still, I think it’s probably the most locked acting category at this point with not a lot of real outliers with a chance of bursting the bubble of Mahershala Ali, Timothée Chalamet, Adam Driver, Sam Elliott and Richard E. Grant.

Grant is the runaway critics’ leader this season and he moves up to the #1 spot. The excellent performance by BlacKkKlansman at the Globes and SAG noms also push Driver all the way up to #2.

The continued controversy over Green Book is enough to bump Ali down but I don’t think it would be enough to take him out of contention, nor the film. It will still probably play well with the old guard of the Academy.

Only Sam Rockwell (Vice) and Michael B. Jordan (Black Panther) have an outside shot of breaking that top 5 unless the actors’ branch goes super crazy for The Favourite and nominates Nicholas Hoult (although that seems unlikely). Steven Yeun (Burning) is getting a boost from the critics and he joins the top 10.

Here are my 2019 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actor for December 20, 2018.

Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – chart debut/return

1. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me? (BFCA, GG, SAG, Spirit)
2. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman (BFCA, GG, SAG, Spirit)
3. Mahershala Ali – Green Book (BFCA, GG, SAG)
4. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born (BFCA, SAG)
5. Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy (BFCA, GG, SAG)

6. Sam Rockwell – Vice (GG)
7. Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther (BFCA)
8. Brian Tyree Henry – If Beale Street Could Talk
9. Steven Yeun – Burning
10. Steve Carell – Vice

OTHER CONTENDERS

Hugh Grant – Paddington 2
Nicholas Hoult – The Favourite

2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (December)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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