Wed. Sep 23rd, 2020

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions: ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (June)

Christian Bale and Matt Damon in Ford v Ferrari (Disney/20th Century Fox)

As with last month, the screenplay categories remain awash with potential placement switches.

A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood, The Farewell and Ford v Ferrari could show up at either. The original screenplay for the latter was based on A. J. Baime’s 2010 book Go Like Hell: Ford, Ferrari, and Their Battle for Speed and Glory at Le Mans but was reworked by by writers Jez Butterworth and John-Henry Butterworth. Is it different enough to be considered a new screenplay? It seems doubtful so for now I’m keeping it in Adapted. I’m taking The Farewell out of Adapted and keeping it in Original and the reverse for ABDITN.

Elsewhere, Greta Gerwig’s Little Women remake ekes up into the top five while Martin Scorsese Jimmy Hoffa gangster epic The Irishman lands the top spot for the month.

Here are my ranked 2020 Oscar Nomination predictions in Adapted Screenplay for June 11, 2019.

Green – moves up Red – moves down Blue – new/re-entry

1. The Irishman (Netflix)
2. A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood (Sony/Columbia)
3. Jojo Rabbit (Fox Searchlight)
4. Ford v Ferrari (20th Century Fox)
5. Little Women (Sony/Columbia)

NEXT UP (alphabetical)

The Goldfinch (Amazon/Warner Bros)
The Good Liar (Warner Bros)
Just Mercy (Warner Bros)
The Laundromat (Netflix)
The Woman in the Window (20th Century Fox)

OTHER CONTENDERS (alphabetical)

Downhill (Fox Searchlight)
The Glorias: A Life on the Roads (TBD)
The King (Netflix)
The Last Thing He Wanted (Netflix)
Motherless Brooklyn (Warner Bros)
The Personal History of David Copperfield (TBD)
Radioactive (Amazon)
Toy Story 4 (Disney/Pixar)
Untitled Todd Haynes aka Dry Run (TBD)

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