Fri. Aug 23rd, 2019

2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (May)

Margot Robbie in Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood (Sony/Columbia)

Margot Robbie sits atop the Best Supporting Actress predictions this month with her Quentin Tarantino debut Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood, playing famed and ill-fated actress Sharon Tate. With the film having its world premiere at the Cannes Film Festival next week, we’ll have actual word on the film and her performance but for now she makes sense as a frontrunner.

I have good word on Laura Dern in Noah Baumbach’s next film and with a supporting role in Greta Gerwig’s remake of Little Women, Dern will be a fixture this fall and winter.

Scarlett Johansson, hot off the huge finale of the Avengers films, is also in the Baumbach (as the lead) but could find herself a spot here – in Taika Waititi’s “anti-hate satire” Jojo Rabbit, which just landed the most prime awards date from Fox Searchlight, October 18th.

Annette Bening in The Report could be a contender but the film’s September release gives me pause.

Don’t count out two-time Oscar winner Maggie Smith to show up for the feature film version of Downton Abbey, which won Smith a three Emmys, a Golden Globe and a Screen Actors Guild award for playing Violet Crawley, the Dowager Countess of Grantham.

Looking further, Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie could give Scarlett Johansson some chase in Jojo Rabbit; Oscar winner Brie Larson (also hot off the Avengers) might return to fold with Just Mercy; Janelle Monaé was probably pretty close to a nomination for 2016’s Hidden Figures and is now poised for a spot in Harriet. I can see a path for Zhao Shuzhen in The Farewell, playing that film’s matriarch and I won’t even pretend that 21-time nominee Meryl Streep isn’t always in contention for nearly anything she has coming. This year it’s The Laundromat. But is she lead or supporting?

Here are my 2020 Oscar Nomination Predictions in Supporting Actress for May 14, 2019.

1. Margot Robbie – Once Upon a Time…in Hollywood (Sony/Columbia)
2. Laura Dern – Untitled Noah Baumbach (Netflix)
3. Scarlett Johansson – Jojo Rabbit (Fox Searchlight)
4. Annette Bening – The Report (Amazon)
5. Maggie Smith – Downton Abbey (Focus Features)
NEXT UP (alphabetical)
Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie – Jojo Rabbit (Fox Searchlight)
Brie Larson – Just Mercy (Warner Bros)
Janelle Monaé – Harriet (Focus Features)
Zhao Shuzhen – The Farewell (A24)
Meryl Streep – The Laundromat (Netflix)
OTHER CONTENDERS (alphabetical)
Ellen Burstyn – Lucy in the Sky (Fox Searchlight)
Penélope Cruz – Pain and Glory (Sony Classics)
Toni Collette – Knives Out (Lionsgate)
Jamie Leigh Curtis – Knives Out (Lionsgate)
Laura Dern – Little Women (Sony/Columbia)
Jennifer Hudson – Cats (Universal)
Nicole Kidman – Untitled Roger Ailes aka Fair and Balanced (Lionsgate)
Nicole Kidman – The Goldfinch (Amazon/Warner Bros)
Frances McDormand – The French Dispatch (TBD)
Bette Midler – The Glorias: A Life on the Road (TBD)
Julianne Moore – The Woman in the Window (20th Century Fox)
Ruth Negga – Ad Astra (20th Century Fox)
Anna Paquin – The Irishman (Netflix)
Florence Pugh – Little Women (Sony/Columbia)
Octavia Spencer – Luce (Neon)
Meryl Streep – Little Women (Sony/Columbia)
Tilda Swinton – The Personal History of David Copperfield (TBD)
Tilda Swinton – The Souvenir (A24)
Marisa Tomei – Frankie (TBD)

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