2021 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED SCREENPLAY (November)

Published by
Share
(Mary Cybulski/NETFLIX)

It may only be November but this is a category that feels…dare I say, almost locked? There’s certainly some room, especially for that 5th spot, but I would be shocked to not see Nomadland, One Night in Miami…, The Father and Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom announced on Oscar nomination morning. I won’t use the ‘L’ word just yet, but it’s close.

But it is that 5th spot that could provide some suspense. I’m sticking with News of the World for now but Borat (a sequel to a previous nominee) and I’m Thinking of Ending Things (a return for Oscar winner Charlie Kaufman) are right outside its door. There’s also Pieces of a Woman, based on the play and personal experience of director Kornél Mundruczó and Kata Wéber. But with three play adaptations already in the top 5, is there room for another?

Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Adapted Screenplay for November.

Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – new entry this month

1. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures)
Chloé Zhao (based on the book “Nomadland: Surviving America in the Twenty-First Century” by Jessica Bruder)

2. One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios)
Kemp Powers (based on the play “One Night in Miami…” by Kemp Powers)

3. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)
Christopher Hampton, Florian Zeller (based on the play “Le Père” by Florian Zeller)

4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
Ruben Santiago-Hudson (based on the play “Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” by August Wilson)

5. News of the World (Universal Pictures)
Luke Davies, Paul Greengrass (based on the novel “News of the World” by Paulette Jiles)

6. Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm (Amazon)
Peter Baynham, Sacha Baron Cohen, Jena Friedman, Anthony Hines, Lee Kern, Dan Mazer, Erica Rivinoja, Dan Swimer (based on characters created by Sacha Baron Cohen, Anthony Hines, Dan Mazer and Todd Phillips)

7. I’m Thinking of Ending Things (Netflix)
Charlie Kaufman (based on the novel “I’m Thinking of Ending Things” by Iain Reid)

8. Pieces of a Woman (Netflix)
Kata Wéber (based on the play “Pieces of a Woman”)

9. First Cow (A24)
Kelly Reichardt, Jonathan Raymond (based on the novel “The Half Life” by Jonathan Raymond)

10. The White Tiger (Netflix)
Ramin Bahrani (based on the novel “The White Tiger” by Aravind Adiga)


Other Contenders (alphabetical)

Cherry (Apple TV+)
Angela Otstot, Jessica Goldberg (based on “Cherry” by Nico Walker)

French Exit (Sony Pictures Classics)
Patrick deWitt (based on the novel “French Exit” by Patrick deWitt)

Emma. (Focus Features)
Eleanor Catton (based on the book “Emma” by Jane Austen)

Hillbilly Elegy (Netflix)
Vanessa Taylor (based on the novel “Hillbilly Elegy” by J.D. Vance)

The Midnight Sky (Netflix)
Michael Bronner (based on the novel “Guantanamo Diary” by Mohamedou Ould Salahi)

The Mauritanian (STX Entertainment)
Mark L. Smith (based on the novel “Good Morning, Midnight” by Lily Brooks-Dalton)

The Personal History of David Copperfield (Searchlight Pictures)
Simon Blackwell, Armando Iannucci (based on “David Copperfield” by Charles Dickens)

The Prom (Netflix)
Chad Beguelin, Bob Martin (based on the musical “The Prom” by Chad Beguelin, Bob Martin and Matthew Sklar)

The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
Suzan-Lori Parks (based on “Chasing the Scream: The First and Last Days of the War on Drugs” by Johann Hari)

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

Recent Posts

Frameline and The Colin Higgins Foundation Announce 2024 Grant Recipients

Today, Frameline, the arts nonprofit that hosts the San Francisco International LGBTQ+ Film Festival, joined the Colin Higgins… Read More

May 14, 2024

‘Ghostlight’ Review: Two Households Both Aim for Dignity in Cathartic Shakespearean Dramedy | Chicago Critics Film Festival

One of the best moments of Ghostlight actually occurs during the end credits. Looking at… Read More

May 14, 2024

NEON Nabs North American Rights to Julia Ducournau’s ‘Alpha’

Award-winning studio NEON announced that it has acquired the North American rights to award-winning filmmaker… Read More

May 14, 2024

‘National Anthem’ Trailer Tells a Story of First Love, Found Family and Self-Discovery

LD Entertainment has released the trailer for National Anthem from writer/director Luke Gilford, who makes… Read More

May 14, 2024

‘Bodkin,’ ‘X-Men ‘97,’ ‘Shōgun,’ ‘Black Twitter: A People’s History’ Among Nominees for Inaugural Gotham TV Awards

Outstanding Performance nominations in Limited, Drama and Comedy Series Include Richard Gadd for Baby Reindeer, Emma… Read More

May 14, 2024

‘Dìdi (弟弟)’ Trailer: Sean Wang Takes Us Back to the Bay in Nostalgic Coming of Age Tale

Focus Features has dropped the first trailer for Dìdi (弟弟) from Oscar-nominated director Sean Wang… Read More

May 14, 2024

This website uses cookies.