One of the more potentially open races this season, Oscar-winning and nominated designers like Mark Bridges (News of the World) and Alexandra Byrne (Emma.) will go seam to seam with hopeful first-timers like Paolo Nieddu (The United States vs Billie Holiday, which rises this month) and Bina Daigeler (Mulan).
While it’s true that this branch really, really loves its favorites. 46 of the past 50 nominees were Best Picture nominees or designers who had at least been nominated before. That’s a pretty tight stitch to pull off if you don’t fall into either of those categories. It could spell downfall for a Nieddu or Daigeler, whose films aren’t likely to be Best Picture-nominated, over someone like Susan Lyall for like BP contender The Trial of the Chicago 7 or a previous winner and three-time nominee like Michael O’Connor for Ammonite.
Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Costume Design for January.
Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – new entry this month
1. Mank (Netflix)
2. Emma. (Focus Features)
3. The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
4. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
5. News of the World (Universal Pictures)
6. Mulan (Walt Disney Pictures)
7. The Personal History of David Copperfield (Searchlight Pictures)
Suzie Harman, Robert Worley
8. Ammonite (Neon)
9. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
10. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros)
Charlese Antoinette Jones
Other Contenders (alphabetical)
Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
The Glorias (Roadside Attractions)
Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey (Netflix)
One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios)
The Witches (HBO Max)
Emma. image courtesy of Focus Features