The Trial of the Chicago 7 makes a jump over Mank, just as it did in original screenplay, as it feels like it just might be a stronger contender than Fincher’s Mankiewicz/Citizen Kane imbroglio.
The Father moves back up into the top 5, partially on the strength of its LAFCA win for best editing and because Ma Rainey is a more likely in director than here if it’s going to get both lead acting wins.
Da 5 Bloods moves up as The Midnight Sky moves down but I’m wondering if Minari or Sound of Metal might end up stronger than expected. Nomadland stays at #1 for now but the Academy is not that friendly to directors who cut their own films, even if they reward them elsewhere. Alfonso Cuarón can tell you that.
Here are my ranked 2021 Oscar predictions in Film Editing for December.
Green – moves up; Red – moves down; Blue – new entry this month
1. Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures)
2. The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
3. Mank (Netflix)
4. News of the World (Universal Pictures)
5. The Father (Sony Pictures Classics)
6. Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
7. Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
8. Tenet (Warner Bros)
9. Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros)
10. The Midnight Sky (Netflix)
Other Contenders (alphabetical by film)
Nine Days (Sony Pictures Classics)
Jeff Betancourt and Michael Taylor
One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios)
Palm Springs (Hulu/Neon)
Andrew Dickler and Matt Friedman
Pieces of a Woman (Netflix)
The Prom (Netflix)
Peggy Tachdjian and Danielle Wang
Promising Young Woman (Focus Features)
Sound of Metal (Amazon Studios)
Mikkel E.G. Nielsen
The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Paramount Pictures)
The Trial of the Chicago 7 image courtesy of Niko Tavernise/Netflix