2023 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (June)

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Michelle Williams (The Fabelmans) remains at #1 this month and most of the top 20 is at a standstill.

Searchlight Pictures has quite a few films that are still TBA, on the cusp of being either 2022 or 2023 releases, like the long-in-post-production Next Goal Wins from Taika Waititi, featuring Kaimana and Elisabeth Moss. Same goes for Patti LuPone in A24’s Disappointment Blvd. from Ari Aster and Tilda Swinton in Netflix’s The Killer from David Fincher. High profile names in high profile films with major directors and all from studios that have more on their plate than they can handle for a single awards season.

Here are my 2023 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for June 2022.

Green – moves up Red – moves down Blue – new entry

1. Michelle Williams – The Fabelmans (Universal Pictures)
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)
3. Laura Dern – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
4. Jessie Buckley – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
5. Patricia Clarkson – She Said (Universal Pictures)


6. Hong Chau – The Whale (A24)
7. Jean Smart – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
8. Audra McDonald – Rustin (Netflix)
9. Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix)
10. Nina Hoss – TÁR (Focus Features)
11. Stephanie Hsu – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
12. Sadie Sink – The Whale (A24)
13. Samantha Morton – She Said (Universal Pictures)
14. Julianne Nicholson – Blonde (Netflix)
15. Vanessa Kirby – The Son (Sony Pictures Classics)
16. Frances McDormand – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
17. Griselda Sicillani – Bardo (or the False Chronicle of a Handful of Truths) (Netflix)
18. Anne Hathaway – Armageddon Time (Focus Features)
19. Jamie Lee Curtis – Everything Everywhere All at Once (A24)
20. Kaimana – Next Goal Wins (Searchlight Pictures) – 2202 or 2023?

Other contenders (alphabetical):

  • Gillian Anderson – The Pale Blue Eye (Netflix)
  • Yalitza Aparicio – Presences (Vix)
  • Kathy Bates – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
  • Lucy Boynton – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Tantoo Cardinal – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films)
  • Gemma Chan – Don’t Worry Darling (Warner Bros)
  • Jessica Chastain – The Good Nurse (Netflix)
  • Hong Chau – The Menu (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Hong Chau – Showing Up (A24)
  • Crystal Clarke – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Kerry Condor – The Banshees of Inisherin (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Camille Cottin – Golda (Bleecker Street)
  • Rossy de Palma – Carmen (Sony Pictures Classics)
  • Dolly De Leon – Triangle of Sadness (NEON)
  • Olivia DeJonge – Elvis (Warner Bros)
  • Sally Field – Spoiler Alert (Focus Features)
  • Jodie Foster – Nyad (Netflix)
  • Claire Foy – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
  • Greta Gerwig – White Noise (Netflix)
  • Whoopi Goldberg – Till (MGM/UAR)
  • Annie Gonzalez – Flamin’ Hot (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Manal Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
  • Nathalie Issa – The Swimmers (Netflix)
  • Mia Isaac – Don’t Make Me Go (Amazon Studios)
  • Allison Janney – True Love (20th Century Studios)
  • Zoe Kazan – She Said (Universal Pictures)
  • Li Jun Li – Babylon (Paramount Pictures)
  • Patty LuPone – Disappointment Blvd. (A24) – 2022 or 2023?
  • Thuso Mbedu – The Woman King (Columbia)
  • Rachel McAdams – Are You There, God? It’s Me, Margaret (Lionsgate)
  • Michelle McLeod – Women Talking (MGM/UAR)
  • Noemie Merlant – TÁR (Focus Features)
  • Tanya Moore – Empire of Light (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Samantha Morton – The Whale (A24)
  • Elisabeth Moss – Next Goal Wins (Searchlight Pictures) – 2022 or 2023?
  • Carey Mulligan – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
  • Sophie Okonedo – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
  • Parker Posey – Disappointment Blvd. (A24)
  • CCH Pounder – Rustin (Netflix)
  • Isabella Rossellini – Spaceman of Bohemia (Netflix)
  • Zoe Saldana – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
  • Jurnee Smollett – The Burial (Amazon Studios)
  • Kirsten Stewart – Crimes of the Future (NEON)
  • Tilda Swinton – The Killer (Netflix) – 2022 or 2023?
  • Anya Taylor-Joy – Amsterdam (20th Century Studios)
  • Maribel Verdu – Raymond & Ray (Apple Original Films)
  • Samara Weaving – Chevalier (Searchlight Pictures)
  • Samara Wiley – Red, White, Water (A24)
  • Nafessa Williams – I Wanna Dance with Somebody (Columbia)

Without distribution

  • Matilda De Angelis – Across the River and into the Trees – TBD
  • Judi Dench – Allelujah – TBD
  • Virginie Efira – Don Juan – TBD
  • Tina Fey – Maggie Moore(s) – TBD
  • Sarah Gadon – Corner Office – TBD
  • Anne Hathaway – She Came to Me – TBD
  • Lyna Khoudri – November – TBD
  • Vanessa Kirby – The Brutalist – TBD
  • Diane Kruger – Joika – TBD
  • Joanna Kulig – She Came to Me – TBD
  • Thomasin McKenzie – Eileen – TBD
  • Jennifer Saunders – Allelujah – TBD
  • Marisa Tomei – She Came to Me – TBD
  • Odessa Young – Manodrome – TBD
Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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