2024 Emmy Predictions: ‘Shōgun’ Makes it Official with Two More Seasons Set at FX, Pushing it into Drama

FX confirmed yesterday that it has plans on moving forward with Shōgun as a drama series and hopes for two more seasons, definitively renewing the series and pushing the show into the drama categories. This will bring new competitors into the mix with series like Fallout and The Gilded Age, as it should be expected that Shōgun will still do well regardless of what categories it is competing in. Ripley might see a bit more love from the Television Academy with a series like Shōgun out of the limited series categories, opening up room for such a series as the Netflix slow burn. Prime Video has renewed Mr. and Mrs. Smith for another season that will not see leads Maya Erskine and Donald Glover returning to the spy drama. The series will compete in the drama categories this year.

Even though the eligibility deadline is approaching (May 31st), HBO made a last-minute announcement of a television movie that will join the fray. The Great Lillian Hall, starring Jessica Lange as the titular character, will premiere on May 31st as HBO’s final entry into the Limited Series or TV Movie categories for this year. Boasting an all star cast including the aforementioned Lange, the film also stars Kathy Bates, Lily Rabe, and Pierce Brosnan. Even with little knowledge of what to expect from the movie, it can be predicted that Lange could easily be taking someone’s spot in the Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie category.

The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will honor the best in American prime time television programming from June 1, 2023, until May 31, 2024, as chosen by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences. The entry deadline for all materials is May 9 and the full season submission deadline is May 31.

First round voting for the nomination stage begins June 13 and goes through June 24 at 10pm PT. Nominations are announced July 17 and the winner round of voting lasts from August 15 to 26 at 10pm PT. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala will be held on September 7 and 8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will be held at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California on September 15.

These are my ranked predictions for the nominations of the 2024 Emmys in Drama Series, Comedy Series and Limited Series plus lead and supporting acting categories. Directing, writing and guest acting categories to come.

Outstanding Drama Series

1. The Crown (Netflix

2. The Gilded Age (MAX)

3. Fallout (Prime Video)

4. Shōgun (FX)

5. Mr and Mrs Smith (Prime Video)

6. 3 Body Problem (Netflix)

7. The Curse (Showtime)

Other contenders: Hijack (AppleTV+); Law & Order: SVU (NBC); Loki (Disney+); Slow Horses (AppleTV+); Tokyo Vice (MAX)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series

1. Walton Goggins, Fallout (Prime Video)

2. Donald Glover, Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)

3. Dominic West, The Crown (Netflix)

4. Hiroyuko Sanada, Shōgun (FX)

5. Colin Farrell, Sugar (AppleTV+)

6. Tom Hiddleston, Loki (Disney+)

Other contenders: Idris Elba, Hijack (AppleTV+); Nathan Fielder, The Curse (Showtime); Cosmo Jarvis, Shōgun (FX); Ben Mendelsohn, The New Look (AppleTV+); Morgan Spector, The Gilded Age (MAX)

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series

1. Emma Stone, The Curse (Showtime)

2. Imelda Staunton, The Crown (Netflix)

3. Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show(AppleTV+)

4. Carrie Coon, The Gilded Age (MAX)

5. Maya Erskine, Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)

6.  Anna Sawai, Shōgun (FX)

Other contenders: Juliette Binoche, The New Look (AppleTV+); Mariska Hargitay, Law & Order: SVU (NBC); Rosamund Pike, The Wheel of Time (Prime Video); Ella Purnell, Fallout (Prime Video)

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series

1. Billy Crudup, The Morning Show(AppleTV+)

2. Jonathan Pryce, The Crown (Netflix)

3. Mark Duplass, The Morning Show(AppleTV+).

4. Ke Huy Quan, Loki (Disney+)

5. Tadanobu Asano, Shōgun (FX)

6. Khalid Abdalla, The Crown (Netflix)

7. Nathan Lane, The Gilded Age (MAX)

8. Takehiro Hira, Shōgun (FX)

Other contenders: Jovan Adepo, 3 Body Problem (Netflix); Jack Lowden, Slow Horses (AppleTV+); Benny Safdie, The Curse (Showtime); Owen Wilson, Loki (Disney+)

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series

1. Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown (Netflix)

2. Christine Baranski, The Gilded Age (MAX)

3. Lesley Manville, The Crown (Netflix)

4. Julianna Margulies, The Morning Show (AppleTV+)

5. Cynthia Nixon, The Gilded Age (MAX)

6. Amy Ryan, Sugar (AppleTV+)

7. Greta Lee, The Morning Show (AppleTV+)

8. Nicole Beharie, The Morning Show (AppleTV+)

Other contenders: Audra McDonald, The Gilded Age (MAX); Holland Taylor, The Morning Show (AppleTV+); Kristen Scott Thomas, Slow Horses (AppleTV+)

Outstanding Comedy Series

1. The Bear (FX)

2. Hacks (MAX)

3. Abbott Elementary (ABC)

4. Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

5. Palm Royale (AppleTV+)

6. Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)

7. What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

8. The Gentleman (Netflix)

Other contenders: I’m a Virgo (Prime Video); Girls5Eva (Netflix); Reservation Dogs (FX)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series

1. Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (FX)

2. Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

3. Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

4. Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)

5. Theo James, The Gentlemen (Netflix)

Other contenders: Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows (FX); Jharrel Jerome, I’m a Virgo (Prime Video); D’Pharaoh Woon-A-Tai, Reservation Dogs (FX)

Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series

1. Jean Smart, Hacks (MAX) 

2. Ayo Edebiri, The Bear (FX)

3. Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary (ABC) 

4. Kristen Wiig, Palm Royale (AppleTV+)

5. Selena Gomez, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu) 

Other contenders: Renée Elise Goldsberry, Girls5Eva (Netflix); Devery Jacobs, Reservation Dogs (FX); Maya Rudolph, Loot (AppleTV+)

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series

1. Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear (FX)

2. Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

3. Paul W. Downs, Hacks (MAX)

4. Paul Rudd, Only Murders in the Building(Hulu)

5. Bowen Yang, Saturday Night Live (NBC)

6. Richard Lewis, Curb Your Enthusiasm (HBO)

7. Harvey Guillén, What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

Other contenders: Lionel Bryce, The Bear (FX); Carl Clemons-Hopkins, Hacks (MAX); Chris Perfetti, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series

1. Meryl Streep, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

2. Janelle James, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

3. Sheryl Lee Ralph, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

4. Hannah Einbinder, Hacks (MAX)

5. Allison Janney, Palm Royale (AppleTV+)

6. Lisa Ann Walter, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

Other contenders: Carol Burnett, Palm Royale (AppleTV+); Abby Elliott, The Bear (FX); Molly Gordon, The Bear (FX)

Outstanding Limited Series

1. Baby Reindeer (Netflix)

2. True Detective: Night Country (HBO)

3. Fargo (FX)

4. Lessons in Chemistry (AppleTV+)
5. Ripley (Netflix)

Other contenders: Expats (Prime Video); Fellow Travelers (Showtime); Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX); Griselda (Netflix); The Sympathizer (MAX)

Outstanding Television Movie

1. The Great Lillian Hall (HBO)

2. Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie (Peacock)

3. The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial (Paramount+)

4. Scoop (Netflix)

5. Red, White, and Royal Blue (Prime Video)

Other contenders: Finestkind (Paramount+), Música (Prime Video), Unfrosted (Netfix)

Outstanding Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

1. Andrew Scott, Ripley (Netflix) 

2. Richard Gadd, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)

3. Jon Hamm, Fargo (FX)

4. Matt Bomer, Fellow Travelers (Showtime)

5. Tom Hollander, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)

6. Pierce Brosnan, The Great Lillian Hall (HBO)

Other contenders: Pierce Brosnan, The Great Lillian Hall (HBO); Michael Douglas, Franklin (AppleTV+); Tom Hollander, Feud: Capote v the Swans (FX); David Oyelowo, Lawmen: Bass Reeves (Paramount+): Tony Shalhoub, Mr. Monk’s Last Case (Peacock)

Outstanding Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

1. Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country(HBO)

2. Jessica Lange, The Great Lillian Hall (HBO)

3. Brie Larson, Lessons in Chemistry (AppleTV+)

4. Juno Temple, Fargo (FX)

5. Kate Winslet, The Regime (HBO)

6. Sofia Vergara, Griselda (Netflix)

Other contenders: Nicole Kidman, Expats (Prime Video); Julianne Moore, Mary & George (STARZ); Naomi Watts, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

1. Robert Downey Jr, The Sympathizer (MAX)

2. Finn Bennett, True Detective: Night Country (HBO)

3. Treat Williams, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)

4. Jonathan Bailey, Fellow Travelers (Showtime)

5. Lewis Pullman, Lessons in Chemistry (AppleTV+)

6. Joe Keery, Fargo (FX)

7. Hugh Grant, The Regime (HBO)

Other contenders: Hugh Grant, The Regime (HBO); John Hawkes, True Detective: Night Country (HBO); Barry Keoghan, Masters of the Air (AppleTV+);

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

1. Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)

2. Lily Gladstone, Under the Bridge (Hulu)

3. Diane Lane, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)

4. Kathy Bates, The Great Lillian Hall (HBO)

5. Jennifer Jason Leigh, Fargo (FX)

6. Sandra Oh, The Sympathizer (MAX)

7. Kali Reis, True Detective: Night Country (HBO)

Other contenders: Dakota Fanning, Ripley (Netflix);  Riley Keough, Under the Bridge (Hulu); Lily Rabe, The Great Lillian Hall (HBO); Chloë Sevigny, Feud: Capote vs. the Swans (FX)