2024 Golden Globe Predictions – Television: Expect a ‘Shōgun’ Dominance

The Golden Globe nominations this year – when it comes to TV – will likely feature many of the year’s most-watch programs, new and returning, with a few nominations for big stars that should come as no surprise.

With performers such as Cate Blanchett, Meryl Streep, Jake Gyllenhaal and Jodie Foster all in the television ring this year, the nominations will surely reflect their star-power on the small screen. While AppleTV+’s Disclaimer didn’t make a huge splash, it doesn’t seem likely for the HFPA to ignore Alfonso Cuaron or the show’s leading lady, Cate Blanchett. Jake Gyllenhaal will also likely grab a nomination for his performance in Presumed Innocent, while Jodie Foster will easily earn a nomination for True Detective: Night Country. It isn’t too surprising that all three of the aforementioned performances are for limited series, an easier avenue for massive stars to commit to a television role: don’t let it last long!

New shows will play a huge role in the nominations, with series like Fallout, Matlock, Shōgun, Nobody Wants This, and English Teacher poised to gain nominations in major categories. When it comes to television, the Globes are historically attracted to novelty, so these shows will likely dominate some categories. Comedies like Nodody Wants This and English Teacher will see their leads – Kristen Bell & Adam Brody and Brian Jordan Alvarez, respectively – with nominations Monday morning. On the opposite end, What We Do in the Shadows is in its final season now, and after Matt Berry’s Emmy nomination a few months back, could see itself grab a few final nominations from the HFPA. 

One of the biggest shows of the year, Shōgun, will be a huge player when nominations come out, Anna Sawai an almost-definite lock in the Lead Actress in a Drama Series category. Hiroyuki Sanada is poised to join his co-star by receiving a complementary nomination in the Lead Actor in a Drama Series category. The series will be the Drama to beat in any category it has nominations in. English Teacher is the comedy to look out for, as I’m sure that the more nominations it receives, the more its creator and lead, Brian Jordan Alvarez, will continue to post videos of himself dancing in a promotion for the show that could only be thought of by him. 

Best Television Series – Drama

• Fallout (Prime Video)
• House of the Dragon (HBO/MAX)
• Industry (HBO/MAX)
• Matlock (CBS)
• Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)
• Shōgun (FX)

Spoiler: Slow Horses (AppleTV+)

Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical

• Abbott Elementary (ABC)
• The Bear (FX)
• English Teacher (FX)
• Hacks (MAX)
• Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
• What We Do in the Shadows (FX)

Spoilers: Agatha All Along (Disney+), Shrinking (AppleTV+)

Best Miniseries or Motion Picture

• Baby Reindeer (Netflix)
• Disclaimer (AppleTV+)
• The Penguin (HBO/MAX)
• The Sympathizer (HBO/MAX)
• True Detective: Night Country (HBO/MAX)
• Ripley (Netflix)

Spoilers: Feud: Capote v the Swans (FX), The Perfect Couple (Netflix)

Best Actor in a Television Series – Drama

• Walton Goggins, Fallout (Prime Video)
• Donald Glover, Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)
• Jake Gyllenhaal, Presumed Innocent (AppleTV+)
• Lee Jung-jae, Squid Game (Netflix)
• Gary Oldman, Slow Horses (AppleTV+)
• Hiroyuki Sanada, Shōgun (FX)

Spoilers: Jeff Bridges, The Old Man (FX); Colin Farrell, Sugar (AppleTV+)

Best Actor in a Television Series – Comedy or Musical

• Brian Jordan Alvarez, English Teacher (FX)
• Matt Berry, What We Do in the Shadows (FX)
• Adam Brody, Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
• Steve Martin, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
• Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
• Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (FX)

Spoilers: Jason Segel, Shrinking (AppleTV+); Vince Vaughn, Bad Monkey (AppleTV+)

Best Actress in a Television Series – Drama

• Kathy Bates, Matlock (CBS)
• Emma D’Arcy, House of the Dragon (HBO/MAX)
• Maya Erskine, Mr. and Mrs. Smith (Prime Video)
• Myha’la, Industry (HBO/MAX)
• Keri Russell, The Diplomat (Netflix)
• Anna Sawai, Shōgun (FX)

Spoilers: Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters (AppleTV+); Ella Purnell, Fallout (Prime Video)

Best Actress in a Television Series – Comedy or Musical

• Kristen Bell, Nobody Wants This (Netflix)
• Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary (ABC)
• Ayo Edebiri, The Bear (FX)
• Bridget Everett, Somebody Somewhere (HBO/MAX)
• Kathryn Hahn, Agatha All Along (Disney+)
• Jean Smart, Hacks (HBO/MAX)

Spoilers: Maya Rudolph, Loot (AppleTV+); Kristen Wiig, Palm Royale (AppleTV+)

Best Actor in a Miniseries or Motion Picture 

• Nicholas Alexander Chavez, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
• Colin Farrell, The Penguin (HBO/MAX)
• Richard Gadd, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)
• Cooper Koch, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
• Kevin Kline, Disclaimer (AppleTV+)
• Andrew Scott, Ripley (Netflix)

Spoilers: Tom Hollander, Feud: Capote v the Swans (FX); Michael Sheen, A Very Royal Scandal (Prime Video)

Best Actress in a Miniseries or Motion Picture

• Cate Blanchett, Disclaimer (AppleTV+)
• Jodie Foster, True Detective: Night Country (HBO/MAX)
• Nicole Kidman, The Perfect Couple (Netflix)
• Cristin Milioti, The Penguin (HBO/MAX)
• Julianne Moore, Mary & George (Starz)
• Sofia Vergara, Griselda (Netflix)

Spoilers: Naomi Watts, Feud: Capote v the Swans (FX); Kate Winslet, The Regime (HBO/MAX)

Best Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Tadanobu Asano, Shōgun (FX)
• Javier Bardem, Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story (Netflix)
• Paul W. Downs, Hacks (HBO/MAX)
• Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear (FX)
• Peter Sarsgaard, Presumed Innocent (AppleTV+)
• Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary (ABC)

Spoilers: Jack Lowden, Slow Horses (AppleTV+); Ken Leung, Industry (HBO/MAX)

Best Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or Motion Picture Made for Television

• Liza Colón-Zayas, The Bear (FX)
• Hannah Einbinder, Hacks (HBO/MAX)
• Dakota Fanning, Ripley (Netflix)
• Jessica Gunning, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)
• Nava Mau, Baby Reindeer (Netflix)
• Meryl Streep, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

Spoilers: Kali Reis, True Detective: Night Country (HBO/MAX); Chloe Sevigny, Feud: Capote v the Swans (FX) 

Best Stand-Up Comedy Performance

• John Early, Now More Than Ever (HBO/MAX)
• Nikki Glaser, Someday You’ll Die (HBO/MAX)
• Jacqueline Novak, Get On Your Knees (Netflix)
• Adam Sandler, Love You (Netflix)
• Ali Wong, Single Lady (Netflix)

Spoiler: Ramy Youssef, More Feelings (HBO/MAX)