2024 SAG and PGA TV Awards Predictions: ‘Succession,’ ‘The Bear,’ ‘Beef’ Expected to Keep Winning

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This Saturday, February 24, marks the first Screen Actors Guild awards ceremony being broadcast live on Netflix, the streamer’s first live event of its kind. The streamer isn’t as big of a presence this year in the television categories, specifically drama, as it has been in recent years, making way for HBO to stream roll through certain categories. 

It will certainly be a big night for Succession, which celebrated wins at the Emmys recently for its final season, and will surely make big plays at the SAG awards for its last outing. It would be a surprise if anyone could manage to beat either Kieran Culkin or Sarah Snook or Actor and Actress in a Drama Series, respectively. Matthew Macfadyen, Culkin’s co-star, is easily the biggest competition for this category since Jeremy Strong wasn’t nominated. Snook might only see a competitor in Bella Ramsey for their performance in The Last of Us, but even that’s a long shot. Snook has been lauded for her performance in the final season of Succession, so it won’t be a shock for her peers to recognize her as well. 

Similarly in both comedy and limited series categories, there are two shows that were just represented heavily at the Emmys that will probably keep the momentum going right into these awards: The Bear and Beef. Jeremy Allen White will likely repeat his win from last year in Actor in a Comedy Series, while co-star Ayo Edebiri stands a good chance at becoming a first time SAG award recipient. Edebiri’s presence has grown over the past year with The Bear and Bottoms, likely thrusting her a little further than her competition in her category. Beef took home Emmys for its two lead actors, Steven Yeun and Ali Wong, and it should be expected the pair will take home the respective awards for their performances in Netflix’s limited series. 

Sunday night is the 35th Producers Guild of America’s annual awards for film and television categories for outstanding producing, so it’s time to dive into the categories and predict the winners for the tv categories.

There will likely be a repeat from the three top winners from the Emmys coming into this, a strong leaning towards Succession, The Bear, and Beef, for the drama, comedy, and limited/anthology series categories, respectively. The Last of Us will be bringing a little heat in the competition for drama, one of last year’s most talked about dramas that brought tension and tears. Jury Duty could be the big spoiler for the comedy category against The Bear, but with adoration only having grown since the FX series sophomore season, it doesn’t seem likely. 

RuPaul’s Drag Race will likely reclaim its crown for Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television, its four year streak broken last year to Lizzo’s Watch Out For The Big Grrrls. Sesame Street looks to claim another victory in the Children’s Program category, with The Velveteen Rabbit looking to steal the thunder from Elmo and friends. I Think You Should Leave deserves the Short Form Program award, and will probably win this year, even against last year’s winner, Only Murders in the Building: One Killer Question.

30th SAG awards predictions for television:

Drama Series Ensemble

Predicted winner: Succession (HBO/MAX)

Possible spoiler: The Last of Us (HBO/MAX)

Other nominees: The Crown (Netflix); The Gilded Age (HBO/MAX); The Morning Show (AppleTV+)

Comedy Series Ensemble

Predicted winner: The Bear (FX)

Possible spoiler: Abbott Elementary (ABC)
Other nominees: Barry (HBO/MAX); Only Murders in the Building (Hulu); Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)

Male Actor in a TV movie or Miniseries

Predicted winner: Steven Yeun, Beef (Netflix)

Possible spoiler: Matt Bomer, Fellow Travelers (Showtime)

Other nominees: Jon Hamm, Fargo (FX); David Oyelowo, Lawmen: Bass Reeves (Paramount+);  Tony Shalhoub, Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie (Peacock)

Female Actor in a TV movie or Miniseries

Predicted winner: Ali Wong, Beef (Netflix)

Possible spoiler: Brie Larson, Lessons in Chemistry (AppleTV+)

Other nominees: Uzo Aduba, Painkiller (Netflix); Kathryn Hahn, Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu); Bel Powley, A Small Light (National Geographic)

Male Actor in a Drama Series

Predicted winner: Kieran Culkin, Succession (HBO/MAX)

Possible spoiler: Matthew Macfadyen, Succession (HBO/MAX)

Other nominees: Brian Cox, Succession (HBO/MAX); Billy Crudup, The Morning Show (AppleTV+); Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us (HBO/MAX)

Female Actor in a Drama Series

Predicted winner: Sarah Snook, Succession (HBO/MAX)

Possible spoiler: Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us (HBO/MAX)

Other nominees: Jennifer Aniston, The Morning Show (AppleTV+); Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown (Netflix); Keri Russell, The Diplomat (Netflix)

Male Actor in a Comedy Series

Predicted winner: Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (FX)

Possible spoiler: Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear (FX)

Other nominees: Brett Goldstein, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+); Bill Hader, Barry (HBO/MAX); Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)

Female Actor in a Comedy Series

Predicted winner: Ayo Edebiri, The Bear (FX)

Possible spoiler: Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary (FX)

Other nominees: Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video); Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video); Hannah Waddingham, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)

Stunt Ensemble in a TV Series

Predicted winner: The Last of Us (HBO/MAX)

Possible spoiler: The Mandalorian (Disney+)

Other nominees: Ahsoka (Disney+); Barry (HBO/MAX); Beef (Netflix)

35th PGA awards predictions for television:

Norman Felton Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television, Drama

Predicted winner: Succession (HBO)

Spoiler: The Last of Us (HBO)

Other nominees: The Crown (Netflix); The Diplomat (Netflix); The Morning Show (Apple TV+)

Danny Thomas Award for Outstanding Producer of Episodic Television, Comedy

Predicted winner: The Bear (Hulu)

Spoiler: Jury Duty (Freevee)

Other nominees: Barry (HBO); Only Murders in the Building (Hulu); Ted Lasso (Apple TV+)

David L. Wolper Award for Outstanding Producer of Limited or Anthology Series Television

Predicted winner: Beef (Netflix)

Spoiler: Fargo (FX)

Other nominees: All the Light We Cannot See (Netflix); Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video); Lessons in Chemistry (Apple TV+)

Outstanding Producer of Streamed or Televised Motion Pictures

Predicted winner: Reality (HBO)

Spoiler: Mr. Monk’s Last Case: A Monk Movie (Peacock)

Other nominees: Black Mirror: Beyond the Sea (Netflix); Quiz Lady (Hulu); Red, White & Royal Blue (Prime Video)

Outstanding Producer of Non-Fiction Television

Predicted winner: Welcome to Wrexham (FX)

Spoiler: Being Mary Tyler Moore (HBO)

Other nominees: 60 Minutes (CBS); The 1619 Project (Hulu); Albert Brooks: Defending My Life (HBO)

Outstanding Producer of Game & Competition Television

Predicted winner: RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV)

Spoiler: Squid Game: The Challenge (Netflix)

Other nominees: The Amazing Race (CBS); Top Chef (Bravo); The Voice (NBC)

Outstanding Producer of Live Entertainment, Variety, Sketch, Standup & Talk Television

Predicted winner: Last Week Tonight with John Oliver (HBO)

Spoiler: Carol Burnett: 90 Years of Laughter + Love (NBC)

Other nominees: Chris Rock: Selective Outrage (Netflix); Dave Chappelle: The Dreamer (Netflix); Saturday Night Live (NBC)

Outstanding Sports Program

Predicted winner: 100 Foot Wave (HBO)

Spoiler: Beckham (Netflix)

Other nominees: Formula 1: Drive to Survive (Netflix); Hard Knocks: Training Camp with the New York Jets (HBO); Shaun White: The Last Run (Max)

Outstanding Children’s Program

Predicted winner: Sesame Street (Max)

Spoiler: The Velveteen Rabbit (Apple TV+)

Other nominees: Goosebumps (Disney+/Hulu); Gremlins: Secrets of the Mogwai (Max); Star Wars: The Bad Batch (Disney+)

Outstanding Short-Form Program

Predicted winner: I Think You Should Leave with Tim Robinson (Netflix)

Spoiler: The Last of Us: Inside the Episode (HBO)

Other nominees: Carpool Karaoke: The Series (Apple TV+); Only Murders in the Building: One Killer Question (Hulu); Succession: Controlling the Narrative (HBO)