We have Critics Choice and the Golden Globe screenplay nominations as well as European Film Award winner Emilia Pérez for December predictions. Not a lot of movement this month outside of Wicked: Part 1 becoming a top 10 contender.
The Writers Guild of America (WGA) nominations come out much earlier this season after last year’s strike-driven extension, revealing on January 9, 2025, with several high-profile screenplays being ineligible like The Brutalist, The Substance, Conclave and Emilia Pérez, among others.
Academy Awards nominations will be announced January 17, 2025 and the 97th Oscars will be held on March 2.
Here are my 2025 Oscar predictions in Adapted Screenplay and Original Screenplay for December.
| 1. Conclave (Focus Features) Peter Straughan (based on “Conclave” by Robert Harris) | CCA, GG |
| 2. Emilia Pérez (Netflix) Jacques Audiard (based on “Listen” by Boris Razon) | CCA, EFA, GG |
| 3. Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM/Orion) RaMell Ross, Joslyn Barnes (based on “The Nickel Boys” by Colson Whitehead) | CCA |
| 4. Sing Sing (A24) Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield (based on “The Sing Sing Follies” by John H. Richardson and “Breakin’ the Mummy’s Code” by Brent Buell) | CCA |
| 5. Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros) Denis Villeneuve, Jon Spaihts (based on the series by Frank Herbert) | CCA |
| 6. The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics) Pedro Almodóvar (based on “What Are You Going Through” by Sigrid Nunez) | EFA |
| 7. I’m Still Here (Sony Pictures Classics) Murilo Hauser, Heitor Lorega (based on “I’m Still Here” by Marcelo Rubens Paiva) | |
| 8. Wicked Part 1 — Winnie Holzman, Dana Fox (based on the musical stage play with music and lyrics by Stephen Schwartz and the book by Winnie Holzman) (Universal Pictures) | CCA |
| 9. A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures) Jay Cocks, James Mangold (based on “Dylan Goes Electric!” by Elijah Wald | |
| 10. The Piano Lesson (Netflix) Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington (based on the play by August Wilson) |
Next up:
| 1. Anora (NEON) Sean Baker | CCA, GG |
| 2. The Brutalist (A24) Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvold | CCA, GG |
| 3. A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures) Jesse Eisenberg | CCA, GG, Sundance |
| 4. The Substance (MUBI) Coralie Fargeat | Cannes, CCA, GG, EFA |
| 5. The Seed of the Sacred Fig (NEON) Mohammad Rasoulof | EFA |
| 6. Hard Truths (Bleecker Street) Mike Leigh | |
| 7. September 5 (Paramount Pictures) Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum | CCA |
| 8. Challengers (Amazon MGM) Justin Kuritzkes | CCA |
| 9. All We Imagine as Light (Janus Films/Sideshow) Payal Kapadia | |
| 10. Babygirl (A24) Halina Reijn |
Next up:
Other contenders:
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