2025 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (July)

Today gave us our first look at Isabella Rossellini in Conclave, a film I started my predictions with last month at the top of my list for Best Picture, Best Director and Best Actor. Rossellini was on the list too, and she rises this month.

Isabella Rossellini has given us some of the most memorable and indelible screen performances of all time. Whether it’s the provocative and volatile Dorothy Vallens in Blue Velvet or the high camp value of her immortal Lisle Von Rhuman in Death Becomes Her, or even her more recent work in Marcel the Shell with Shoes On and La Chimera, she burrows into your subconscious with flair, sexiness and power.

The offspring of legendary Italian filmmaker Robert Rossellini, who was part of the quartet of creators of the neo-realist movement that included Federico Fellini, Vittorio De Sica and Luchino Visconti, and 3-time Oscar-winning legend Ingrid Bergman, once married to Martin Scorsese and paired with David Lynch and Gary Oldman, Rossellini occupies a place in Hollywood history and lore that few else do. An avant-garde director in her own right, she’s barely been in awards conversations; she earned an Emmy nomination for a guest spot on Chicago Hope and a Golden Globe nomination for Crime of the Century in the same year (1997) and won the Spirit Award for Blue Velvet but has been mostly ignored by critics groups, must less the Academy. With Conclave, although it’s a role that requires observation over lengthy monologues, she does have one (if it remains from the book) that could clinch the first Oscar nomination of her very storied career.

Academy Awards nominations will be announced January 17, 2025 and the 97th Oscars will be held on March 2.

Here are my 2025 Oscar predictions in Supporting Actress for July.

• 1. Zoe Saldaña – Emilia Pérez (Netflix)
• 2. Danielle Deadwyler – The Piano Lesson (Netflix)
• 3. Isabella Rossellini – Conclave (Focus Features)
• 4. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor – Nickel Boys (Amazon MGM)
• 5. Toni Collette – Juror #2 (Warner Bros)
• 6. Lesley Manville – Queer (TBA)
• 7. Joan Chen – Dìdi (Focus Features)
• 8. Saoirse Ronan – Blitz (Apple Original Films)
• 9. Julianne Moore – The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics)
• 10. Selena Gomez – Emilia Pérez (Netflix)

Next up: Maria Bakalova – The Apprentice (Briarcliff Entertainment), Kathy Burke – Blitz (Apple Original Films), Glenn Close – The Deliverance (Netflix), Carrie Coon – His Three Daughters (Netflix), Nina Hoss – Women in the Castle (TBA), Moses Ingram – The End (NEON), Mo’Nique – The Deliverance (Netflix), Elizabeth Olsen – His Three Daughters (Netflix),  Renate Reinsve – A Different Man (A24), Kristin Scott Thomas – Women in the Castle (TBA), Emily Watson – Small Things Happen (Lionsgate)

Other contenders: Juliette Binoche – The Return (Bleecker Street), Zoe Chao – Nightbitch (Searchlight Pictures), Michaela Coel – Mother Mary (A24), Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor – The Deliverance (Netflix), Jamie Lee Curtis – The Last Showgirl (TBA), Dolly De Leon – Between the Temples (Sony Pictures Classics), Nathalie Emmanuel – Megalopolis (Lionsgate), Jennifer Grey – A Real Pain (Searchlight Pictures), Anne Hathaway – Mother Mary (A24), Nina Hoss – Hedda (Amazon MGM), Catherine Keener – Joker: Folie à Deux (Warner Bros), Mo’Nique – The Deliverance (Netflix), Connie Nielsen – Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures), Catherine O’Hara – Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (Warner Bros), Imogen Poots – Hedda (Amazon MGM), Margaret Qualley – The Substance (MUBI), Daisy Ridley – Women in the Castle (TBA), Robin Wright – Here (Sony Pictures), Michelle Yeoh – Wicked Part I (Universal Pictures)

Lead or supporting?: Glenn Close – The Summer Book (TBA), Michaela Coel – Mother Mary (A24), Danielle Deadwyler – The Piano Lesson (Netflix), Anne Hathaway – Mother Mary (A24), Daisy Ridley – Women in the Castle (TBA), Jennifer Lopez – Unstoppable (Amazon MGM), Natasha Lyonne – His Three Daughters (Netflix), Kristin Scott Thomas – Women in the Castle (TBA)

2024 or 2025?:  Melissa Barrera – The Collaboration (TBA), Laura Dern – Jay Kelly (Netflix), Ilfenesh Hadera – High and Low (Apple Original Films), Ella Hunt/Rachel Sennott – SNL 1975 (Sony Pictures), Nina Hoss – Hedda (Amazon MGM), Vicky Krieps – Father, Mother, Sister, Brother (TBA), Jennifer Lopez – Unstoppable (Amazon MGM), Fernanda Montenegro – I’m Still Here (Sony Pictures Classics), Imogen Poots – Hedda (Amazon MGM), Charlotte Rampling – Father, Mother, Sister, Brother (TBA)