2026 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED SCREENPLAY and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (November)
Here are my 2026 Oscar nomination predictions in Adapted Screenplay and Original Screenplay for November.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
| 1. One Battle After Another (Warner Bros) | Gotham |
| 2. Hamnet (Focus Features) | |
| 3. Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery (Netflix) | |
| 4. Bugonia (Focus Features) ↑ | |
| 5. Train Dreams (Netflix) ↑ | Gotham |
| 6. No Other Choice (NEON) ↓ | Gotham |
| 7. Frankenstein (Netflix) | |
| 8. Nuremberg (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑ | |
| 9. Nouvelle Vague (Netflix) ↓ | |
| 10. Wicked: For Good (Universal Pictures) |
Other contenders: Die My Love (MUBI), Hedda (Amazon MGM), The History of Sound (MUBI), Kiss of the Spider Woman (Roadside Attractions), The Life of Chuck (NEON), The Smashing Machine (A24), Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere (20th Century Studios), The Voice of Hind Rajab (WILLA)
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
| 1. Sinners (Warner Bros) ↑ | |
| 2. Sentimental Value (NEON) ↓ | |
| 3. It Was Just an Accident (NEON) ↑ | Gotham |
| 4. Marty Supreme (A24) ↓ | |
| 5. Weapons (Warner Bros/New Line) ↑ | |
| 6. Jay Kelly (Netflix) ↓ | |
| 7. The Secret Agent (NEON) | Gotham |
| 8. Blue Moon (Sony Pictures Classics) ↑ | |
| 9. Is This Thing On? (Searchlight Pictures) | |
| 10. The Testament of Ann Lee (Searchlight Pictures) |
Other contenders: A House of Dynamite (Netflix) ↓, If I Had Legs I’d Kick You (A24) – Gotham, The Mastermind (MUBI), Materialists (A24), A Private Life (Sony Pictures Classics), Rental Family (Searchlight Pictures), Sorry, Baby (A24) – Gotham
Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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