30th Screen Actors Guild (SAG) Awards Nomination Predictions – Television: How Many Nods Can ‘Succession’ Get?

With nominations coming from SAG-AFTRA soon celebrating the performances of 2023 in both television and film, it’s time to look at the possibilities in the tv categories. 

Succession is poised to have quite an award season in the coming weeks (since the Emmys are happening this month due to the strikes), and SAG nominations will prove its power. Succession receiving five individual acting nominations might seem crazy (and it is), but the love for this series is deep enough to warrant the thought that it could happen. The final season of HBO’s drama proved that its actors are amongst the best working today, and their peers will certainly shower them with adoration come nomination morning. The Last of Us will likely receive some love for its terrific first season and its leading duo, Pedro Pascal and Bella Ramsey. The Morning Show’s antics will not stop SAG-AFTRA from giving its actors some love; while the series sent Reese Witherspoon to space, it will be Jennifer Aniston that SAG sends the nomination. 

The Bear will likely make a big mark in the comedy categories coming off an incredibly well-performed second season. It would be a shock for the series to miss after its “Fishes” episode that paraded in guest stars like a Thanksgiving parade of well-known stars. Jury Duty deserves a nomination in the ensemble category for the actors dedication to their roles and not breaking in front of Ronald Gladden for the entirety of the experiment and, honestly, a win. Only Murders will come back to take its seat in the ensemble category, while Meryl Streep will almost assuredly get herself a nomination for her fantastic performance in the show’s third season. Barry and Ted Lasso will battle it out as last-season series that have fizzled out when it comes to awards attention, but the former might have the edge to get the nom. 

The limited series categories will see Beef leads Steven Yeun and Ali Wong take their place before their presumed eventual wings in the categories. Stars like Brie Larson from Lessons in Chemistry and Jon Hamm in Fargo will probably find footing amongst their peers to jumpstart a campaign that could help them later this year at the Emmys (the 2024 Emmys happening in September, not to be confused with the 2024 Emmys happening in January representing the 2022/2023 season). Daisy Jones & the Six will also likely grab at least one individual nomination for Riley Keough, but Sam Claflin seems like a likely choice for Actor in a Limited Series. 

Award-winning actor, singer, producer, writer, and director Barbra Streisand will be the 59th recipient of SAG-AFTRA’s highest tribute: the SAG Life Achievement Award for career achievements and humanitarian accomplishments.

Nominations for the SAG Awards will be announced on January 10, 2024. The 30th Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards will take place on Saturday, February 24, 2024. The two-hour ceremony will be streamed live on Netflix at 8 p.m. (ET) / 5 p.m. (PT) from the Shrine Auditorium & Expo Hall.

Here are my predictions for the Television nominations:

Ensemble in a Drama Series

• The Crown (Netflix)
• The Last of Us (HBO)
• The Morning Show (AppleTV+)
• Succession (HBO)
• 1923 (Paramount+)

Other possibilities: Yellowjackets (Showtime), The Diplomat (Netflix)

Ensemble in a Comedy Series

• Abbott Elementary (ABC)
• Barry (HBO)
• The Bear (FX)
• Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee)
• Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

Other possibilities: Ted Lasso (AppleTV+), The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video), Reservation Dogs (Hulu)

Male Actor in a Drama Series

• Brian Cox – Succession (HBO)
• Kieran Culkin – Succession (HBO)
• Matthew Macfadyen – Succession (HBO)
• Pedro Pascal – The Last of Us (HBO)
• Jeremy Strong – Succession (HBO)

Other possibilities: Billy Crudup – The Morning Show (AppleTV+), Harrison Ford – 1923 (Paramount+), Jon Hamm – The Morning Show (AppleTV+)

Female Actor in a Drama Series

• Jennifer Aniston – The Morning Show (AppleTV+)
• Helen Mirren – 1923 (Paramount+)
• Bella Ramsey – The Last of Us (HBO)
• Keri Russell – The Diplomat (Netflix)
• Sarah Snook – Succession (HBO)

Other possibilities: J. Smith-Cameron – Succession (HBO), Imelda Staunton – The Crown (Netflix), Melanie Lynskey – Yellowjackets (Showtime)

Male Actor in a Comedy Series

• Bill Hader – Barry (HBO)
• James Marsden – Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee)
• Ebon Moss-Bachrach – The Bear (FX)
• Martin Short – Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)
• Jeremy Allen White – The Bear (FX)

Other possibilities: Jason Sudeikis – Ted Lasso (AppleTV+), Tyler James Williams – Abbott Elementary (ABC), Harrison Ford – Shrinking (AppleTV+)

Female Actor in a Comedy Series

• Quinta Brunson – Abbott Elementary (ABC)
• Rachel Brosnahan – The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video)
• Ayo Edebiri – The Bear (FX)
• Natasha Lyonne – Poker Face (Peacock)
• Meryl Streep – Only Murders in the Building (Hulu)

Other possibilities: Hannah Waddingham – Ted Lasso (AppleTV+), Sheryl Lee Ralph – Abbott Elementary (ABC), Selena Gomez – Only Murders in the Building

Male Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

• Matt Bomer – Fellow Travelers (Showtime)
• Sam Claflin – Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video)
• Jon Hamm – Fargo (FX)
• Mark Ruffalo – All the Light We Cannot See (Netflix)
• Steven Yeun – Beef (Netflix)

Other possibilities: Young Mazino – Beef (Netflix), Jonathan Bailey – Fellow Travelers (Showtime), Woody Harrelson – The White House Plumbers (HBO)

Female Actor in a Television Movie or Limited Series

• Dominique Fishback – Swarm (Prime Video)
• Riley Keough – Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video)
• Brie Larson – Lessons in Chemistry (AppleTV+)
• Juno Temple – Fargo (FX)
• Ali Wong – Beef (Netflix)

Other possibilities: Betty Gilpin – Mrs. Davis (Peacock), Kathryn Hahn – Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu), Uzo Aduba – Painkiller (Netflix)

Stunt Ensemble in a Comedy or Drama Series

• Ahsoka (Disney+)
• Gen V (Prime Video)
• The Last of Us (HBO)
• Loki (Disney+)
• Percy Jackson and the Olympians (Disney+)

Other possibilities: The Diplomat (Netflix), Citadel (Prime Video)