The Emmys are finally upon us, in January 2024, in the middle of film awards season. Television people continue to stand strong after waiting months for the Emmys to finally happen so that they can happen, once again, in eight months from now.
Succession will easily have the biggest showing of the night, bulldozing through categories like Directing, Writing, Lead Actor and Lead Actress in a Drama. The final season of the HBO drama was arguably its best, with a water cooler vibe that created a phenomenon around watching the show. It won’t be surprising when the drama sweeps most of the drama categories with ease. If there’s any competition for HBO’s drama, it’s… another HBO drama. The Last of Us took home eight awards at the first night of the Creative Arts Emmys, including both Guest Actor and Guest Actress in a Drama Series (for Nick Offerman and Storm Reid, respectively). It probably won’t be able to beat Succession, but it will put up a good fight. Jennifer Coolidge seems an easy pick for Supporting Actress in a Drama for season two of another HBO drama, The White Lotus. If anything, HBO is the clear winner here overall once again.
The Bear looks to dominate the comedy categories with a clear path for Jeremy Allen White to win his first Emmy for Lead Actor in a Comedy. Ayo Edebiri competes in Supporting Actress in a Comedy and has a good chance of winning if voters responded to her performance in season one of The Bear more than current reigning winner Sheryl Lee Ralph, who turned in more excellent work in season two of Abbott Elementary. Supporting Actor in a Comedy seems to come down to Ebon Moss-Bachrach from The Bear or James Marsden in Jury Duty, but with the also huge response to Freevee’s judicial comedy, James Marsden might have the edge in this category. The Bear will likely also take the Writing and Directing for a Comedy Series awards, both going to series creator Christopher Storer.
The Limited Series categories are going to have a lot of Beef in them, with the series most likely to win the Best Limited or Anthology Series award. While both lead performances stand a good chance of taking home awards, Ali Wong stands out further in her category. Steven Yeun will find competition from Evan Peters from Dahmer; Peters being a previous Emmy winner only helps his chances in the vote. It would be surprising if Beef didn’t win the Directing and Writing awards for the Limited Series categories with the love it’s gotten since its premiere last year. Fleishman is in Trouble has a few nominations going into the ceremony, but will likely leave empty handed when the night is over.
The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards are set air at 8 pm ET/5 pm PT on Monday, January 15 on FOX and be hosted by Anthony Anderson.
Here are my winner predictions for all categories:
Predicted winner: Succession (HBO/Max)
Possible spoiler: The Last of Us (HBO/Max)
Other nominees: Andor Disney+; Better Call Saul (AMC); The Crown (Netflix); House of the Dragon (HBO/Max); The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Yellowjackets (Showtime)
Predicted winner: Kieran Culkin,Succession (HBO/Max)
Possible spoiler: Pedro Pascal, The Last of Us (HBO/Max)
Other nominees: Jeff Bridges, The Old Man (FX); Brian Cox, Succession (HBO/Max); Bob Odenkirk, Better Call Saul (AMC); Jeremy Strong Succession (HBO/Max)
Predicted winner: Sarah Snook, Succession (HBO/Max)
Possible spoiler: Bella Ramsey, The Last of Us (HBO/Max)
Other nominees: Sharon Horgan, Bad Sisters (AppleTV+); Melanie Lynskey, Yellowjackets (Showtime); Elisabeth Moss, The Handmaid’s Tale (Hulu); Keri Russell, The Diplomat (Netflix)
Predicted winner: Matthew Macfadyen, Succession (HBO/Max)
Possible spoiler: F. Murray Abraham, The White Lotus (HBO/Max)
Other nominees: Nicholas Braun, Succession (HBO/Max) ; Michael Imperioli, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Theo James, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Alan Ruck Succession (HBO/Max); Will Sharpe, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Alexander Skarsgård, Succession (HBO/Max)
Predicted winner: Jennifer Coolidge, The White Lotus (HBO/Max)
Possible spoiler: Elizabeth Debicki, The Crown (Netflix)
Other nominees: Meghann Fahy, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Sabrina Impacciatore, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Aubrey Plaza, The White Lotus (HBO/Max); Rhea Seehorn, Better Call Saul (AMC); J. Smith-Cameron, Succession (HBO/Max); Simona Tabasco, The White Lotus (HBO/Max)
Predicted winner: The Bear (FX)
Possible spoiler: Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee)
Other nominees: Abbott Elementary (ABC); Barry (HBO/Max); The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video); Only Murders in the Building (Hulu); Ted Lasso (Apple TV+); Wednesday (Netflix)
Predicted winner: Quinta Brunson, Abbott Elementary (ABC)
Possible spoiler: Natasha Lyonne, Poker Face (Peacock)
Other nominees: Christina Applegate, Dead to Me (Netflix); Rachel Brosnahan, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video); Jenna Ortega, Wednesday (Netflix)
Predicted winner: Jeremy Allen White, The Bear (FX)
Possible spoiler: Bill Hader, Barry (HBO/Max)
Other nominees: Martin Short, Only Murders in the Building (Hulu); Jason Segel, Shrinking (AppleTV+); Jason Sudeikis, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+)
Predicted winner: James Marsden, Jury Duty (Prime Video)
Possible spoiler: Ebon Moss-Bachrach, The Bear (FX)
Other nominees: Anthony Carrigan, Barry (HBO/Max); Phil Dunster, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+); Brett Goldstein Ted Lasso; Tyler James Williams, Abbott Elementary (ABC); Henry Winkler, Barry (HBO/Max)
Predicted winner: Ayo Edebiri, The Bear (FX)
Possible spoiler: Sheryl Lee Ralph Abbott Elementary (ABC)
Other nominees: Alex Borstein, The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel (Prime Video); Janelle James Abbott Elementary (ABC); Juno Temple, Ted Lasso (AppleTV+); Hannah Waddingham Ted Lasso (AppleTV+); Jessica Williams, Shrinking (AppleTV+)
Predicted winner: Beef (Netflix)
Possible spoiler: Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)
Other nominees: Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video); Fleishman Is in Trouble (FX); Obi-Wan Kenobi (Disney+)
Predicted winner: Ali Wong, Beef (Netflix)
Possible spoiler: Dominique Fishback, Swarm (Prime Video)
Other nominees: Lizzy Caplan, Fleishman Is in Trouble (Hulu); Jessica Chastain George & Tammy (Showtime); Kathryn Hahn, Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu); Riley Keough, Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video)
Predicted winner: Steven Yeun, Beef (Netflix)
Possible spoiler: Evan Peters, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix)
Other nominees: Taron Egerton, Black Bird (AppleTV+); Kumail Nanjiani, Welcome to Chippendales (Hulu); Daniel Radcliffe Weird: The Al Yankovic Story (Roku); Michael Shannon, George & Tammy (Showtime)
Predicted winner: Murray Bartlett, Welcome to Chippendales (Hulu)
Possible spoiler: Young Mazino, Beef (Netflix)
Other nominees: Paul Walter Hauser, Black Bird (AppleTV+); Richard Jenkins, Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Netflix); Joseph Lee, Beef (Netflix); Ray Liotta Black Bird (AppleTV+); Jesse Plemons Love & Death (HBO/Max)
Predicted winner: Niecy Nash-Betts, Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story (Monster)
Possible spoiler: Claire Danes, Fleishman Is In Trouble (Hulu)
Other nominees: Annaleigh Ashford, Welcome to Chippendales (Hulu); Maria Bello, Beef (Netflix); Juliette Lewis, Welcome to Chippendales (Hulu); Camila Morrone, Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video); Merritt Wever, Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu)
Predicted winner: The Bear (FX) – Christopher Storer
Possible spoiler: Jury Duty (Amazon Freevee) – Mekki Leeper
Other nominees: Barry, “wow” (HBO/Max) – Bill Hader; Only Murders in the Building “I Know Who Did It” (Hulu) – John Hoffman, Matteo Borghese, Rob Turbovsky; The Other Two, “Cary & Brooke Go to an AIDS Play” (HBO/Max) – Chris Kelly, Sarah Schneider; Ted Lasso, “So Long, Farewell” (Apple TV+) – Brendan Hunt, Joe Kelly, Jason Sudeikis
Predicted winner: Succession, “Connor’s Wedding” (HBO/Max) – Jesse Armstrong
Possible spoiler: The Last of Us, “Long Long Time” (HBO/Max) – Craig Mazin
Other nominees: Andor, “One Way Out” (Disney+) – Beau Willimon; Bad Sisters, “The Prick” (Apple TV+) – Sharon Horgan, Dave Finkel, Brett Baer; Better Call Saul, “Point and Shoot” (AMC) – Gordon Smith; Better Call Saul, “Saul Gone”(AMC) – Peter Gould; The White Lotus, “Arrivederci” (HBO/Max) – Mike White
Predicted winner: Beef, “The Birds Don’t Sing, They Screech in Pain” (Netflix) – Lee Sung Jin
Possible spoiler: Fire Island (Hulu) – Joel Kim Booster
Other nominees: Fleishman Is in Trouble, “Me-Time” (FX) – Taffy Brodesser-Akner; Prey (Hulu) – Patrick Aison, Dan Trachtenberg; Swarm, “Stung” (Prime Video) – Janine Nabers, Donald Glover; Weird: The Al Yankovic Story (The Roku Channel) – Al Yankovic, Eric Appel
Predicted winner: Succession, “Connor’s Wedding” (HBO/Max) – Mark Mylod
Possible spoiler: The Last of Us, “Long Long Time” (HBO/Max) – Peter Hoar
Other nominees: Andor, “Rix Road” (Disney+) – Benjamin Caron; Bad Sisters, “The Prick” (Apple TV+) – Dearbhla Walsh; Succession, “America Decides” (HBO/Max) – Andrij Parekh; Succession, “Living+” (HBO/Max) – Lorene Scafaria; The White Lotus, “Arrivederci” (HBO/Max) – Mike White
Predicted winner: The Bear, “Review” (FX) – Christopher Storer
Possible spoiler: Barry, “wow” (HBO/Max) – Bill Hader
Other nominees: The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel, “Four Minutes” (Prime Video) – Amy Sherman-Palladino; The Ms. Pat Show, “Don’t Touch My Hair” (BET+) – Mary Lou Belli; Ted Lasso, “So Long, Farewell” (Apple TV+) – Declan Lowney; Wednesday, “Wednesday’s Child Is Full of Woe” (Netflix) – Tim Burton
Predicted winner: Beef, “Figures of Light” (Netflix) – Lee Sung Jin
Possible spoiler: Beef, “The Great Fabricator” (Netflix) – Jake Schreier
Other nominees: Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, “Bad Meat” (Netflix) – Carl Franklin; Dahmer — Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, “Silenced” (Netflix) – Paris Barclay; Fleishman Is in Trouble, “Me-Time” (FX) – Valerie Faris, Jonathan Dayton; Prey (Hulu) – Dan Trachtenberg
Predicted winner: Jimmy Kimmel Live! (ABC)
Possible spoiler: Late Night With Seth Meyers (NBC)
Other nominees: The Daily Show With Trevor Noah (Comedy Central); The Late Show With Stephen Colbert (CBS); The Problem With Jon Stewart (Apple TV+)
Predicted winner: Survivor (CBS)
Possible spoiler: RuPaul’s Drag Race (MTV)
Other nominees: The Amazing Race (CBS); Top Chef (Bravo); The Voice (NBC)
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