FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS

LAFCA, NBR, NSFC, NYFCC, BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG, Spirit. It’s rare that a sweep like this happens but when it does there’s not much more to do than to celebrate the coronation that’s coming and this season has gone Da’Vine Joy Randolph’s way since day one.
Despite being bought in the Toronto market in 2022, Focus Features opted to kick off The Holdovers at the 2023 Telluride Film Festival (it did play TIFF a few weeks later) and then nearly a dozen others, including SCAD and AFI. But, we were in the middle of the actors strike so Randolph (nor her co-stars) weren’t able to make appearances, do interviews or hold court in a way that is often such a crucial component of the fall festivals, especially awards season films that are onboarded though.
Once the strike lifted on November 9, Randolph was everywhere and in December the full impact of her performance took hold as she very quickly started collecting critics wins. Not simply collecting them, absolutely demolishing them. Starting with National Board of Review, the trifecta of LAFCA/NYFCC/NSFC and every possible regional group went her way. Rachel McAdams made a small dent with Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. when she tied with Randolph at LAFCA, but that went nowhere and there was and is simply nothing and no one to stand in her way.
Here are my final 2024 Oscar predictions for Supporting Actress.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| 1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 2. America Ferrera in Barbie (CCA) |
| 3. Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 4. Jodie Foster in Nyad (CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 5. Danielle Brooks in The Color Purple (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |

- ‘Jay Kelly,’ ‘Hamnet,’ ‘Pluribus,’ ‘Task’ and More on AFI’s Top 10 Films and Television of 2025 Lists - December 4, 2025
- ‘Frankenstein’ to Receive Visionary Honor from Palm Springs International Film Awards - December 4, 2025
- Robert Yeoman to be Honored with American Society of Cinematographers’ Lifetime Achievement Award - December 3, 2025

‘Jay Kelly,’ ‘Hamnet,’ ‘Pluribus,’ ‘Task’ and More on AFI’s Top 10 Films and Television of 2025 Lists
‘Frankenstein’ to Receive Visionary Honor from Palm Springs International Film Awards
Robert Yeoman to be Honored with American Society of Cinematographers’ Lifetime Achievement Award
National Board of Review: ‘One Battle After Another’ Tops in Film, Director, Actor, Supporting Actor; Netflix Lands Four in Top 10