Welcome to The Awards Alchemist.
With his transition to AwardsWatch, Mark Johnson decided to rebrand his monthly Oscar predictions article. Goodbye to Good As Gold; hello to The Awards Alchemist – a nod to the science and analytics behind Oscar predictions, inspired by the ancient Egyptian and Greek practices of alchemy that sought to turn base metals into gold.
Here you’ll find Mark’s monthly pieces (including the first when it was still briefly titled Good As Gold), focusing on a singular category, the impact of critics and industry wins or whatever the wind brings his way for Oscar updates.
Click on the text or image for each piece to read The Awards Alchemist map his way through the Oscar season.
OCTOBER 2024
NOVEMBER 2024
DECEMBER 2024




Producers Guild Awards Nominations for Sports, Children’s and Short-Form Programs
Wim Wenders to Lead 76th Berlin International Film Festival Jury
2026 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED SCREENPLAY and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (December)
San Diego Film Critics Society (SDFCS) Nominations: ‘One Battle After Another,’ ‘Sinners’ Lead