2027 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (June)
Like Sandra Hüller, we have another potential contender for a double nomination in Supporting Actress, as the new Oscar rules finally allow for an actor to receive more than one nod in a single category.
Penélope Cruz, already a previous winner in this category (for 2008’s Vicky Cristina Barcelona), has two very strong chances in upcoming films: The Invite (A24) and La bola negra (Netflix). She also might have Bunker, where she co-stars with husband and fellow supporting Oscar winner Javier Bardem, but without a distributor or knowledge of her likely category placement, we’ll stick with the two known quantities, both of which I’ve seen. Her role in The Invite, which comes out June 26, is by far the larger one and a fully fleshed out character in Olivia Wilde’s funny, tight, four-person tell-all dramedy. But in La bola negra, from Cannes Best Director winners Javier Ambrossi and and Javier Calvo (aka Los Javis), Cruz gets two fantastic musical numbers and a short but impactful scene where she gets to utter one of the film’s best lines of dialogue that helps connect the film’s triptych of stories.
When it comes to campaigns, Netflix is obviously the better player here, with two wins in this category (Laura Dern for Marriage Story and Zoe Saldaña for Emilia Pérez). As a fall release, La bola negra might have more of a presence if The Invite is returned to sender and A24 looks elsewhere for a contender in this category, like Havana Rose Liu or Halle Bailey in the now-titled Jesse Eisenberg musical comedy The Debut.
Here are my 2027 Oscar nomination predictions in Supporting Actress for June.
| 1. Sandra Hüller – Digger (Warner Bros) |
| 2. Sandra Hüller – Project Hail Mary (Amazon MGM Studios) |
| 3. Penélope Cruz – The Invite (A24) |
| 4. Penélope Cruz – La bola nega (The Black Ball) (Netflix) ⬆ |
| 5. Esmé Creed-Miles – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features) |
| 6. Anne Hathaway – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures) |
| 7. Mariana Di Girolamo – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures) ⬇ |
| 8. Scarlett Johansson – Paper Tiger (NEON) |
| 9. Tao Okamoto – All of a Sudden (NEON) NEW |
| 10. Wumni Mosaku – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia) |
Next up: Catriona Balfe – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features) NEW, Elizabeth Debicki – Untitled Cliff Booth Movie (Netflix), Margarita Levieva – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures) ⬆, Havana Rose Liu – The Debut (A24), Lesley Manville – Jack of Spades (TBD) ⬇, Lupita Nyong’o – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures) NEW, Parker Posey – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures), Maxime Peake – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classics), Olivia Wilde – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures) ⬆
*Lead or Supporting? Penélope Cruz – The Bunker (TBD), Scarlett Johansson – Paper Tiger (NEON), Tao Okamoto – All of a Sudden (NEON)
Amy Adams – Klara and the Sun (Sony Pictures/Columbia)
Adele – Cry to Heaven (TBD)
India Amarteifio – Clarissa (NEON)
Gillian Anderson – Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma (MUBI)
Pamela Anderson – Place to Be (TBD)
Patricia Arquette – The Last Disturbance of Madeline Hynde (TBD)
Ashley Bailey Johnson – Tender Loving Care (Bleecker Street)
Halle Bailey – The Debut (A24)
Caitriona Balfe – A Long Winter (TBD)
Catriona Balfe – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features)
Caitriona Balfe – Tenzing (Apple Original Films)
Emily Beecham – The Queen of Fashion (TBD)
Nicole Beharie – By Any Means (Paramount Pictures)
Monica Bellucci – The Birthday Party (TBD)
Emily Blunt – The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century Fox)
Anna Calder-Marshall – Queen at Sea (Greenwich Entertainment)
Gemma Chan – Josephine (Summerian Films)
Cho Yeo-jong – Possible Love (Netflix)
Arden Choi – Perfect Girl (TBD)
Glenn Close – The Black Ball (Netflix)
Olivia Colman – Elsinore (TBD)
Jodie Comer – The Death of Robin Hood (A24)
Olivia Cooke – The Talent for Murder (TBD)
Camille Cottin – The Riders (A24)
Esmé Creed-Miles – Sense and Sensibility (Focus Features)
Penélope Cruz – La bola nega (The Black Ball) (Netflix)
*Penélope Cruz – The Bunker (TBD)
Penélope Cruz – The Invite (A24)
Jamie Lee Curtis – The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Pictures Classics)
Emma D’Arcy – Digger (Warner Bros)
Elizabeth Debicki – The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Catherine Deneuve – Gentle Monster (TBD)
Mariana Di Girolamo – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)
Michelle Dockery – Queen of Fashion (TBD)
Daisy Edgar-Jones – A Place in Hell (NEON)
Virginie Efira – Parallel Tales (TBD)
Vera Farmiga – Billion Dollar Spy (Lionsgate)
Patsy Ferran – Jack of Spades (TBD)
Marina Fois – The Beloved (TBD)
Carla Gugino – The Adventures of Cliff Booth (Netflix)
Alana Haim – The Drama (A24)
Rebecca Hall – The Man I Love (TBD)
Anne Hathaway – The Devil Wears Prada 2 (20th Century Studios)
Anne Hathaway – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures)
May Hong – Perfect Girl (TBD)
Sandra Hüller – Digger (Warner Bros)
Sandra Hüller – Project Hail Mary (Amazon MGM Studios)
Jeon Do-yeon – Possible Love (Netflix)
Jeon Somi – Perfect Girl (TBD)
*Scarlett Johansson – Paper Tiger (NEON)
Emilia Jones – Tony (TBD)
Rashida Jones – Good Sex (Netflix)
Reika Kirishima – Hot Spot (Focus Features)
Thinley Lhamo – Tenzing (Apple Original Films)
Greta Lee – Late Fame (Magnolia Pictures)
Margarita Levieva – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures)
Havana Rose Liu – The Debut (A24)
Nia Long – Michael (Lionsgate)
Natasha Lyonne – Klara and the Sun (Sony Pictures/Columbia)
Lesley Manville – Jack of Spades (TBD)
Tatiana Maslany – The Only Living Pickpocket in New York (Sony Pictures Classics)
Frances McDormand – Jack of Spades (TBD)
Thomasin McKenzie – The Uprising (Focus Features)
Wumni Mosaku – The Life and Deaths of Wilson Shedd (TBD)
Wumni Mosaku – The Social Reckoning (Sony Pictures/Columbia)
Thandiwe Newton – Cry to Heaven (TBD)
Lupita Nyong’o – The Odyssey (Universal Pictures)
*Tao Okamoto – All of a Sudden (NEON)
Sophie Okonedo – Mouse (IFC)
Maxime Peake – I Swear (Sony Pictures Classics)
Bernadette Peters – Untitled Jesse Eisenberg Musical Comedy aka No One Cares (A24)
Missi Pyle – The Life and Deaths of Wilson Shedd (TBD)
Parker Posey – Wild Horse Nine (Searchlight Pictures)
Margaret Qualley – The Dog Stars (20th Century Studios)
Vanessa Redgrave – Sweetsick (Searchlight Pictures)
Mason Reeves – Josephine (Summerian Films)
Miranda Richardson – The Duchess and I (TBD)
Miranda Richardson – Queen of Fashion (TBD)
AnnaSophia Robb – I Play Rocky (Amazon MGM Studios)
Isabella Rossellini – The Duchess and I (TBD)
Meg Ryan – Good Sex (Netflix)
Adeline Rudolph – Perfect Girl (TBD)
Aitana Sanchez-Gijon – Bitter Christmas (Sony Pictures Classics)
Susan Sarandon – The Echo Chamber (TBD)
Varvara Shmykova – Minotaur (TBD)
Anya Taylor-Joy – Dune: Messiah (Warner Bros)
Marisa Tomei – She Gets It From Me (TBD)
Eva Victor – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures)
Alicia Vikander – The Echo Chamber (TBD)
Katherine Waterston – The Uprising (Focus Features)
Luna Wedler – Silent Friend (1-2 Special)
Olivia Wilde – Behemoth! (Searchlight Pictures)
Sophia Wilde – Digger (Warner Bros)
Michelle Williams – A Place in Hell (NEON)
Rachel Zegler – She Gets It From Me (TBD)
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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