2024 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (June)

After the one-two punch of Justine Triet’s Anatomy of a Fall winning the Palme d’Or and the Grand Prize going to Jonathan Glazer’s The Zone of Interest at Cannes this summer, there will be fewer hot properties this fall and winter than the star of both, Sandra Hüller.

While many will already be familiar with her from her award-winning turn in 2016’s Oscar-nominated Toni Erdmann, having the backing of NEON (for Anatomy) and A24 (for Zone) is surely setting up the German-born actress to have a major U.S. breakthrough and with her role and as her role in the latter is supporting that should only bolster her chances in Best Actress for the former.

Netflix again has a handful of contenders but who and how will they prioritize and are we in for another Bening vs Portman battle or will Carey Mulligan climb her way to the top?

Here are my 2024 Oscar predictions in Best Actress for June 2023.

1. Fantasia Barrino – The Color Purple (Warner Bros)
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures)
3. Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall (NEON)
4. Greta Lee – Past Lives (A24)
5. Annette Bening – Nyad (Netflix)
6. Carey Mulligan – Maestro (Netflix)
7. Kate Winslet – Lee (TBD)
8. Cailee Spaeny – Priscilla (A24)
9. Natalie Portman – May December (Netflix)
10.  Zendaya – Challengers (MGM)

Other top contenders: Merve Dizdar – About Dry Grasses (Janus Films/Sideshow), Kirsten Dunst – Civil War (A24), Phoebe Dynevor – Fair Play (Netflix), Sandra Hüller – The Zone of Interest (A24), Nicole Kidman – Holland, Michigan (Amazon Studios), Regina King – Shirley (Netflix), Jessica Lange – Long Day’s Journey Into Night (MGM), Jane Levy – A Little Prayer (Sony Pictures Classics), Trace Lysette – Monica (IFC Films), Helen Mirren – Golda (Bleecker Street), Margot Robbie – Barbie (Warner Bros), Emma Stone – Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures), Teyana Taylor – A Thousand and One (Focus Features), Alicia Vikander – Firebrand (Amazon Studios/MGM/UAR)

Lead or Supporting Dilemma: Uzo Aduba – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures), Jessica Chastain – Mothers Instinct (NEON), Jodie Comer – The Bikeriders (20th Century Studios), Aunjanue Ellis – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures), Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures), Anne Hathaway – Mothers Instinct (NEON), Vanessa Kirby – Napoleon (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures), Sanaa Lathan – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures), Carey Mulligan – Maestro (Netflix)

Other contenders and/or possible 2024 releases:

• Marisa Abela – Back to Black (Focus Features)
• Uzo Aduba – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures)
• Emily Blunt – Pain Hustlers (Netflix)
• Jessie Buckley – Fingernails (Apple Original Films)
• Jessica Chastain – Mothers Instinct (NEON)
• Aunjanue Ellis – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures)
• Molly Gordon – Theater Camp (Searchlight Pictures)
• Anne Hathaway – Mothers Instinct (NEON)
• Salma Hayek – Without Blood (Freemantle)
• Sanaa Lathan – The Supremes at Earl’s All-You-Can-Eat (Searchlight Pictures)
• Thomasin McKenzie – Eileen (NEON)
• Layla Mohammadi – The Persian Version (Sony Pictures Classics)
• Katy M. O’Brian – Love Lies Bleeding (A24)
• Margaret Qualley – Drive-Away Dolls (Focus Features)
• Saoirse Ronan – Blitz (Apple Original Films)
• Saoirse Ronan – Foe (Amazon Studios)
• Mia Wasikowska – Club Zero (TBD)

Without U.S. distribution: Paula Beer – Stella. A Life (TBD), Juliette Binoche – The Pot au Feu (TBD), Cate Blanchett – The New Boy (TBD), Jessica Chastain – Memory (TBD), Patricia Clarkson – Lilly (TBD), Olivia Colman – Wicked Little Letters (TBD), Jodie Comer – The End We Start From (TBD), Catherine Deneuve – Bernadette (TBD), Judy Greer – Eric Larue (TBD), Emilia Jones – Winner (TBD), Rooney Mara – La Cocina (TBD), Barbara Mori – Lost in the Night (TBD), Camila Morrone – Gonzo Girl (TBD), Kangana Ranaut – Emergency (TBD), Saoirse Ronan – The Outrun (TBD), Talia Ryder – Joika (TBD)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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