BAFTA Nomination Predictions

The BAFTA nominations are right around the corner (tomorrow, 7:30am UK time), hot off the heels of the Golden Globes last night and I have my thoughts and predictions for what’s getting in and what might get snubbed. With so many potential Oscar contenders like Get Out and Lady Bird being so very “American” we might see lower nomination totals for them and possibly higher totals for more European fare like Call Me By Your Name and distinctly UK productions like Dunkirk, Darkest Hour and Victoria and Abdul to do well and for the US/UK hybrid Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri to make a killing here.

Getting in under the eligibility deadline at BAFTA has often run contenders right off the list, even major Oscar winners. Dallas Buyers Club didn’t screen for UK audiences in time to nominate it or eventual Oscar winners Matthew McConaughey and Jared Leto. Million Dollar Baby, too. For Oscar winners Halle Berry (Monster’s Ball) and Charlize Theron (Monster), they were nominated the next year (both lost). This year shouldn’t have any leftover winners from last year looking for nominations but there is a chance that nominee Isabelle Huppert (Elle) could crash Best Actress as her film screened just outside of last season’s deadline.

Here are my predictions for this year’s BAFTA nominations. The nominations will be announced live on BAFTA’s Twitter and Facebook. at 7:30am GMT / 2:30am EST / 11:30pm PST.

Best Film
Call Me By Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Spoilers: Get Out, Lady Bird, The Post

Best Director
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
Luca Guadagnino, Call Me By Your Name
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Joe Wright, Darkest Hour
Spoilers: Paul Thomas Anderson, Phantom Thread; Steven Spielberg, The Post; Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird

Best Leading Actor
Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
Spoilers: Tom Hanks, The Post; Jake Gyllenhaal, Stronger; Steve Carell, Battle of the Sexes

Best Leading Actress
Judi Dench, Victoria and Abdul
Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Spoilers: Meryl Streep; The Post; Jessica Chastain, Molly’s Game; Vicky Krieps, Phantom Threads

Best Supporting Actor
Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Armie Hammer, Call Me By Your Name
Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Spoilers: Jason Isaacs, The Death of Stalin; Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me By Your Name; Mark Rylance, Dunkirk

Best Supporting Actress
Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Lesley Manville, Phantom Thread
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Kristin Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water
Spoilers: Holly Hunter, The Big Sick; Abbie Cornish, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Original Screenplay 
Get Out
Lady Bird
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Spoilers: Darkest Hour, Dunkirk

Best Adapted Screenplay 
Call Me By Your Name
The Death of Stalin
Molly’s Game
Paddington 2
Victoria and Abdul
Spoilers: The Disaster Artist

Outstanding British Film
Darkest Hour
The Death of Stalin
God’s Own Country
Paddington 2
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Victoria and Abdul
Spoilers: Lady Macbeth

Best Original Music 
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Editing
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Best Cinematography
Blade Runner 2049
Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water

Best Production Design
Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Murder on the Orient Express
The Shape of Water

Best Costume Design 
Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Murder on the Orient Express
Phantom Thread
Victoria and Abdul

Best Makeup and Hair 
Darkest Hour
I, Tonya
Murder on the Orient Express
The Shape of Water
Victoria and Abdul

Best Sound 
Baby Driver
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Best Special Visual Effects 
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Shape of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War for the Planet of the Apes