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Here we are again; looking at the list of which performers have hit all four major precursors: Critics’ Choice, The Golden Globes, Screen Actors Guild (SAG) and British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA).
With the exception of last year, it usually happens – an actor grabs all of the pieces of the puzzle that it takes to get an Oscar nomination and then something goes wrong at the last minute. Weird timing, screener issues, late-breaking contenders that usurp attention, buzz and, most importantly, votes. Two years ago we saw Jake Gyllenhaal hit everything for Nightcrawler only to be stopped at the door on Oscar nomination morning by Bradley Cooper in the box office behemoth American Sniper. In years before that, Oscar-winners like Tom Hanks, Emma Thompson, Marion Cotillard and Tilda Swinton ran the gamut only to be denied at Oscar.
This year there are 13 performances that have hit them all. Some are also already winners with the Critics’ Choice and the Golden Globes. But will they all make it in next week? Looking at the list it’s hard to think not but last year’s all-in was the exception in recent years so don’t be terribly surprised if one of these names misses on January 24th.
CRITICS CHOICE+GG+SAG+BAFTA
Amy Adams – Arrival
Casey Affleck – Manchester by the Sea (Critics Choice winner, Golden Globe winner – Drama)
Mahershala Ali – Moonlight (Critics Choice winner)
Jeff Bridges – Hell or High Water
Viola Davis – Fences (Critics Choice winner, Golden Globe winner)
Andrew Garfield – Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling – La La Land (Golden Globe winner – Comedy or Musical)
Naomie Harris – Moonlight
Nicole Kidman – Lion
Dev Patel – Lion
Natalie Portman – Jackie (Critics Choice winner)
Emma Stone – La La Land (Golden Globe winner – Comedy or Musical)
Michelle Williams – Manchester by the Sea
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Here’s who’s just behind (or far behind) in the race, missing one or more precursor:
GG+SAG+BAFTA
Hugh Grant** – Florence Foster Jenkins
Viggo Mortensen** – Captain Fantastic
Meryl Streep** – Florence Foster Jenkins
**also nominated by Critics Choice but in the genre categories only
CRITICS CHOICE+GG+SAG
Denzel Washington – Fences
SAG+BAFTA
Emily Blunt – The Girl on the Train
GG+SAG
Octavia Spencer – Hidden Figures
GG+BAFTA
Aaron Taylor-Johnson – Nocturnal Animals (Golden Globe winner)
CRITICS CHOICE+GG
Annette Bening – 20th Century Women
Joel Edgerton – Loving
Isabelle Huppert – Elle (Golden Globe winner)
Ruth Negga- Loving
CRITICS CHOICE+SAG
Lucas Hedges – Manchester by the Sea
CRITICS CHOICE only
Ben Foster – Hell or High Water
Greta Gerwig – 20th Century Women
Tom Hanks – Sully
Janelle Monáe – Hidden Figures
Michael Shannon – Nocturnal Animals
BAFTA only
Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals
GG only
Jessica Chastain – Miss Sloane
Lily Collins – Rules Don’t Apply
Colin Farrell – The Lobster
Simon Helberg – Florence Foster Jenkins
Jonah Hill – War Dogs
Ryan Reynolds** – Deadpool
Hailee Steinfeld** – Edge of Seventeen
**also nominated by BFCA but in the genre categories only
SAG only
None
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Here is the list of performers who found themselves with an Oscar nomination with ANY precursors at all since 2003:
Oscar-nominated without any precursor mentions
2003
Shohreh Aghdashloo – House of Sand and Fog (Best Actor nominee)
Djimon Hounsou – In America (Best Actress nominee)
2004
Clint Eastwood – Million Dollar Baby (Best Picture, Best Director winner)
2005
William Hurt – A History of Violence (LAFCA and NYFCC winner)
2007
Tommy Lee Jones – In the Valley of Elah (previous winner)
Laura Linney – The Savages (previous nominee)
2008
Michael Shannon – Revolutionary Road
2009
Maggie Gyllenhaal – Crazy Heart (Best Actor winner)
2011
Max von Sydow – Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close (Best Picture nominee)
2012
Jacki Weaver – Silver Linings Playbook (previous nominee, Best Picture nominee, coattail)
2013
Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street (previous nominee, Best Picture nominee, coattail)
2014
Bradley Cooper – American Sniper (previous nominee, Best Picture nominee)
Laura Dern – Wild (previous nominee, coattail)
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