Of the two main precursors, GG and Critics Choice, we are locked in with Diane Warren’s “Io Sì (Seen)” from The Life Ahead and Leslie Odom, Jr.’s “Speak Now” from One Night in Miami. Both of those are obviously getting in but it’s going to be a real race for the win.
“Husavik” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga has been a pretty big fan favorite to get in and although it missed a Globe nomination it’s a song made for this category. “Fight For You” from Judas and the Black Messiah has performed well with nominations so that ostensibly leaves just the 5th spot up for grabs.
It’s wide open for #5 at the moment but I’m giving the edge to “Turntables” from All In: The Fight for Democracy as the music branch often gives a doc song a spot here. Right behind would be “Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7, which is going to perform well across the board but I’m definitely keeping my eye out for another Diane Warren tune (“Free” from The One and Only Ivan) and “Wuhan Flu” from Borat Subsequent Moviefilm. The music branch doesn’t often go for parody songs but the film’s PGA nomination today could point to it being a player.
Here are my final 2021 Oscar nomination predictions for Original Song.
- 1. “Io Sì” (Seen)” from The Life Ahead (Netflix) – BFCA, HMMA, GG, SCL
Written by Diane Warren, Laura Pausini and Niccolò Agliardi
- 2. “Speak Now” from One Night in Miami… (Amazon Studios) – BFCA, GG, HMMA
Written by Leslie Odom, Jr. and Sam Ashworth
- 3. “Husavik (My Hometown)” from Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga (Netflix) – BFCA, HMMA, SCL
Written by Fat Max Gsus, Rickard Göransson, and Savan Kotecha
- 4. “Fight For You” from Judas and the Black Messiah (Warner Bros) – BFCA, HMMA
Written by H.E.R., D’Mile, Tiara Thomas
- 5. “Turntables” from All In: The Fight for Democracy (Amazon Studios) – HMMA
Written by Janelle Monáe, Nathaniel Irvin III, George “George 2.0.” A. Peters II
Watch out for: “Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7
Oscar shortlist contenders: “Free” from The One and Only Ivan, “Green” from Sound of Metal, “Loyal Brave True” from Mulan, “Make It Work” from Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey, “Never Break” from Giving Voice, “Rain Song” from Minari, “See What You’ve Done” from Belly of the Beast, “Show Me Your Soul” from Mr. Soul!, “Wuhan Flu” from Borat Subsequent Moviefilm