FINAL 2021 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR

Making history at the Oscars is always a great thing to celebrate but it’s also a measured response tempered by the fact that it took so long to happen. On April 25th, Chloé Zhao (Nomadland) will become only the second woman to win the Best Director Oscar in 93 years and the first Chinese-American woman to do so.

In only her third film, the deliberate and contemplative work of Zhao has been a staple among cinephiles and fellow directors. Passion and empathy are the touchstones of her work, whether it’s the brother/sister bond in Songs My Brothers Taught Me, the simple beauty of the examination of masculinity in The Rider or the honest and raw approach to regaining freedom once you’ve lost everything in Nomadland, Zhao’s acute understanding of when to pull back and let the story tell itself and unfold is unmatched and her showcase of the American West is both classic and progressive.

Zhao is joined by two directors who, separately but in concert with her, also make history. Promising Young Woman‘s Emerald Fennell is the first female director to be nominated here for her first film. Being nominated alongside Zhao marks the first time ever that two women have been nominated in the same year. Lee Isaac Chung, director of Minari, is the first Korean-American director ever nominated and alongside Zhao marks the first time that two Asian/Asian-American directors have been nominated in the same year. Last year, Bong Joon-ho (Parasite) became the first Korean Best Director winner.

For David Fincher (Mank), his third nomination is his reward but it is not his time just yet. Another Round‘s Thomas Vinterberg earned his first nomination this year but I feel like it won’t be his last.

The 93rd Oscars will be held on April 25 at the Dolby Theatre in Hollywood and the Union Station in Los Angeles.

Here are my ranked final Oscar predictions in Best Director.

1. Chloé Zhao for Nomadland (Searchlight Pictures) – GG, BAFTA, BFCA, DGA
2. Emerald Fennell for Promising Young Woman (Focus Features) – BFCA, DGA, GG
3. Lee Isaac Chung for Minari (A24) – BAFTA, BFCA, DGA
4. David Fincher for Mank (Netflix) – BFCA, DGA, GG
5. Thomas Vinterberg for Another Round (Samuel Goldwyn Mayer) – BAFTA

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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