FINAL 2022 Oscar Nomination Predictions in All 23 Categories

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Here’s the straight to the good stuff, just predictions for the 2022 Oscars. Click on each category for a deeper dive and full breakdown plus color coded charts on who’s got what.

Oscar nominations for the 94th Academy Awards will be announced beginning at 5:18am PT on Tuesday, February 8 by Tracee Ellis Ross and Leslie Jordan.

BEST PICTURE

1. Belfast (Focus Features) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA, PGA
2. The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, PGA
3. King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA
4. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, PGA
5. Licorice Pizza (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, PGA
6. Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA, PGA
7. West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – GG, CCA, PGA
8. CODA (Apple Original Films) – GG, CCA, SAG, PGA
9. tick, tick…BOOM! (Netflix) – GG, CCA, PGA  
10. House of Gucci (MGM/UAR) – SAG

Spoiler: The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films)


DIRECTING

1. Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, DGA   
2. Kenneth Branagh – Belfast (Focus Features) – GG, CCA, DGA   
3. Denis Villeneuve – Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, DGA  
4. Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza (MGM/UAR) – CCA, BAFTA, DGA   
5. Ryusuke Hamaguchi – Drive My Car (Sideshow/Janus Films) – BAFTA

Spoiler: Steven Spielberg – West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – GG, CCA, DGA


ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

1. Will Smith – King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
2. Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
3. Andrew Garfield – tick, tick…BOOM! (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG
4. Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films) – GG, CCA, SAG
5. Peter Dinklage – Cyrano (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA

Spoiler: Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – GG, BAFTA


ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

1. Lady Gaga – House of Gucci (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA 
2. Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos (Amazon Studios) – GG, CCA, SAG
3. Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG
4. Jennifer Hudson – Respect (MGM/UAR) – SAG
5. Kristen Stewart – Spencer (NEON) – GG, CCA

Spoiler: Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA, BAFTA


ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
2. Troy Kotsur – CODA (Apple Original Films) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
3. Ciarán Hinds – Belfast (Focus Features) – GG, CCA, BAFTA
4. Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza (MGM/UAR) – SAG
5. Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – BAFTA

Spoiler: Jared Leto – House of Gucci (MGM/UAR) – CCA, SAG


ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

1. Ariana DeBose – West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
2. Caitríona Balfe – Belfast (Focus Features) – GG, CCA, SAG, BAFTA
3. Kirsten Dunst – The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, SAG
4. Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, BAFTA
5. Ruth Negga – Passing (Netflix) – GG, SAG, BAFTA

Spoiler: Judi Dench – Belfast (Focus Features)


WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)

1. The Power of the Dog – Jane Campion (Netflix) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, USC
2. CODA – Siân Heder (Apple Original Films) – CCA, BAFTA, WGA
3. The Lost Daughter – Maggie Gyllenhaal (Netflix) – CCA, BAFTA, USC
4. Drive My Car – Ryusuke Hamaguchi, Takamasa Oe (Sideshow/Janus Films) – BAFTA
5. Dune – Denis Villeneuve, Jon Spaihts, Eric Roth (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, USC, WGA

Spoiler: West Side Story – Tony Kushner (20th Century Studios) – CCA, WGA


WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

1. Belfast – Kenneth Branagh (Focus Features) – GG, CCA, BAFTA
2. Licorice Pizza – Paul Thomas Anderson (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, WGA  
3. Don’t Look Up – Adam McKay, David Sirota (Netflix) – GG, CCA, BAFTA, WGA  
4. Being the Ricardos – Aaron Sorkin (Amazon Studios) – GG, BAFTA, WGA 
5. King Richard – Zach Baylin (Warner Bros/ HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, WGA 

Spoiler: C’mon C’mon – Mike Mills (A24)


FILM EDITING

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, ACE  
2. Belfast (Focus Features) – CCA, BAFTA, ACE
3. The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – CCA, ACE
4. Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – ACE  
5. Summer of Soul (Searchlight Pictures/Hulu) – ACE, BAFTA

Spoiler: Licorice Pizza (MGM/UAR) – CCA, ACE, BAFTA


CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – CCA, BAFTA, ASC  
2. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, ASC
3. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films) – CCA, BAFTA, ASC
4. Belfast (Focus Features) – CCA, ASC
5. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, ASC, BAFTA

Spoiler: West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – CCA


PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, BAFTA, SDSA, ADG
2. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, SDSA, ADG
3. The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, BAFTA, SDSA, ADG  
4. West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – CCA, BAFTA, SDSA, ADG
5. The Tragedy of Macbeth (A24/Apple Original Films) – SDSA, ADG

Spoiler: Cyrano (MGM/UAR) – SDSA, BAFTA


COSTUME DESIGN

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, CDG  
2. Nightmare Alley (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, BAFTA, CDG  
3. Cruella (Walt Disney) – CCA, BAFTA, CDG
4. West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – CCA, CDG
5. Cyrano (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA, CDG

Spoiler: The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA


MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, SCL, BAFTA
2. The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – GG, CCA, HMMA, SCL, BAFTA
3. Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – CCA, HMMA, SCL, BAFTA
4. The French Dispatch (Searchlight Pictures) – GG, HMMA, SCL, BAFTA
5.  Encanto (Walt Disney) – GG, SCL

Spoiler: Spencer (NEON) – CCA, SCL


MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)

1. “No Time to Die” from No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) – GG, CCA, HMMA, SCL 
2. “Dos Oruguitas” from Encanto (Walt Disney) – GG, CCA, HMMA 
3. “Here I Am (Singing My Way Home)” from Respect (MGM/UAR) – GG, HMMA, SCL 
4. “Just Look Up” from Don’t Look Up (Netflix) – CCA, HMMA, SCL
5. “Somehow You Do” from Four Good Days (Vertical Entertainment) – HMMA (Indie), SCL

Spoiler: “Be Alive” from “King Richard (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – GG, CCA, HMMA 


SOUND

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – BAFTA, MPSE (3x), CAS   
2. No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA, MPSE (2x), CAS   
3. West Side Story (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA, MPSE, CAS  
4. The Power of the Dog (Netflix) – MPSE, CAS     
5. Last Night in Soho (Focus Features) – BAFTA, MPSE 

Spoiler: A Quiet Place Part II (Paramount Pictures) – MPSE (3x), BAFTA


MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, MUAH (2x)   
2. The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Searchlight Pictures) – CCA, BAFTA, MUAH (3x)  
3. Cruella (Walt Disney) – CCA, BAFTA, MUAH (2x)   
4. House of Gucci (MGM/UAR) – CCA, BAFTA, MUAH (3x)   
5. Cyrano (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA

Spoiler: The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – MUAH (3x)


VISUAL EFFECTS

1. Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, VES (6x)   
2. Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) – CCA, Annie, VES (4x)  
3. Godzilla vs. Kong (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – VES (3x)
4. Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony Pictures/Marvel Studios) – VES (3x)
5. No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA, VES  

Spoiler: The Matrix Resurrections (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, VES (3x), BAFTA


ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

1. Encanto (Walt Disney) – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
2. Luca (Walt Disney/Pixar) – GG, CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
3. The Mitchells vs the Machines (Netflix) – CCA, Annie, BAFTA, PGA
4. Flee (NEON) – GG, CCA, Annie (Indie), EFA, BAFTA
5. Raya and the Last Dragon (Walt Disney) – GG, CCA, Annie, PGA

Spoiler: Sing 2 (Universal Pictures) – Annie, PGA


DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. Flee (NEON) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, EFA, PGA, BAFTA
2. The Rescue (NatGeo) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, PGA, BAFTA  
3. Ascension (MTV Documentary Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, PGA 
4. Faya Dayi (Janus Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA 
5. Procession (Netflix) – CCA, DOC NYC

Spoiler: Summer of Soul (Searchlight Pictures/Hulu) – CEH, CCA, IDA, PGA, BAFTA


INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

1. Drive My Car (Japan) – GG, CCA, BAFTA
2. The Hand of God (Italy) – EFA, GG, CCA, BAFTA
3. A Hero (Iran) – GG, CCA
4. Flee (Denmark) – CCA
5. Playground (Belgium)

Spoiler: Compartment No. 6 (Finland)


ANIMATED SHORT

1. Robin Robin (Netflix) – BAFTA longlist  
2. Us Again (Walt Disney)
3. Bestia (Miyu Distribution)
4. Step Into the River (The New Yorker)
5. Namoo (Boabab Studios) 

Spoiler: The Musician (MTV Entertainment)


DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

1. Audible (Netflix)
2. Camp Confidential: America’s Secret Nazis (Netflix)
3. Sophie and the Baron (Disney Original Documentary)
4. The Queen of Basketball (The New York Times)
5. Terror Contagion (NEON) 

Spoiler: Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker (MTV)


LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Long Goodbye (WePresent)
2. Ala Kachuu – Take and Run (Salaud Morisset) 
3. Under the Heavens (The New Yorker) 
4. When the Sun Sets (HBO) 
5. Censor of Dreams (Salaud Morisset)

Spoiler: The Dress (DOBRO/MIŁO/GŁOSNO)

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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