FINAL 2022 Oscar Predictions: DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

It looks like the Critics’ Choice curse will finally be broken this year, as Summer of Soul nabs the PGA and BAFTA for Documentary Feature, paving the way for an Oscar win. Past CCA winners have largely gone on to be snubbed even for a nomination and that was always the biggest hurdle for Summer of Soul, a largely archival footage film and the overwhelming critics’ fave this season.

Flee is the film’s closest and only rival and of its three history-making feature Oscar nominations if it was going to upset anywhere, it would be here. But, it would be a pretty shocking upset.

Here are my final Oscar predictions in Documentary Feature.

1. Summer of Soul (Searchlight Pictures/Hulu) – CEH, CCA, IDA, PGA, BAFTA
Ahmir “Questlove” Thompson, Joseph Patel, Robert Fyvolent and David Dinerstein

2. Flee (NEON) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, EFA, PGA, BAFTA
Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie

3. Ascension (MTV Documentary Films) – CEH, CCA, DOC NYC, Gotham, IDA, PGA 
Jessica Kingdon, Kira Simon-Kennedy and Nathan Truesdell

4. Attica (Showtime) – CCA
Stanley Nelson and Traci A. Curry

5. Writing with Fire (Music Box Films) – IDA, PGA
Rintu Thomas and Sushmit Ghosh