FINAL 2022 Oscar Predictions: INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

With Best Picture, Best Director and Best Adapted Screenplay nominations, it’s hard to make a case against Japans’s Drive My Car from Ryusuke Hamaguchi racing away with the Oscar for International Feature Film.

Buoyed by the top tier Best Picture critics’ wins from the LAFCA, NYFCC and NSFC trifecta, Drive My Car became the little Saab story that could. A film without a studio campaign budget but that surged along purely on word of mouth and the strength of it stellar filmmaking, it’s become one of this season’s most organic Cinderella stories. Japan’s history with the Oscars and this category (or as it was called, Foreign Language Film) is a long and storied one. While the official Oscar category wasn’t created until 1956, Honorary Oscars were given to foreign language films beginning in 1947. Japan won three during this period; in 1951, 1954 and 1955. Since then, Japan has submitted a film for consideration every single year, tied with Italy and France with 68 for the most ever. It’s been nominated 14 times but amazingly, has only won once, for 2008’s Departures.

If there’s a chance for an upset, and realistically, it’s a very small one, it’s coming from one of two NEON offerings that also have nominations elsewhere. Flee (Denmark) made Oscar history by earning nominations in three separate feature categories: here, plus Animated Feature and Documentary Feature. More than likely the film will have to be happy to exist in the history books for its triple nods but there’s an outside chance. The Worst Person in the World (Norway) surprised by showing up in Original Screenplay, bumping out the likes of Being the Ricardos, and probably coming very close to a Best Actress nomination for Cannes winner and BAFTA nominee Renate Reinsve.

Here are my final Oscar predictions for International Feature Film.

1. Drive My Car (Japan) – GG, CCA, BAFTA
2. The Worst Person in the World (Norway) – BAFTA
3. Flee (Denmark) – CCA 
4. The Hand of God (Italy) – EFA, GG, CCA, BAFTA
5. Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bhutan)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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