There would have to be a rift in the time-space continuum for Dune to lose the Visual Effects Oscar.
Not only is it a gargantuan achievement in the craft, it’s the sole Best Picture nominee of the group and that statistic – a non-BP nominee beating out one or more Best Picture-nominated films – has only been broken once since 1970, when 2015’s Ex Machina shocked and won here over both The Revenant and Mad Max: Fury Road. But there is no Ex Machina here so the double hit of that stat and Dune‘s VFX dominance at Critics’ Choice, BAFTA and the Visual Effects Society make it one of the biggest locks of Oscar night.
Here are my ranked final Oscar predictions in Visual Effects.
- Dune (Warner Bros/HBO Max) – CCA, BAFTA, VES (4x)
Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer
- Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Walt Disney/Marvel Studios) – CCA, Annie, VES (4x)
Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver
- Spider-Man: No Way Home (Sony Pictures/Marvel Studios) – VES
Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick
- Free Guy (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA
Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick
- No Time to Die (MGM/UAR) – BAFTA, VES
Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould