While I don’t expect any single limited or anthology series to reach the heights of The White Lotus and its 20 nominations last year (which they turned into 10 wins) I think we’ll see a few break into double digits this season but none more than Dahmer – Monster: The Jeffrey Dahmer Story, the most-watched limited series of the Emmy season and likely to earn the most acting nominations across the field, including previous Emmy winners Evan Peters (Mare of Easttown), Richard Jenkins (Olive Kitteridge) and Michael Learned (The Waltons, Nurse) and Emmy nominee Niecy Nash-Betts (Getting On, When They See Us). If Learned is nominated, she’ll become the woman with the longest gap between nominations – 41 years – with her last nomination being in 1982 for the drama series Nurse, which she won.
Speaking of Dahmer and records, two-time Emmy-winning director Paris Barclay (NYPD Blue) could become the first Black director to be nominated in all three distinct narrative series categories: drama, comedy, and limited series. Barclay won back-to-back Emmys in 1998 and 1999 for the police drama, earned a directing nod for The West Wing in 2002 and three in comedy directing for Glee (in 2010, 2013 and 2014). This year, he is submitted for the sixth episode of the Dahmer limited series, “Silenced.”
There are a handful of high profile movies angling for directing and writing nominations against the formidable limited and anthology series contenders like Fire Island (Hulu), Reality (HBO) and Weird: The Al Yankovic Story, which hopes to put The Roku Channel on the Emmy map. But it won’t be an easy feat; last year, not a single television movie made the cut in either directing or writing as The White Lotus, The Dropout, Dopesick, Maid and Station Eleven dominated those categories.
Based on the number of submissions this year, here’s how many nominations we’ll get in the top Limited or Anthology Series and Television Movie categories.
Emmy nominations will be announced Wednesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will once again be presented over two consecutive nights – Saturday, September 9 and Sunday, September 10 – with an edited presentation of the ceremonies to be broadcast on FXX the following weekend.
The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, September 18, and air live on FOX at 8:00pm ET/ 5:00pm PT.
Here are my final 2023 Emmy nomination predictions in the top Limited or Anthology Series or Movie categories.
Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
Other contenders: The English (Prime Video), Fleishman Is in Trouble (FX), George & Tammy (Showtime), The Patient (FX), A Small Light (National Geographic)
Outstanding Television Movie
Other contenders: Boston Strangler (Hulu), Father of the Bride (Max), Reno 911!: It’s a Wonderful Heist (Comedy Central), Rye Lane (Hulu)
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Steve Carell – The Patient (FX), Billy Crystal – Mr. Saturday Night: A New Musical Comedy (BroadwayHD), Ewan McGregor – Obi-Wan (Disney+), Woody Harrelson – White House Plumbers (HBO), Michael Shannon – George & Tammy (Showtime)
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Emily Blunt – The English (Prime Video), Betty Gilpin – Mrs. Davis (Peacock), Katheryn Hahn – Tiny Beautiful Things (Hulu), Riley Keough – Daisy Jones & the Six (Prime Video)
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Young Mazino – Beef (Netflix), Justin Theroux – White House Plumbers (HBO), Bowen Yang – Fire Island (Hulu)
Outstanding Supporting Actress Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Jennifer Ehle – Dead Ringers (Prime Video), Judy Greer – White House Plumbers (HBO), Lena Headey – White House Plumbers (HBO), Cherry Jones – Five Days at Memorial (AppleTV+)
Outstanding Directing for a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Black Bird – “Pilot,” Michaël Roskam (AppleTV+); Daisy Jones & the Six – “Track 1: Come and Get It (Pilot),” James Ponsoldt (Prime Video); Dead Ringers – “One,” Sean Durkin (Prime Video); Fire Island, Andrew Ahn (Hulu); Fleishman Is in Trouble – “Me-Time,” Jonathan Dayton & Valerie Farris (FX), Reality, Tina Satter (HBO); Swarm – “Stung,’ Donald Glover (Prime Video)
Outstanding Writing Limited or Anthology Series or Movie
Other contenders: Daisy Jones & the Six – “Track 5: Fire,” Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber (Prime Video); Fire Island, Joel Kim Booster (Hulu); Reality, Tina Satter and James Paul Dallas (HBO); A Small Light – “Pilot,” Joan Rater and Tony Phelan (National Geographic); Swarm – “Stung,” Janine Nabers and Donald Glover (Prime Video)
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