FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions in All 23 Categories

Just the good stuff. Click on each category link for a full breakdown plus who’s just under.

Nominations will be announced on Tuesday, January 23 beginning at 5:30am PT by Zazie Beetz and Jack Quaid. Here are my final 2024 Oscar nomination predictions for the 96th Academy Awards in all 23 categories.

BEST PICTURE

1. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA, SAG
2. The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG, PGA
4. Barbie (Warner Bros) – CCA, GG, SAG, PGA
5. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, PGA
6. American Fiction (Amazon MGM/Orion) – CCA, GG, SAG, PGA
7. Anatomy of a Fall (NEON) – BAFTA, GG, PGA
8. Maestro (Netflix) – CCA, GG, PGA
9. The Zone of Interest (A24) – GG, PGA
10. Past Lives (A24) – CCA, GG, PGA

BEST DIRECTOR

1. Christopher Nolan – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, DGA, GG
2. Martin Scorsese – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – CCA, DGA, GG
3. Alexander Payne – The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, DGA
4. Greta Gerwig – Barbie (Warner Bros) – CCA, DGA, GG
5. Jonathan Glazer – The Zone of Interest (A24) – BAFTA

BEST ACTRESS

1. Emma Stone – Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
2. Lily Gladstone – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – CCA, GG, SAG
3. Sandra Hüller – Anatomy of a Fall (NEON) – BAFTA, CCA, GG
4. Carey Mulligan – Maestro (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
5. Margot Robbie – Barbie (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG

BEST ACTOR

1. Paul Giamatti – The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
2. Cillian Murphy – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
3. Bradley Cooper – Maestro (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
4. Colman Domingo – Rustin (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
5. Jeffrey Wright – American Fiction (Amazon MGM/Orion) – CCA, GG, SAG

SUPPORTING ACTOR

1. Robert Downey Jr. – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
2. Ryan Gosling – Barbie (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
3. Robert De Niro – Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
4. Willem Dafoe – Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – GG, SAG
5. Dominic Sessa – The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA

SUPPORTING ACTRESS

1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph – The Holdovers (Focus Features) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
2. Emily Blunt – Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
3. Danielle Brooks – The Color Purple (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG
4. Jodie Foster – Nyad (Netflix) – CCA, GG, SAG
5. Penélope Cruz – Ferrari (NEON) – SAG

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

1. Barbie (Warner Bros) – Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach (based on the Mattel doll and characters) – BAFTA*, GG, CCA*
2. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – Christopher Nolan (based on the nonfiction book American Prometheus by Kai Bird, Martin J. Sherwin) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, USC
3. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – Tony McNamara (based on the novel by Alasdair Gray) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, USC
4. American Fiction (Amazon MGM/Orion) – Cord Jefferson (based on the novel Erasure by Percival Everett) – BAFTA, CCA, USC
5. All of Us Strangers (Searchlight Pictures) – Andrew Haigh (based on the novel Strangers by Taichi Yamada) – BAFTA, CCA

*earned nominations in original, moved to adapted by Academy

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

1. The Holdovers (Focus Features) – David Hemingson – BAFTA, CCA
2. Past Lives (A24) – Celine Song – BAFTA, CCA, GG
3. Anatomy of a Fall (NEON) – Justin Triet and Arthur Harari – BAFTA, GG
4. May December (Netflix) – Samy Burch, story by Samy Burch and Alex Mechanik
5. Saltburn (Amazon Studios) – Emerald Fennell

FILM EDITING

1. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA
2. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CCA
3. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA
4. Anatomy of a Fall (NEON) – BAFTA
5. The Holdovers (Focus Features)

CINEMATOGRAPHY

1. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA
2. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA
3. Maestro (Netflix) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA
4. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – ASC, BAFTA, CCA
5. The Zone of Interest (A24) – BAFTA

COSTUME DESIGN

1. Barbie (Warner Bros) – BAFTA, CDG, CCA
2. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CDG, CCA
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CDG, CCA
4. Maestro (Netflix) – CDG
5. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CDG

PRODUCTION DESIGN

1. Barbie (Warner Bros) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA
2. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA
4. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – ADG, BAFTA, CCA, SDSA
5. Asteroid City (Focus Features) – ADG, CCA, SDSA

ORIGINAL SCORE

1. Oppenheimer – Ludwig Göransson (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
2. Killers of the Flower Moon – Robbie Robertson (Apple Original Films) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
3. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse – Daniel Pemberton (Sony Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA
4. Poor Things – Jerskin Fendrix (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, GG
5. The Zone of Interest – Mica Levi (A24) – GG, HMMA, SCL

ORIGINAL SONG

1. “What Was I Made For?” by Billie Eilish and Finneas from Barbie (Warner Bros) – CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
2. “I’m Just Ken” by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt from Barbie (Warner Bros) – CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
3. “Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz from Rustin (Netflix) – CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL
4. “It Never Went Away” from American Symphony by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson (Netflix) – SCL
5. “The Fire Inside” by Diane Warren from Flamin’ Hot (Searchlight Pictures) – HMMA, SCL

SOUND

1. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x3)
2. Maestro (Netflix) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x2)
3. Ferrari (NEON) – BAFTA, CAS, MPSE
4. Killers of the Flower Moon (Apple Original Films) – CAS, MPSE
5. The Zone of Interest (A24) – BAFTA, MPSE

MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

1. Maestro (Netflix) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
2. Poor Things (Searchlight Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
3. Oppenheimer (Universal Pictures) – BAFTA, CCA, MUAH
4. Beau Is Afraid (A24)
5. Society of the Snow (Netflix)

VISUAL EFFECTS

1. The Creator (20th Century Studios) – BAFTA, CCA, VES
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (Marvel/Walt Disney) – BAFTA, CCA, VES
3. Spider-Man: Across the Universe (Sony Pictures) – CCA, VES
4. Society of the Snow (Netflix) – VES
5. Godzilla Minus One (Toho) – VES

ANIMATED FEATURE

1. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Sony Pictures) – Annie, BAFTA longlist, CCA, GG, PGA
2. The Boy and the Heron (GKIDS) – Annie, BAFTA longlist, CCA, GG, PGA
3. Nimona (Netflix) – Annie, BAFTA longlist, CCA
4. Elemental (Pixar) – BAFTA longlist, CCA, GG, PGA
5. Robot Dreams (NEON) – Annie

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

1. American Symphony (Netflix) – CCA, PGA
2. 20 Days in Mariupol (PBS) – CCA, CEH, PGA
3. Beyond Utopia (Roadside Attractions) – CCA, PGA
4. Four Daughters (Kino Lorber) – CEH
5. The Eternal Memory (MTV Documentary Films) – CCA, CEH

INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM

1. The Zone of Interest (UK) – BAFTA longlist, CCA, GG
2. Society of the Snow (Spain) – BAFTA longlist, CCA, GG
3. The Teachers’ Lounge (Germany) – BAFTA longlist
4. 20 Days in Mariupol (Ukraine) – BAFTA longlist
5. Amerikatsi (Armenia)

ANIMATED SHORT

1. Once Upon a Studio
2. Koerkorter (Dog Apartment)
3. Pachyderme
4. Letter to a Pig
5. Ninety-Five Senses

DOCUMENTARY SHORT

1. The Last Repair Shop
2. Deciding Vote
3. The ABCs of Book Banning
4. The Barber of Little Rock
5. Last Song from Kabul

LIVE ACTION SHORT

1. The Anne Frank Gift Shop
2. Red, White and Blue
3. The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
4. The After
5. Knight of Fortune

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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