FINAL 2024 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS
LAFCA, NBR, NSFC, NYFCC, BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG, Spirit. It’s rare that a sweep like this happens but when it does there’s not much more to do than to celebrate the coronation that’s coming and this season has gone Da’Vine Joy Randolph’s way since day one.
Despite being bought in the Toronto market in 2022, Focus Features opted to kick off The Holdovers at the 2023 Telluride Film Festival (it did play TIFF a few weeks later) and then nearly a dozen others, including SCAD and AFI. But, we were in the middle of the actors strike so Randolph (nor her co-stars) weren’t able to make appearances, do interviews or hold court in a way that is often such a crucial component of the fall festivals, especially awards season films that are onboarded though.
Once the strike lifted on November 9, Randolph was everywhere and in December the full impact of her performance took hold as she very quickly started collecting critics wins. Not simply collecting them, absolutely demolishing them. Starting with National Board of Review, the trifecta of LAFCA/NYFCC/NSFC and every possible regional group went her way. Rachel McAdams made a small dent with Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret. when she tied with Randolph at LAFCA, but that went nowhere and there was and is simply nothing and no one to stand in her way.
Here are my final 2024 Oscar predictions for Supporting Actress.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
| 1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph in The Holdovers (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 2. America Ferrera in Barbie (CCA) |
| 3. Emily Blunt in Oppenheimer (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 4. Jodie Foster in Nyad (CCA, GG, SAG) |
| 5. Danielle Brooks in The Color Purple (BAFTA, CCA, GG, SAG) |
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
- 2026 Tribeca Festival Celebrates 25th Anniversary with World Premieres of ‘Hadestown: The Musical,’ ‘Earth, Wind & Fire’ Doc - April 16, 2026
- ‘Beef’ Season 2 Review: Oscar Isaac, Carey Mulligan, Cailee Spaeny and Charles Melton Sink Their Teeth Into Lee Sung Jin’s Meaty Morality Tale [A-] - April 16, 2026
- George Clooney to be Honored at 51st Chaplin Award Gala by Stephen Colbert, Sam Rockwell and More - April 15, 2026
2026 Tonys: Laurie Metcalf (‘Little Bear Ridge Road,’ ‘Death of a Salesman’) May Join Elite Group of Double-Nominated Performers 
2026 Tribeca Festival Celebrates 25th Anniversary with World Premieres of ‘Hadestown: The Musical,’ ‘Earth, Wind & Fire’ Doc 
Director Watch Podcast Ep. 149 – ‘Killer of Sheep’ (Charles Burnett, 1978) 
‘Lee Cronin’s The Mummy’ Review: Careful the Spell You Cast, Children Will Listen (and Sometimes Kill) [C]