With The Substance and Wicked Part 1 the only films to hit all precursors for Makeup & Hairstyling so we’re going to lock them in. That leaves a smattering of title – Nosferatu, A Different Man, Dune: Part Two, Emilia Pérez and Beetlejuice Beetlejuice – all circling three spots and all with elements in their favor. And don’t count out The Apprentice as Sebastian Stan is a Best Actor contender. But there’s equally a scenario in which he gets in for that film and not his Golden Globe-winning performance in A Different Man, and that makes it in here. Could the behind the scenes drama on Dune: Part Two that pushed the first film’s Oscar-nominated makeup artist Donald Mowat out of contention by Warner Bros temper that film’s ability to get in? The regular, in-person bake off component of this category has become a virtual one, echoing the COVID era year.
Conclave, Emilia Pérez, and The Wild Robot lead the precursor run for original score with The Brutalist and Challengers not far behind. As we know, Dune: Part Two is Oscar-ineligible but if voters want to find a way to reward Hans Zimmer they could opt for Blitz. It’s possible, but with Nosferatu breathing down its neck, it would feel a bit like a name-recognition nomination.
Both Emilia Pérez songs (“El Mal” and “Mi Camino”) haven’t missed a beat in the Original Song race, neither has “Kiss the Sky” from The Wild Robot and “Compress/Repress” from Challengers. “Harper & Will Go West” is performing well but with Diane Warren in the race, as she is this year with “The Journey” from The Six Triple Eight, just pencil her in because it’s happening.
“Forbidden Road” from Better Man has been disqualified and removed from contention for having too many similarities to the song “I Got a Name” from the 1973 film The Last American Hero. There will be no replacement.
In Visual Effects, simians are the hot item of the season with no less than four of the 10 finalists featuring monkeys, apes, baboons, chimpanzees and more. Only two of those, Better Man and Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes, hit everything – including an Annie nomination. Deadpool & Wolverine now feels like the first major MCU blockbuster to miss here in a while but with no love from BAFTA, Critics Choice or VES, there’s not much in its favor to surprise. Same goes for Alien: Romulus but maybe they’ll show up in Sound. If we still had two sound categories, you could probably bet on it. As with makeup, the VFX bake off is now virtual.
Oscar nominations are now set to be announced on January 23, barring any further postponements. Here are my final 2025 Oscar nomination predictions in Makeup & Hairstyling, Original Score, Original Song, Sound and Visual Effects.
| 1. The Substance (MUBI) | BAFTA, CCA, MUAH (x3) |
| 2. Wicked Part I (Universal Pictures) | BAFTA, CCA, MUAH (x2) |
| 3. Nosferatu (Focus Features) | BAFTA, CCA |
| 4. A Different Man (A24) | CCA, MUAH |
| 5. Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros) | BAFTA, CCA |
| 6. Emilia Pérez (Netflix) | BAFTA, MUAH |
| 7. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (Warner Bros) | CCA, MUAH (x3) |
| 8. The Apprentice (Briarcliff Entertainment) | |
| 9. Maria (Netflix) | |
| 10. Waltzing with Brando (VMI Worldwide) |
| 1. Conclave (Focus Features) Volker Bertelmann | BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA, SCL |
| 2. Emilia Pérez (Netflix) Clément Ducol and Camille | BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA (main), SCL |
| 3. The Wild Robot (Universal Pictures/Dreamworks Animation) Kris Bowers | BAFTA, CCA, GG, HMMA (animated), SCL |
| 4. The Brutalist (A24) Daniel Blumberg | BAFTA, CCA, GG, SCL |
| 5. Challengers (Amazon MGM) Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross | CCA, GG, HMMA (main) |
| 6. Blitz (Apple Original Films) Hans Zimmer | HMMA (main) |
| 7. Nosferatu (Focus Features) Robin Carolan | BAFTA, HMMA (horror) |
| 8. The Room Next Door (Sony Pictures Classics) Alberto Iglesias | HMMA (independent) |
| 9. Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures) Harry Gregson-Williams | HMMA (main), SCL |
| 10. Wicked (Universal Pictures) John Powell, Stephen Schwartz | SCL |
| 11. The Six Triple Eight (Netflix) Aaron Zigman | HMMA (main) |
| 12. Beetlejuice Beetlejuice (Warner Bros) Danny Elfman | |
| 13. Sing Sing (A24) Bryce Dessner | |
| 14. Babygirl (A24) Cristobal Tapia de Veer | |
| 15. The Fire Inside (Amazon MGM) Tamar-kali | |
| 16. Horizon: An American Saga Chapter 1 (Warner Bros) John Debney | HMMA (main) |
| 17. Inside Out 2 (Walt Disney Pictures/Pixar Animation Studios) Andrea Datzman | HMMA (animated) |
| 18. Young Woman and the Sea (Walt Disney Pictures) Amelia Warner | |
| 19. Blink Twice (Amazon MGM) Chanda Dancy | |
| 20. Alien: Romulus (20th Century Studios) Benjamin Wallfisch |
| 1. “El Mal” by Clement Ducol, Camille and Jacques Audiard from Emilia Pérez (Netflix) | CCA, GG, HMMA (main), SCL |
| 2. “Kiss the Sky” by Delacey, Jordan Johnson, Stefan Johnson, Maren Morris, Michael Pollack & Ali Tamposi from The Wild Robot (Universal Pictures/Dreamworks Animation) | CCA, GG, HMMA (animated), SCL |
| 3. “Mi Camino” by Clement Ducol and Camille from Emilia Pérez (Netflix) | CCA, GG, HMMA (main), SCL |
| 4. “Compress/Regress” by Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross & Luca Guadagnino from Challengers (Amazon MGM) | CCA, GG, HMMA (main), SCL |
| 5. “The Journey” by Diane Warren from The Six Triple Eight (Netflix) | HMMA (main), SCL |
| 6. “Harper and Will Go West” by Sean Douglas, Kristen Wiig & Josh Greenbaum from Will & Harper (Netflix) | CCA, HMMA (doc), SCL |
| 7. “Never Too Late” by Elton John & Brandi Carlile from Elton John: Never Too Late (Walt Disney Pictures) | HMMA (doc) |
| 8. “Winter Coat” by Nicholas Britell, Steve McQueen, and Taura Stinson from Blitz (Apple Original Films) | HMMA (main), SCL |
| 9. “Like a Bird” by Abraham Alexander, Brandon Marcel & Adrian Quesada from Sing Sing (A24) | |
| 10. “Piece by Piece” by Pharrell Williams from Piece by Piece (Focus Features) | HMMA (doc) |
| 11. “Out of Oklahoma” by Lainey Wilson, Luke Dick & Shane McAnally from Twisters (Universal Pictures/Warner Bros) | HMMA (main), SCL |
| 12. “Sick In The Head” by Móglaí Bap, Mo Chara, DJ Próvaí, Adrian Louis Richard Mcleod, and Toddla T from Kneecap (Sony Pictures Classics) | GG |
| 13. “Beyond” by Abigail Barlow and Emily Bear from Moana 2 (Walt Disney Pictures) | HMMA (animated), SCL |
| 14. “Tell Me It’s You” by Lin-Manuel Miranda from Mufasa: The Lion King | |
| 15. “ | |
| 1. Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros) | AMPS, BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x3) |
| 2. A Complete Unknown (Searchlight Pictures) | AMPS, CAS, MPSE (x2) |
| 3. Wicked Part I (Universal Pictures) | AMPS, BAFTA, CAS, MPSE (x2) |
| 4. Emilia Pérez (Netflix) | MPSE (x2) |
| 5. Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures) | BAFTA, CAS |
| 6. Deadpool & Wolverine (Walt Disney Pictures/Marvel Studios) | CAS, MPSE (x3) |
| 7. Blitz (Apple Original Films) | BAFTA |
| 8. The Wild Robot (Universal Pictures/Dreamworks Animation) | CAS, MPSE |
| 9. Alien: Romulus (20th Century Studios) | MPSE (x2) |
| 10. Joker: Folie à Deux (Warner Bros) |
| 1. Dune: Part Two (Warner Bros) | BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 2. Gladiator II (Paramount Pictures) | BAFTA, CCA |
| 3. Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes (20th Century Studios) | Annie, BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 4. Better Man (Paramount Pictures) | Annie, BAFTA, CCA, VES |
| 5. Wicked (Universal Pictures) | BAFTA, CCA |
| 6. Twisters (Paramount Pictures/Warner Bros) | VES |
| 7. Mufasa: The Lion King (Walt Disney Pictures) | VES |
| 8. Deadpool & Wolverine (Walt Disney Pictures/Marvel Studios) | |
| 9. Civil War (A24) | |
| 10. Alien: Romulus (20th Century Studios) |
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