Frontrunner Friday: ‘Detroit’ Still Tops but ‘Wonderstruck’ is Closing In and Blade Runner Makes a Move

Erik Anderson April 21, 2017

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Not a whole of change from last week (we’ll see if the official predictions the Monday after next provide any big movement) but Cannes Official Competition entry Wonderstruck, from Todd Haynes, is creeping up on Detroit right now and is just three points away from the top spot. That’s up five points from last week. The Amazon film is still without a release date but that isn’t stopping it from charging ahead this week. New release date announcements are landing fast and furious so I expect one to be announced around its premiere at Cannes or shortly thereafter.

The top 10 is pretty much the same as last week with just a few scant placement moves. Dunkirk pulls ahead of Lean on Pete to secure the #5 spot for itself, Downsizing keeps shrinking in points and Inner City and Call Me By Your Name swap spots. Further down the list Blade Runner 2049 makes a move, landing at #11 and Paul Thomas Anderson’s untitled fashion flick falls off the list entirely and gets booted to the Other Contenders section.

Here is the current ranking for Best Picture for Friday, April 21, 2017. Follow updated predictions from The Gold Rush Gang here.

	BEST PICTURE	ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Detroit (Annapurna – 8/4)	1	1	1	1	9	2	1	2	2	1	89
2	Wonderstruck (Amazon)	2	2	2	3	1	1	2	8	1	2	86
3	The Post (20th Century Fox)	3	3	5	2	8	3	3	1	4	5	73
4	Darkest Hour (Focus Features – 11/24)	6	8	3	4	2	4	4	4	5	4	66
5	Dunkirk (Warner Bros – 7/21)	9	4	4	5	6	7	8	7	8	3	49
6	Lean on Pete (A24)	7	6	9	6	5	6	7	5	6	7	46
7	Downsizing (Paramount – 12/22)	8		8	9		9		3	3		26
8	Mudbound (Netflix)	4		7	8			5		7		24
8	Inner City (Sony) (possibly 2018)		5			3		6			6	24
10	Call Me By Your Name (Sony Pictures Classics – 11/24)		7			7		9	6	9	9	19

11	Blade Runner 2049 (Warner Bros – 10/6)					4	5					13
12	Suburbicon (Paramount 11/3)	5		10	10		8					11
13	mother! (Paramount – 10/13)			6	7							9
14	Last Flag Flying (Amazon)					10		10	9		8	7
15	Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri (Fox Searchlight – 10/13)		9								10	3
16	Current War, The (The Weinstein Company – 12/22)									10		1
16	Happy End (Sony Pictures Classics)						10					1
16	Greatest Showman, The (20th Century Fox – 12/25)	10										1
16	Breathe (Bleecker Street – 10/13)								10			1
16	Get Out (Universal – 2/24)		10									1

OTHER CONTENDERS

Aftermath, The (Fox Searchlight)

Beguiled, The (Focus Features – 6/23)

Disobedience (TBD)

Glass Castle, The (Lionsgate)

Goodbye Christopher Robin (Fox Searchlight – 11/10)

Hostiles (TBD)

Killing of a Sacred Deer, The (A24 – 11/3)

Kings (TBD)

Leisure Seeker, The (Sony Pictures Classics)

Lost City of Z (Amazon – 4/14)

Marshall (Open Road Films – 10/13)

Mary Magdalene (The Weinstein Company – 11/24)

Molly’s Game (STX Entertainment)

Mountain Between Us, The (20th Century Fox – 10/20)

Murder on the Orient Express (20th Century Fox – 11/22)

Red Sparrow (20th Century Fox – 11/10)

Shape of Water, The (Fox Searchlight – 12/8)

Snowman, The (Universal – 10/13)

Stronger (Lionsgate/Roadside Attractions – 9/22)

Thank You For Your Service (Universal – 10/27)

Under the Silver Lake (A24)

Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project (Focus Features – 12/25)

Untouchable (The Weinstein Company)

Victoria and Abdul (Focus Features)

Wind River (The Weinstein Company – 8/4)

Wonder Wheel (Amazon)

Wonder (Lionsgate – 11/17)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.