Oscars: Who got nominated with what precursors this season and who missed out

Every year, as we collate, organize and hypothesize who will get Oscar nominations and why we look at what precursors each performer has gotten and what their path could be. The Golden Globe, Screen Actors Guild, Critics Choice (aka BFCA) and BAFTA give us the clues along the way like breadcrumbs in Hansel & Gretel.

Sometimes someone gets all four and you can almost call them a lock. However, in most years someone does and then finds themselves shockingly snubbed come Oscar nomination morning. Think Amy Adams for Arrival, Tilda Swinton for We Need To Talk About Kevin or Emma Thompson for Saving Mr. Banks. This year, everyone who landed all four (or adjacently, as in Maria Bakalova’s case) made the cut.

Four people made it in this year with just two precursors: Steven Yeun (Minari) for Best Actor and Paul Raci (Sound of Metal) for Best Supporting Actor. Yeun received SAG and BFCA nominations while Raci received BFCA and BAFTA nominations. Also, Andra Day (The United States vs Billie Holiday) for Best Actress and Amanda Seyfried (Mank) for Best Supporting Actress. Day won the Globe and was BFCA-nominated while Seyfried was also a Globe and BFCA nominee. All are first-time Oscar nominees.

Where we end up having the most fun is seeing who manages to pull of a surprise nomination with zero precursor support. Think Marina de Tavira for Roma, Maggie Gyllenhaal for Crazy Heart, Djimon Hounsou for In America and, in the most unique case of all time, Michael Shannon twice – for Revolutionary Road and Nocturnal Animals. We had one this year, LaKeith Stanfield for Judas and the Black Messiah, and it was truly exceptional. Not simply because he didn’t hit any precursors, but because he landed his nomination – in Supporting Actor – after being campaigned solely in lead, a first.

Here’s who got what leading up to their Oscar nominations, or their snubs, for the 93rd Academy Awards.

GG + SAG + BFCA + BAFTA
Nominated:

Best Actor: Riz Ahmed – Sound of Metal
Best Actor: Chadwick Boseman – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Best Actor: Anthony Hopkins – The Father

Best Actress: Vanessa Kirby – Pieces of a Woman
Best Actress: Frances McDormand – Nomadland

Best Supporting Actor: Daniel Kaluuya – Judas and the Black Messiah
Best Supporting Actor: Leslie Odom, Jr. – One Night in Miami

Best Supporting Actress: Maria Bakalova – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm (GG in lead; SAG / BFCA / BAFTA in supporting)

GG + SAG + BFCA
Nominated:

Best Actor: Gary Oldman – Mank
Best Actress: Viola Davis – Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Best Actress: Carey Mulligan – Promising Young Woman

Best Supporting Actor: Sacha Baron Cohen – The Trial of the Chicago 7

Best Supporting Actress: Glenn Close – Hillbilly Elegy
Best Supporting Actress: Olivia Colman – The Father

SAG + BFCA + BAFTA
Nominated:

Best Supporting Actress: Youn Yuh-Jung – Minari

GG + SAG
Not Nominated:

Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto – The Little Things
Best Supporting Actress: Helena Zengel – News of the World*

GG + BFCA
Nominated:

Best Actress: Andra Day – The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Best Supporting Actress: Amanda Seyfried – Mank

Not Nominated:

Best Supporting Actor: Bill Murray – On the Rocks

SAG + BFCA
Nominated:

Best Actor: Steven Yeun – Minari

Not Nominated:

Best Supporting Actor: Chadwick Boseman – Da 5 Bloods

GG + BAFTA
Not Nominated:

Best Actor: Tahar Rahim – The Mauritanian

BFCA + BAFTA
Nominated:

Best Supporting Actor: Paul Raci – Sound of Metal

GG only
Not Nominated:

Best Actor: Sacha Baron Cohen – Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Best Actor: James Corden – The Prom
Best Actor: Lin-Manuel Miranda – Hamilton
Best Actor: Dev Patel – The Personal History of David Copperfield
Best Actor: Andy Samberg – Palm Springs

Best Actress: Kate Hudson – Music
Best Actress: Michelle Pfeiffer – French Exit
Best Actress: Rosamund Pike – I Care a Lot [WINNER]
Best Actress: Anya Taylor-Joy – Emma.

Best Supporting Actress: Jodie Foster – The Mauritanian [WINNER] – first time the supporting actress Golden Globe winner wasn’t Oscar-nominated since 1976

SAG only
Not Nominated:

Best Actress: Amy Adams – Hillbilly Elegy

BAFTA only
Not Nominated:

Best Actor: Adarsh Gourav – The White Tiger
Best Actor: Mads Mikkelsen – Another Round

Best Actress: Bukky Bakray – Rocks (not Oscar eligible)
Best Actress: Radha Blank – The Forty-Year-Old Version
Best Actress: Wunmi Mosaku – His House
Best Actress: Alfre Woodard – Clemency (2019 US release)

Best Supporting Actor: Barry Keoghan – Calm With Horses
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Kim – Minari*
Best Supporting Actor: Clarke Peters – Da 5 Bloods
Best Supporting Actor: Niamh Algar – Calm With Horses

Best Supporting Actress: Kosar Ali – Rocks (not Oscar eligible)
Best Supporting Actress: Dominique Fishback – Judas and the Black Messiah
Best Supporting Actress: Ashley Madekwe – County Lines (not Oscar eligible)

BFCA only
Not Nominated:

Best Actor: Ben Affleck – The Way Back
Best Actor: Tom Hanks – News of the World
Best Actor: Delroy Lindo – Da 5 Bloods

Best Actress: Zendaya – Malcolm & Marie

Best Supporting Actress: Ellen Burstyn – Pieces of a Woman

Oscar-nominated without any mentions:

Best Supporting Actor: LaKeith Stanfield – Judas and the Black Messiah

*BFCA nomination for Best Young Actor/Actress