SAG + GG = No Oscar Nom?

Yep, it happens. Almost every year. While most performers can rest comfortably that they’ll get an Oscar nomination once they’ve secured a Screen Actors Guild and Golden Globe nomination, it doesn’t always work out that way. And it doesn’t matter if you’re a previous Oscar winner, the biggest star in the world or a newcomer no one’s heard of. It happens, and it will happen again this year. The questions are, who and how many? Is two-time Oscar winner Emma Thompson on shaky ground after being the sole nominee from her film at both SAG and the Globes? How about Captain Phillips‘s Barkhad Abdi or Rush‘s Daniel Brühl? What if AMPAS is finally tired of Meryl Streep? Last year alone saw three Oscar winning actresses fall just short.

Here is the list of performers (tabulated by forum member klariso) who have snagged both nominations this year:

LEAD ACTOR
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

LEAD ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Daniel Brühl, Rush
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska

According to our poll results, it appears Thompson and Brühl are the most likely to not see their SAG and GG nods turn into Oscar gold. What do you think? Come vote in the poll in our forums!

For reference, here is the list of actors and actresses since 2001 who didn’t make the Oscar cut:

2012
John Hawkes, The Sessions
Marion Cotillard, Rust and Bone
Helen Mirren, Hitchcock
Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy

2011
Leonardo di Caprio, J. Edgar
Tilda Swinton, We Need to Talk About Kevin

2010
Mila Kunis, Black Swan

2009
none

2008
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road*

2007
Ryan Gosling, Lars and the Real Girl
Angelina Jolie, A Mighty Heart

2006
Leonardo di Caprio, The Departed**

2005
Russell Crowe, Cinderella Man
Ziyi Zhang, Memoirs of a Geisha

2004
Paul Giammatti, Sideways

2003
Evan Rachel Wood, Thirteen
Maria Bello, The Cooler

2002
Richard Gere, Chicago
Dennis Quaid, Far From Heaven

2001
Hayden Christensen, Life as a House
Cameron Diaz, Vanilla Sky

*Nominated in Supporting for The Reader and Lead for Revolutionary Road (and won both) at the Golden Globes. Was nominated and won Lead for The Reader at the Oscars.
**Nominated in Supporting at the Screen Actors Guild, nominated for Blood Diamond in Lead at the Oscars.