web analytics
Home / Predictions / Film / Oscars / The Gold Rush Gang / 2015/2016 Predictions / 2016 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE

2016 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE

gold-rush-gang-logo-new

 

Spotlight is enjoying its frontrunner status with a perfect score in Best Picture from the Gold Rush Gang. But the recent critics awards success for Carol, The Revenant, Mad Max: Fury Road and Room are starting to encroach on that. Most especially Mad Max, which is turning into a formidable opponent for the journalism drama. In this unusual year, Mad Max missing out on a SAG Cast nomination a la Braveheart back in 1995, might not end up being as big a negative as its been for films for the last two decades. The passion vote could push it all the way.

As you can see by the chart, a whopping 14 films have votes for the 5-10 slots that will make up Best Picture and they run the gamut of genres, styles and precursor support. When Beasts of No Nation, The Big Short, Spotlight, Straight Outta Compton and Trumbo received those SAG Cast nominations it turned the Oscar blogging community on its head. Spotlight and The Big Short weren’t surprises but the other three were. That could bode very well for those three or simply be an anomalous year, as this year seems to be. You’ll notice that of that list only Straight Outta Compton doesn’t show up with the Gold Rush Gang. Scott Feinberg has been an early supporter of the film getting in (even before SAG noms) but we aren’t quite there. Are we behind or is he ahead?

The Golden Globes, although not an industry group, gave a boost to Carol, Room and The Revenant as they all made it into Motion Picture (Drama) alongside Spotlight and Mad Max. The Martian got into Comedy, giving it new life after its surprising SAG snub. Bridge of Spies and Brooklyn hang on by a thread. Both missed SAG Cast noms and Golden Globe Motion Picture nominations and now seem like contenders for just Mark Rylance and Saoirse Ronan, respectively. Still, it’s hard to simply discount a Steven Spielberg film that focuses on an era that covers the largest demographic in the Academy. That same demo also contains Brooklyn support.

Looking at the list there are arguments to be made for nearly all of them; actor support, tech branch support, frontrunner status, racial/gender/sexual diversity. Anything you can ask for is in that group.


BEST PICTURE
TOTAL
POINTS
RANK
Spotlight 100 1
Carol 80 2
The Revenant 79 3
Mad Max: Fury Road 60 4
Room 57 5
The Martian 50 6
The Big Short 48 7
Brooklyn 40 8
Bridge of Spies 23 9
Inside Out 7 10
The Hateful Eight 3 11
Beasts of No Nation 2 12
Trumbo 1 13
Steve Jobs 1 13

To follow the Gold Rush Gang and their Best Picture predictions and find out how we voted, go here.

 

 

About Erik Anderson

Erik blames his mother for his love of all things Oscar, having watched them together since he opened his eyes. They also watched Miss Universe religiously every year (the pageantry!) and Erik came to the conclusion that the combination of these two things ultimately led him down the path to obsessing about awards and ACTRESSING. He began at GoldDerby, led by Tom O’Neill and then migrated over to Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), headed up by Sasha Stone before breaking off to create AwardsWatch. He is a member of the International Cinephile Society, GALECA (Gay and Lesbian Entertainment Critics Association), the International Press Academy and is the founder/editor of AwardsWatch.

Check Also

Asia Kate Dillon

‘Billions’ Breakout Asia Kate Dillon Tapped as First Presenter at 2017 MTV Movie & TV Awards

MTV has announced that Asia Kate Dillon, the breakout star of the 2nd season of ...