2017 Oscar Nomination Predictions: One Week Out

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The nominations for the 89th Academy Awards are just one week away and I’m getting very close to a final set of predictions. There really isn’t much happening between now and then in terms of guilds or new awards nominations and voting has been closed for four days now so it’s as good a time as any to unleash them. After all, we now have Golden Globe winners plus BAFTA, PGA and DGA nominations out.

There are still a lot of questions that only January 24th will answer. How solid are Fences and Hidden Figures? Will La La Land push to 14 nominations? Will the steak-eaters of the Academy jam Best Picture full of Hacksaw Ridge, Hell or High Water and Sully over more diverse fare? And what about Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Emily Blunt? Is he a Golden Globe and BAFTA fluke or is one of the SAG five supporting actors in danger? Will her SAG and BAFTA nods knock out a major contender?

Here are my (alphabetical) predictions in all 24 categories as today, January 17th, 2017.

Best Picture 

1. Arrival
2. Fences
3. Hacksaw Ridge
4. Hell or High Water
5. Hidden Figures
6. La La Land
7. Lion
8. Manchester by the Sea
9. Moonlight
10. Nocturnal Animals

 

Best Directing

1. Denis Villeneuve, Arrival
2. Damien Chazelle, La La Land
3. Garth Davis, Lion
4. Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea
5. Barry Jenkins, Moonlight

 

Best Actor in a Leading Role

1. Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
2. Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
3. Ryan Gosling, La La Land
4. Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
5. Denzel Washington, Fences

 

Best Actress in a Leading Role

1. Amy Adams, Arrival
2. Isabelle Huppert, Elle
3. Natalie Portman, Jackie
4. Emma Stone, La La Land
5. Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

 

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

1. Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
2. Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
3. Hugh Grant, Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Dev Patel, Lion
5. Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

 

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

1. Viola Davis, Fences
2. Naomie Harris, Moonlight
3. Nicole Kidman, Lion
4. Octavia Spencer, Hidden Figures
5. Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

 

Best Writing (Original Screenplay) 

1. Captain Fantastic
2. Hell or High Water
3. La La Land
4. The Lobster
5. Manchester by the Sea

 

Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay) 

1. Arrival
2. Fences
3. Hidden Figures
4. Lion
5. Moonlight

 

Best Animated Feature

1. Kubo and the Two Strings
2. Moana
3. The Red Turtle
4. Sing
5. Zootopia

 

Best Foreign Language Film

1. Land of Mine
2. A Man Called Ove
3. Paradise
4. The Salesman
5. Toni Erdmann

 

Best Documentary Feature

1. Cameraperson
2. The Eagle Huntress
3. I Am Not Your Negro
4. Life, Animated
5. O.J.: Made in America

 

Best Music (Original Score)

1. The BFG
2. Kubo and the Two Strings
3. La La Land
4. Lion
5. Moonlight

 

Best Music (Original Song)

1. Runnin,’ Hidden Figures
2. Audition, La La Land
3. City of Stars, La La Land
4. How Far I’ll Go, Moana
5. Faith, Sing

 

Best Film Editing 

1. Arrival
2. Hacksaw Ridge
3. La La Land
4. Manchester by the Sea
5. Moonlight

 

Best Cinematography 

1. Arrival
2. La La Land
3. Moonlight
4. Nocturnal Animals
5. Silence

 

Best Art Direction 

1. Arrival
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
3. Hail, Caesar!
4. La La Land
5. Silence

 

Best Costume Design 

1. The Dressmaker
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
3. Florence Foster Jenkins
4. Jackie
5. La La Land

 

Best Makeup

1. Deadpool
2. Florence Foster Jenkins
3. A Man Called Ove

 

Best Sound Mixing 

1. Arrival
2. Deepwater Horizon
3. Hacksaw Ridge
4. La La Land
5. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

 

Best Sound Editing 

1. Arrival
2. Deepwater Horizon
3. Hacksaw Ridge
4. Hell or High Water
5. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

 

Best Visual Effects 

1. Arrival
2. Deepwater Horizon
3. Doctor Strange
4. The Jungle Book
5. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

 

Best Documentary (Short Subject)

1. 4.1 Miles
2. Extremis
3. Joe’s Violin
4. Watani: My Homeland
5. The White Helmets

 

Best Short Film (Animated)

1. Blind Vaysha
2. Borrowed Time
3. The Head Vanishes
4. Inner Workings
5. Piper

 

Best Short Film (Live Action)

1. Bon Voyage
2. Graffiti
3. The Rifle, the Jackal, the Wolf and the Boy
4. Timecode
5. The Way of the Tea (Les Frémissements du Thé)

To check out the current slate of Gold Rush Gang predictions click on any of the links below.

BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST SOUND MIXING
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM