2017 Oscar Predictions: THE SCREENPLAYS (September)

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Not a lot of movement in Adapted Screenplay from last month, other than Love and Friendship hitting the top 5 for the first time, displacing Sully, which falls off entirely. Nocturnal Animals shows some strength on the back of its great reviews at Venice and Toronto. Lion holds on with a single vote of confidence.

Original Screenplay, on the other hand, is quite changed up. Gone is The Birth of a Nation and in its place are two newcomers; the summer sleeper hit Hell or High Water and one of the most buzzed about films at Venice and Toronto, Jackie. Jackie has yet to be picked up but that could happen as soon as today. Moonlight moves up from #5 to #3 this month and our faith in La La Land getting a nomination here is still strong despite the fact that musicals have a notoriously difficult time getting in here.

Listen: Oscar Podcast #42: Fall Festivals Kick Off Oscar Season with La La Land, Moonlight, Arrival, Nocturnal Animals

Here are the September Oscar predictions for Adapted and Original Screenplay from the Gold Rush Gang:

OTHER CONTENDERS
The Founder
The Girl on the Train
Hidden Figures
The Light Between Oceans
Live by Night
Sully

OTHER CONTENDERS
Allied
The Birth of a Nation
Bleed For This
Café Society
Collateral Beauty
Everybody Wants Some!!
Miss Sloane
Rules Don’t Apply
Toni Erdmann

Follow the updated Gold Rush Gang predictions in these Oscar categories here:

BEST PICTURE
BEST DIRECTOR
BEST ACTOR
BEST ACTRESS
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
BEST FILM EDITING
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
BEST SOUND EDITING
BEST SOUND MIXING
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013. He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.

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