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Gary Oldman (Darkest Hour) remains atop our Best Actor predictions for a third month in a row and still with a perfect score of 100. Daniel Day-Lewis (Paul Thomas Anderson’s Untitled Fashion Project) also holds onto his spot, #2, and amazingly with the same point total as last month, 73.
Tom Hanks (Steven Spielberg’s Untitled Pentagon Papers Project) inches up one to land the #3 spot and Denzel Washington (Inner City) and Andrew Garfield (Breathe) make big moves into the top 5 for the first time. Washington, whose film just started shooting a few weeks ago, lands at #4 with just over half of the Gold Rush Gang sending votes his way on the thought that the film will be a 2017 release. The moment that’s official you can expect the rest to follow. Garfield, who became a first time Oscar nominee this year (for Hacksaw Ridge) is looking for an afterglow nomination in yet another biopic, this time as a man paralyzed by polio. It’s almost like he’s got Eddie Redmayne on speed dial in terms of finding ‘Oscar bait’ material.
Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) stays put at the kids table, just a few points out at #6. The 20-year old is going to have a hard time breaking into that top 5 unless his film becomes a top 5 contender itself (as some of the GRG think it will be). Bryan Cranston (Last Flag Flying), Chadwick Boseman (Marshall) and Benedict Cumberbatch (The Current War) make incremental steps up but for Cumberbatch, his film is out our BP predictions right now so that may be short lived.
The two big drops this month are Matt Damon (Downsizing) and Donald Sutherland (The Leisure Seeker). Sutherland is still searching for his first Oscar nomination and although The Leisure Seeker could be his ticket it’s getting further away by the month, especially since Sony Pictures Classics also has CMBYN.
Three debuts hit this month; Domhnall Gleeson in Goodbye Christopher Robin, Adam Sandler in the Cannes-bound The Meyerowitz Stories and Charlie Plummer in Lean on Pete. Plummer just landed the prime role in Ridley Scott’s film about the 1970s Getty kidnapping plot.
Here are the 2018 Oscar predictions for Best Actor for May from the Gold Rush Gang. Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
| BEST ACTOR | ERIK ANDERSON | BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST | JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK | DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY | ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 100 |
| 2 | Daniel Day-Lewis – Untitled Paul Thomas Anderson Fashion Project | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 73 | |
| 3 | Tom Hanks – Untitled Steven Spielberg Pentagon Papers Project | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 66 |
| 4 | Denzel Washington – Inner City (possibly 2018) | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 50 | ||||
| 5 | Andrew Garfield – Breathe | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 49 | |
| 6 | Timothée Chalamet – Call Me by Your Name | 7 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Bryan Cranston – Last Flag Flying | 5 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 46 | ||
| 8 | Chadwick Boseman – Marshall | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 31 | |||
| 9 | Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War | 10 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | ||
| 10 | Matt Damon – Downsizing | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 13 | ||||||
| 11 | Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 12 | |||
| 12 | Ben Stiller – Brad’s Status | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | ||||||
| 13 | Donald Sutherland – The Leisure Seeker | 7 | 9 | 6 | ||||||||
| 13 | Jake Gyllenhaal – Stronger | 5 | 6 | |||||||||
| 15 | Domhnall Gleeson – Goodbye Christopher Robin | 8 | 3 | |||||||||
| 16 | Adam Sandler, The Meyerowitz Stories | 9 | 2 | |||||||||
| 16 | Charlie Plummer – Lean on Pete | 10 | 10 | 2 | ||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul | ||||||||||||
| Andrew Garfield – Under the Silver Lake | ||||||||||||
| Anthony Mackie – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project | ||||||||||||
| Ben Foster – Galveston | ||||||||||||
| Benicio Del Toro – Soldado | ||||||||||||
| Billy Howle – On Chesil Beach | ||||||||||||
| Bryan Cranston – Untouchable | ||||||||||||
| Chiwetel Ejiofor – Come Sunday | ||||||||||||
| Christian Bale – Hostiles | ||||||||||||
| Clive Owen – Andorra | ||||||||||||
| Colin Farrell – The Beguiled | ||||||||||||
| Colin Farrell – The Killing of a Sacred Deer | ||||||||||||
| Colin Firth – The Mercy | ||||||||||||
| Daniel Craig – Kings | ||||||||||||
| Demetrius Shipp, Jr. – All Eyez On Me | ||||||||||||
| Fionn Whitehead – Dunkirk | ||||||||||||
| Idris Elba – The Mountain Between Us | ||||||||||||
| Jack O’Connell – Untitled Alexander McQueen biopic (likely 2018) | ||||||||||||
| James McAvoy – Submergence | ||||||||||||
| Jamie Bell – Film Stars Don’t Die in Liverpool | ||||||||||||
| Jason Clarke – Chappaquiddick | ||||||||||||
| Jason Clarke – The Aftermath | ||||||||||||
| Jason Clarke – The Man with the Iron Heart | ||||||||||||
| Javier Bardem – Escobar | ||||||||||||
| Javier Bardem – mother! | ||||||||||||
| Jean-Louis Trintignant – Happy End | ||||||||||||
| Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene | ||||||||||||
| Joaquin Phoenix – You Were Never Really Here | ||||||||||||
| Jonathan Pryce – The Wife | ||||||||||||
| Kenneth Branagh – Murder on the Orient Express | ||||||||||||
| Liam Neeson – Felt | ||||||||||||
| Matt Damon – Suburbicon | ||||||||||||
| Michael Douglas – Head Full of Honey | ||||||||||||
| Michael Fassbender – The Snowman | ||||||||||||
| Michael Shannon – The Current War | ||||||||||||
| Oscar Isaac – Life Itself | ||||||||||||
| Ryan Gosling – Blade Runner 2049 | ||||||||||||
| Steve Carell – Battle of the Sexes | ||||||||||||
| Tom Hardy – Fonzo |
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