2018 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (April)

[divider style=”normal” top=”20″ bottom=”20″]
Kathryn Bigelow remains at #1 with her still Untitled Detroit Riots Project but her competitors are starting to chip away at that lead. Strong word of mouth from the 10-minute clips shown at CinemaCon keeps Alexander Payne (Downsizing) at #2 and Todd Haynes (Wonderstruck) at #3.
The big debut entry this month is two-time Best Director Oscar winner Steven Spielberg for The Post. In the month since March predictions, he dropped production of The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara to fast-track the Pentagon Papers film that is set to star Meryl Streep and Tom Hanks. This bumps the never-nominated Christopher Nolan (Dunkirk) out of the top five.
LISTEN: Oscar Podcast #53 – CinemaCon Buzz; the Oscars in a post-Moonlight world
Despite the assurance that Paul Thomas Anderson’s fashion project with Daniel Day-Lewis will be a Christmas Day release, PTA’s stock plummets all the way down to #15. On the flip side, Call Me By Your Name‘s Luca Gaudagnino jumps up from the bottom to land at #8 this month.
Piqued interest in Darron Aronofsky’s very secretive mother! starring Jennifer Lawrence and Michelle Pfeiffer moves him up a bit, to #11.
George Clooney enters the list at #13 this month with Suburbicon. He joins Richard Linklater (Last Flag Flying, #15) as the other newcomers.
Green – moves up from last month
Red – moves down from last month
Blue – debut/new entry
MARCH Best Director Predictions
Keep an eye on all of the Gold Rush Gang’s 2018 Oscar predictions updated LIVE throughout the month.
|
BEST DIRECTOR
|
ERIK
ANDERSON |
BRYAN BONAFEDE
|
GREG HOWARD
|
EVAN
KOST |
JASON OSIASON
|
KENNETH
POLISHCHUK |
DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ
|
RICHARD
ANTHONY |
ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT
|
MATT DINN
|
TOTAL
POINTS |
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kathryn Bigelow – The Untitled Detroit Riots Project | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 89 |
| 2 | Alexander Payne – Downsizing | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 80 |
| 3 | Todd Haynes – Wonderstruck | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 77 |
| 4 | Steven Spielberg – The Post | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 71 |
| 5 | Joe Wright – Darkest Hour | 6 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 54 | |
| 6 | Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 48 |
| 7 | Andrew Haigh – Lean on Pete | 8 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 32 | |
| 8 | Luca Guadagnino – Call Me By Your Name | 7 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | ||||||
| 9 | Dee Rees – Mudbound | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 18 | |||||
| 10 | Denis Villeneuve – Blade Runner 2049 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 17 | ||||
| 11 | Darren Aronofsky – mother! | 10 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 14 | ||||
| 12 | Michael Haneke – Happy End | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | |||||||
| 13 | George Clooney – Suburbicon | 5 | 10 | 7 | ||||||||
| 13 | Dan Gilroy – Inner City (possibly 2018) | 6 | 9 | 7 | ||||||||
| 15 | Paul Thomas Anderson – Untitled Fashion Project | 8 | 10 | 4 | ||||||||
| 15 | Richard Linklater – Last Flag Flying | 9 | 9 | 4 | ||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Aaron Sorkin – Molly’s Game | ||||||||||||
| Alfonso Gómez-Rejón – The Current War | ||||||||||||
| David Gordon Green – Stronger | ||||||||||||
| Garth Davis – Mary Magdalene | ||||||||||||
| Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape of Water | ||||||||||||
| Jordan Peele – Get Out | ||||||||||||
| Martin McDonaugh – Three Bilboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | ||||||||||||
| Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman | ||||||||||||
| Reginald Hudlin – Marshall | ||||||||||||
| Sebastián Lelio – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Stephen Frears – Victoria and Abdul | ||||||||||||
| Woody Allen – Wonder Wheel |
- Emily Mortimer and Noah Baumbach on Crafting the Life of ‘Jay Kelly’ [VIDEO INTERVIEW] - November 13, 2025
- 19th Cinema Eye Honors Documentary Nominations: ‘Come See Me in the Good Light’ Leads with 6 - November 13, 2025
- Luca Guadagnino, Julia Roberts to Receive 2025 Gotham Awards Visionary Tribute - November 13, 2025

Emily Mortimer and Noah Baumbach on Crafting the Life of ‘Jay Kelly’ [VIDEO INTERVIEW]
19th Cinema Eye Honors Documentary Nominations: ‘Come See Me in the Good Light’ Leads with 6
Interview: How Miles Caton’s Spiritual, Musical Connection to Sammie Helped Bring Ryan Coogler’s Vision For ‘Sinners’ to Life
Luca Guadagnino, Julia Roberts to Receive 2025 Gotham Awards Visionary Tribute