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This year’s batch of Supporting Actor hopefuls is rich with to the possibility of a lot of first-time nominees. Right now, our top 10 predictions have eight potential newcomers to Oscar.
At the top is Michael Stuhlbarg in Call Me By Your Name. The enormously prolific character actor plays the father of a 17-year old son who begins a torrid summer affair with the family’s 24-year old male boarder (played by Armie Hammer, another Supporting Actor contender) in Italy and his closing speech in the film is the stuff of Oscar.
Michael Shannon, a two-time Oscar nominee, is close by with The Current War where he plays George Westinghouse to Benedict Cumberbatch’s Thomas Edison. Shannon could be a co-lead but the smart play is to put him in supporting. Not only is it where Shannon has earned his two Oscar nominations, there haven’t been two Best Actor nominees from the same film since 1984’s Amadeus.
Steve Buscemi could earn his first Oscar nomination from A24’s Lean on Me, especially if it becomes the Oscar-winning studio’s #1 push. Jason Mitchell, who broke through with Straight Outta Compton two years ago, could be in for another breakthrough – an Oscar nomination – for Mudbound. Emmy-winner and Rogue One star Ben Mendelsohn also looks strong for Darkest Hour.
Below that is a wide swath of supporting actor potential from Oscar winner Javier Bardem in mother!, Emmy winner Sterling K. Brown in Marshall, John Boyega and Anthony Mackie in Kathryn Bigelow’s Untitled Detroit Riots Project and Idris Elba in Molly’s Game.
Here are the first Best Supporting Actor predictions of the 2018 Oscar season from the new Gold Rush Gang:
| SUPPORTING ACTOR | ERIK ANDERSON | BRYAN BONAFEDE | GREG HOWARD | EVAN KOST | JASON OSIASON | KENNETH POLISHCHUK | DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ | RICHARD ANTHONY | ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT | MATT DINN | TOTAL POINTS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael Stuhlbarg – Call Me By Your Name | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 92 |
| 2 | Michael Shannon – The Current War | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 86 |
| 3 | Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 67 |
| 4 | Jason Mitchell – Mudbound | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 56 | |
| 4 | Ben Mendelsohn – Darkest Hour | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 56 |
| 6 | Idris Elba – Molly’s Game | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 43 | |
| 7 | Colin Farrell – Inner City (possibly 2018) | 4 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 29 | |||||
| 8 | Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri | 6 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 28 | |||
| 9 | Javier Bardem – mother! | 8 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 20 | |||
| 10 | Sterling K. Brown – Marshall | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 16 | ||||
| 11 | John Boyega – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project | 5 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 13 | ||||||
| 12 | Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle | 7 | 5 | 10 | ||||||||
| 13 | Joaquin Phoenix – Mary Magdalene | 8 | 5 | 9 | ||||||||
| 14 | Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name | 9 | 6 | 10 | 8 | |||||||
| 15 | Garrett Hedlund – Mudbound | 6 | 5 | |||||||||
| 15 | Anthony Mackie – Unititled Kathryn Bigelow Detriot Riots Project | 9 | 10 | 9 | 5 | |||||||
| 17 | Steve Carell – Last Flag Flying | 9 | 9 | 4 | ||||||||
| 18 | Oscar Isaac – Suburbicon | 10 | 1 | |||||||||
| OTHER CONTENDERS | ||||||||||||
| Alessandro Nivola – Disobedience | ||||||||||||
| Ali Fazal – Victoria and Abdul | ||||||||||||
| Chiwetel Ejiofor – Mary Magdalene | ||||||||||||
| Christoph Waltz – Downsizing | ||||||||||||
| Daniel Brühl – Entebbe | ||||||||||||
| Domhnall Gleeson – mother! | ||||||||||||
| Ed Harris – mother! | ||||||||||||
| John Hurt – Darkest Hour | ||||||||||||
| Kevin Costner – Molly’s Game | ||||||||||||
| Mark Rylance – Dunkirk | ||||||||||||
| Oscar Isaac – Annihilation | ||||||||||||
| Oscar Isaac – The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara | ||||||||||||
| Stanley Tucci – The Children Act |
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