AwardsWatch - 2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS

2018 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Allison Janney goes for the gold

The similarities between the Supporting Actor and Supporting Actress races this year are striking; the current frontrunners are not the critics’ favorites but somehow turned things around once the televised awards started and took their more over-the-top characters to the stage, grabbing trophy after trophy as their more subtle competitors’ sat watching from the sidelines.

Right now, Allison Janney (I, Tonya) is the clear favorite to win here and she earns a perfect score. Like Rockwell, Janney is extremely well-liked within the industry and that can be an important, if not deciding, factor. Laurie Metcalf (Lady Bird), like Willem Dafoe, is #2 across the board. This is also a category that could find itself turning the corner once voting starts if members start gravitating towards Lady Bird as a potential Best Picture winner. They’ll need to reward it somewhere else and Metcalf could be the beneficiary.

It’s interesting to note that Lesley Manville has parlayed her surprise nomination here (for the huge over-performer Phantom Thread) into the 3rd place standing. She just won the London Critics award and is a real contender to upset at BAFTA. Could she be a surprise winner here?

Three-time nominee and Oscar winner Octavia Spencer (The Shape of Water) is now tied with Oscar winner Viola Davis as the most-nominated black actress in Academy Awards history but her nomination is her reward. First-time nominee Mary J. Blige (Mudbound) earned the distinction of being the first person ever to be nominated for an acting award and Original Song in the same year. She also also represents one of Mudbound‘s four nominations that finally broke streamer Netflix out of the Documentary category and into the Oscars’ mainstream.

BEST PICTURE | BEST DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR

Here are the Best Supporting Actress winner predictions from the Gold Rush Gang for Wednesday, January 31, 2018.

SUPPORTING ACTRESS		ERIK ANDERSON	BRYAN BONAFEDE	GREG HOWARD	EVAN KOST	JASON OSIASON	KENNETH POLISHCHUK	DENIZCAN SÜRÜCÜ	RICHARD ANTHONY	ŞÜKRÜ SÖĞÜT	MATT DINN	TOTAL POINTS

1	Allison Janney – I, Tonya	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	100
2	Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	90
3	Lesley Manville – Phantom Thread	3	3	5	3	4	3	4	4	3	3	75
4	Octavia Spencer – The Shape of Water	5	4	4	5	3	4	3	3	5	4	70
5	Mary J. Blige – Mudbound	4	5	3	4	5	5	5	5	4	5	65

Author
Recent Posts

Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.