2019 Oscar Predictions: ADAPTED and ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY (May) – ‘BlacKkKlansman,’ on top, ‘A Quiet Place’ debuts
Spike Lee’s BlacKkKlansman moves up the #1 spot this month after its Cannes-winning debut. It leapfrogs over the Barry Jenkins adaptation of James Baldwin’s If Beale Street Could Talk and last month’s champ, Widows from Steve McQueen.
Can You Ever Forgive Me? and First Man hold their spots in the top 5 but below that is movement up for Beautiful Boy to enter the main chart, dropping Crazy Rich Asians to Next Up. Speaking of that section, it’s jammed with hopefuls and possibles looking for a top 10 berth. The Incredibles 2 is in the running (the first one earned an Oscar nomination), the Robert Redford-led The Old Man and the Gun, A Star Is Born (whose star is rising across the board) and Where’d You Go, Bernadette with Cate Blanchett.
Here are my predictions for Best Adapted Screenplay as of May 25, 2018.
Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut
| 1. BlacKkKlansman |
| 2. Widows |
| 3. If Beale Street Could Talk |
| 4. Can You Ever Forgive Me? |
| 5. First Man |
| 6. Mary Queen of Scots |
| 7. Boy Erased |
| 8. Beautiful Boy |
| 9. Untitled Pippa Bianco aka Share |
| 10. Black Panther |
| NEXT UP |
| Crazy Rich Asians |
| The Incredibles 2 |
| The Old Man and the Gun |
| A Star is Born |
| Where’d You Go, Bernadette |
| OTHER CONTENDERS |
| The Aftermath |
| Disobedience |
|
Don’t Worry, He Won’t Get Far on Foot
|
| Fighting with My Family |
| The Front Runner |
| Gloria Bell |
| Kursk |
| Leave No Trace |
| Lean on Pete |
| The Little Stranger |
| The Man Who Killed Don Quixote |
| Mary Poppins Returns |
| The Mercy |
| The Sisters Brothers |
| Smallfoot |
| Suspiria |
| The True History of the Kelly Gang |
| Vita and Virginia |
| The White Crow |
| The Wife |
| Wildlife |
| The Women of Marwen |
A Quiet Place makes a huge debut into the top 5 this month. Genre films can have a hard time with the Oscars but between the massive box office success and 95% Rotten Tomatoes score, John Krasinski’s horror hit stands an excellent chance at breaking in. The rest of the top 5 stays in place for now.
Below that, Oscar nominee Yorgos Lanthimos’s period piece The Favourite moves up, Ad Astra falls and Oscar nominee Jonah Hill’s first directorial effort, Mid 90s, debuts at #9. Next up features a wealth of potential including new efforts from previous Oscar winners like Diablo Cody (with Tully this year) and Oscar nominee Benh Zeitlin (with Wendy).
Here are my predictions for Best Original Screenplay as of May 25, 2018.
Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut
| 1. Backseat |
| 2. Roma |
| 3. Peterloo |
| 4. A Quiet Place |
| 5. Destroyer |
| 6. The Favourite |
| 7. Eighth Grade |
| 8. Ad Astra |
| 9. Mid 90s |
| 10. Hereditary |
| NEXT UP |
| Fast Color |
| Green Book |
| On the Basis of Sex |
| Tully |
| Wendy |
| OTHER CONTENDERS |
| Bad Times at the El Royale |
| Ben is Back |
| Blindspotting |
| Bohemian Rhapsody |
| Burden |
| Colette |
| Come Sunday |
| Damsel |
| Everybody Knows |
| Georgetown |
| The Happy Prince |
| Hearts Beat Loud |
| High Life |
| The Hummingbird Project |
| Isle of Dogs |
| Loro |
| The Nightingale |
| Operation Finale |
| What They Had |
2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (May)
2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (May)
2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (May)
2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (MAY)
2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (May)
2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTRESS (May)
He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Critics Choice Association (CCA), San Francisco Bay Area Film Critics Circle (SFBAFCC) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.
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