2019 Oscar Predictions: SUPPORTING ACTOR (June) – Sam Elliott, Adam Driver up; J.K. Simmons, Mahershala Ali debut

Erik Anderson June 20, 2018

Sam Elliott (right) is counting on Bradley Cooper (left) to decide his Oscar fate in A Star Is Born

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Oscar nominee Timothée Chalamet (Call Me By Your Name) remains atop the Supporting Actor chart for another month with the drug addiction family drama Beautiful Boy and again with newly minted Supporting Actor Oscar winner Sam Rockwell (Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri) on his heels at #2 with Dick Cheney biopic Backseat starring as then-president George W. Bush.

After that there is a lot of movement and two new additions to the top 10.

Everything about A Star Is Born keeps getting stronger and Sam Elliott is no different. The never-nominated veteran moves up two spots to #6, inching closer to a possible nomination after more than 50 years in the business.

Two more performances from never-nominated actors are also moving up: Richard E. Grant in Can You Ever Forgive Me? moves up one to #3 and Adam Driver (BlacKkKlansman) lands in the top 5 for the first time this season.

This drops down Stephan James (If Beale Street Could Talk) to #5 but holding on, and Oscar nominee Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) in Widows.

Joining the top 10 for the first time this season are two previous winners in this category: J.K. Simmons, who won for Whiplash, finds a place with The Front Runner and Moonlight‘s Mahershala Ali could find himself with a second nomination, this time for the period piece Green Book.

Michael B. Jordan (Black Panther) and Kyle Chandler (First Man) fall down to the Next Up section this month.

Here are my 2019 Oscar predictions in Best Supporting Actor for June 20th, 2018.

Green – moves up
Red – moves down
Blue – chart debut

1. Timothée Chalamet – Beautiful Boy

2. Sam Rockwell – Backseat

3. Richard E. Grant – Can You Ever Forgive Me?

4. Adam Driver – BlacKkKlansman

5. Stephan James – If Beale Street Could Talk

6. Sam Elliott – A Star Is Born

7. Daniel Kaluuya – Widows

8. J.K. Simmons – The Front Runner

9. Jeff Bridges – Bad Times at the El Royale

10. Mahershala Ali – Green Book

NEXT UP

Kyle Chandler – First Man

Armie Hammer – On the Basis of Sex

Oscar Isaac – At Eternity’s Gate

Michael B. Jordan – Black Panther

Alex Wolff – Hereditary

OTHER CONTENDERS

Jon Bernthal – First Man

Steve Buscemi – Lean on Pete

Steve Carell – Backseat

Kyle Chandler – First Man

Russell Crowe – Boy Erased

Robert Duvall – Widows

Joel Edgerton – Boy Erased

Robert Forester – What They Had

Topher Grace – BlacKkKlansman

Jake Gyllenhaal – The Sisters Brothers

Lucas Hedges – Mid 90s

Tommy Lee Jones – Ad Astra

Lin-Manuel Miranda – Mary Poppins Returns

Matthew McConaughey – White Boy Rick

Liam Neeson – Widows

Mark Ruffalo – Newsflash

Michael Shannon – What They Had

Alexander Skarsgård – The Hummingbird Project

Sebastian Stan – Destroyer

Corey Stoll – First Man

Donald Sutherland – Ad Astra

David Tennant – Mary Queen of Scots

Courtney B. Vance – Ben is Back

Dominic West – Colette

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST PICTURE (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST DIRECTOR (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTOR (June)

2019 Oscar Predictions: BEST ACTRESS (June)

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Erik Anderson

Erik Anderson is the founder/owner and Editor-in-Chief of AwardsWatch and has always loved all things Oscar, having watched the Academy Awards since he was in single digits; making lists, rankings and predictions throughout the show. This led him down the path to obsessing about awards. Much later, he found himself in film school and the film forums of GoldDerby, and then migrated over to the former Oscarwatch (now AwardsDaily), before breaking off to create AwardsWatch in 2013.

He is a Rotten Tomatoes-approved critic, accredited by the Cannes Film Festival, Telluride Film Festival, Toronto International Film Festival and more, is a member of the International Cinephile Society (ICS), The Society of LGBTQ Entertainment Critics (GALECA), Hollywood Critics Association (HCA) and the International Press Academy. Among his many achieved goals with AwardsWatch, he has given a platform to underrepresented writers and critics and supplied them with access to film festivals and the industry and calls the Bay Area his home where he lives with his husband and son.